The signature of a path has many properties that make it an excellent feature to be used in machine learning. We exploit this properties to analyse a stream of data that arises from a psychiatric study whose objective is to analyse bipolar and borderline personality disorders. We build a machine learning model based on signatures that tries to answer two clinically relevant questions, based on observations of their reported state over a short period of time: is it possible to predict if a person is healthy, has bipolar disorder or has borderline personality disorder? And given a person or borderline personality disorder, it is possible to predict his or her future mood? Signatures proved to be very effective to tackle these two problems.
- Stochastic Analysis Seminar