Climate: Methods for Model Comparison and Criticism in the context of data assimilation

Fri, 12/03/2010
10:00
Lenny Smith, Dan Rowlands, Tim Palmer, Chris Farmer et al. (Various) Industrial and Interdisciplinary Workshops Add to calendar DH 1st floor SR
This will not be a normal workshop with a single scientist presenting an unsolved problem where mathematics may help. Instead it is more of a discussion meeting with a few speakers all interested in a single theme. So far we have: Lenny Smith (LSE) on Using Empirically Inadequate Models to inform Your Subjective Probabilities: How might Solvency II inform climate change decisions? Dan Rowlands (AOPP, Oxford) on "objective" climate forecasting; Tim Palmer (ECMWF and AOPP, Oxford) on Constraining predictions of climate change using methods of data assimilation; Chris Farmer (Oxford) about the problem of how to ascertain the error in the equations of a model when in the midst of probabilistic forecasting and prediction.