Applied Dynamical Systems and Inverse Problems Seminar
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Thu, 07/05/2009 11:00 |
Michael Osborne (Robotics group) |
Applied Dynamical Systems and Inverse Problems Seminar |
DH 3rd floor SR |
| We propose a powerful prediction algorithm built upon Gaussian processes (GPs). They are particularly useful for their flexibility, facilitating accurate prediction even in the absence of strong physical models. GPs further allow us to work within a completely Bayesian framework. As such, we show how the hyperparameters of our system can be marginalised by use of Bayesian Monte Carlo, a principled method of approximate integration. We employ the error bars of the GP's prediction as a means to select only the most informative observations to store. This allows us to introduce an iterative formulation of the GP to give a dynamic, on-line algorithm. We also show how our error bars can be used to perform active data selection, allowing the GP to select where and when it should next take a measurement. We demonstrate how our methods can be applied to multi-sensor prediction problems where data may be missing, delayed and/or correlated. In particular, we present a real network of weather sensors as a testbed for our algorithm. | |||
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Thu, 21/05/2009 11:00 |
Trevor Wood (Oxford) |
Applied Dynamical Systems and Inverse Problems Seminar |
DH 3rd floor SR |
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Thu, 28/05/2009 11:00 |
Joanna Brown (Cambridge) |
Applied Dynamical Systems and Inverse Problems Seminar |
DH 3rd floor SR |
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Thu, 04/06/2009 11:00 |
Judy Simpson (Atmospheric Physics) |
Applied Dynamical Systems and Inverse Problems Seminar |
DH 3rd floor SR |
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Thu, 11/06/2009 11:00 |
Laura Campbell (Mathematical Institute) |
Applied Dynamical Systems and Inverse Problems Seminar |
DH 3rd floor SR |
