Seminar series
Date
Tue, 09 Jun 2015
Time
12:30 - 13:30
Location
Oxford-Man Institute
Speaker
Philip Maymin
Organisation
NYU

I prove that if markets are weak-form efficient, meaning current prices fully reflect all information available in past prices, then P = NP, meaning every computational problem whose solution can be verified in polynomial time can also be solved in polynomial time. I also prove the converse by showing how we can "program" the market to solveNP-complete problems. Since P probably does not equal NP, markets are probably not efficient. Specifically, markets become increasingly inefficient as the time series lengthens or becomes more frequent. An illustration by way of partitioning the excess returns to momentum strategies based on data availability confirms this prediction.

For more info please visit: http://philipmaymin.com/academic-papers#pnp

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