Inst. Math. De Toulouse (IMT)

In this talk, I would like to advertise the strict equality between two objects from very different areas of mathematical physics:

- Kahane's Gaussian Multiplicative Chaos (GMC), which uses a log-correlated field as input and plays an important role in certain conformal field theories.

- A reference model in random matrices called the Circular Beta Ensemble (CBE).

The goal is to give a precise theorem whose loose form is GMC = CBE. Although it was known that random matrices exhibit log-correlated features, such an exact correspondence is quite a surprise. 

The paper analyses structural models for the evaluation of risky debt following H.E. LELAND [2], with an approach of optimal stopping problem (for instance cf. N. EL KAROUI [1]) and within a more general context: a dividend is paid to equity holders, moreover a different tax schedule is introduced, depending on the firm current value. Actually, an endogenous default boundary is introduced and a nonlinear convex tax schedule allowing for a possible switching in tax benefits. The aim is to find optimal capital structure such that the failure is delayed, meaning how to decrease the failure level VB, anyway preserving D debtholders and E equity holders’interests: for the firm VB is needed as low as possible, for the equity holder, an optimal equity is requested, finally an optimal coupon C is asked  for the total value.

Keywords: corporate debt, optimal capital structure, default,