Fri, 04/05/2012
14:00
Prof Kostas Kardars  (Boston University) Nomura Seminar Add to calendar DH 1st floor SR
In this talk, we elaborate on the notions of no-free-lunch that have proved essential in the theory of financial mathematics—most notably, arbitrage of the first kind. Focus will be given in most recent developments. The precise connections with existence of deflators, numeraires and pricing measures are explained, as well as the consequences that these notions have in the existence of bubbles and the valuation of illiquid assets in the market.
Fri, 11/05/2012
12:30
Prof Kumar Muthuraman (Univerity of Texas at Austin) Nomura Seminar Add to calendar Oxford-Man Institute
We present a general valuation framework for commodity storage facilities, for non-perishable commodities. Modeling commodity prices with a mean reverting process we provide analytical expressions for the value obtainable from the storage for any admissible injection/withdrawal policy. Then we present an iterative numerical algorithm to find the optimal injection and withdrawal policies, along with the necessary theoretical guarantees for convergence. Together, the analytical expressions and the numerical algorithm present an extremely efficient way of solving not only commodity storage problems but in general the problem of optimally controlling a mean reverting processes with transaction costs.
Fri, 18/05/2012
14:15
Prof Martin Schweizer (ETH Zurich) Nomura Seminar Add to calendar DH 1st floor SR
Absence of arbitrage is a highly desirable feature in mathematical models of financial markets. In its pure form (whether as NFLVR or as the existence of a variant of an equivalent martingale measure R), it is qualitative and therefore robust towards equivalent changes of the underlying reference probability (the "real-world" measure P). But what happens if we look at more quantitative versions of absence of arbitrage, where we impose for instance some integrability on the density dR/dP? To which extent is such a property robust towards changes of P? We discuss these uestions and present some recent results. The talk is based on joint work with Tahir Choulli (University of Alberta, Edmonton).
Fri, 25/05/2012
14:15
Prof Dorje Brody (Brunel Univeristy) Nomura Seminar Add to calendar DH 1st floor SR
The geometric Lévy model (GLM) is a natural generalisation of the geometric Brownian motion (GBM) model. The theory of such models simplifies considerably if one takes a pricing kernel approach. In one dimension, once the underlying Lévy process has been specified, the GLM has four parameters: the initial price, the interest rate, the volatility and the risk aversion. The pricing kernel is the product of a discount factor and a risk aversion martingale. For GBM, the risk aversion parameter is the market price of risk. In this talk I show that for a GLM, this interpretation is not valid: the excess rate of return above the interest rate is a nonlinear function of the volatility and the risk aversion such that it is positive, and is increasing with respect to these variables. In the case of foreign exchange, Siegel’s paradox implies that one can construct foreign exchange models for which the excess rate of return is positive for both the exchange rate and the inverse exchange rate. Examples are worked out for a range of Lévy processes. (The talk is based on a recent paper: Brody, Hughston & Mackie, Proceedings of the Royal Society London, to appear in May 2012).  
Fri, 01/06/2012
14:15
Prof Scott Robertosn (Pittsburgh) Nomura Seminar Add to calendar DH 1st floor SR
In this talk, approximations to utility indifference prices for a contingent claim in the large position size limit are provided. Results are valid for general utility functions and semi-martingale models. It is shown that as the position size approaches infinity, all utility functions with the same rate of decay for large negative wealths yield the same price. Practically, this means an investor should price like an exponential investor. In a sizeable class of diffusion models, the large position limit is seen to arise naturally in conjunction with the limit of a complete model and hence approximations are most appropriate in this setting.
Fri, 15/06/2012
14:15
Dr Antoine Jacquier (Imperial College London) Nomura Seminar Add to calendar DH 1st floor SR
Given a diffusion in R^n, we prove a small-noise expansion for its density. Our proof relies on the Laplace method on Wiener space and stochastic Taylor expansions in the spirit of Benarous-Bismut. Our result applies (i) to small-time asymptotics and (ii) to the tails of the distribution and (iii) to small volatility of volatility. We shall study applications of this result to stochastic volatility models, recovering the Berestycki- Busca-Florent formula (using (i)), the Gulisashvili-Stein expansion (from (ii)) and Lewis' expansions (using (iii)). This is a joint work with J.D. Deuschel (TU Berlin), P. Friz (TU Berlin) and S. Violante (Imperial College London).
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