22 May 2008
We consider the hedging of a claim on a non-traded asset using a correlated traded asset, when the agent does not know the true values of the asset drifts, a partial information scenario. The drifts are taken to be random variables with a Gaussian prior distribution. This is updated via a linear filter. The result is a full information model with random drifts. The utility infdifference price and hedge is characterised via the dual problem, for an exponential utility function. An approximation for the price and hedge is derived, valid for small positions in the claim. The effectiveness of this hedging strategy is examined via simulation experiments, and is shown to yield improved results over the Black-Scholes strategy which assumes perfect correlation.
- Mathematical Finance Internal Seminar