Date
Thu, 05 Jun 2008
13:00
Location
DH 1st floor SR
Speaker
Albina Danilova
Organisation
Oxford

We study an equilibrium model for a defaultable bond in the asymmetric dynamic information setting. The market consists of noise traders, an insider and a risk neutral market maker. Under the assumption that the insider observes the firm value continuously in time we study the optimal strategies for the insider and the optimal pricing rules for the market maker. We show that there exists an equilibrium where the insider’s trades are inconspicuous. In this equilibrium the insider drives the total demand to a certain level at the default time. The solution follows from answering the following purely mathematical question which is of interest in its own: Suppose Z and B are two independent Brownian motions with B(0)=0 and Z(0) is a positive random variable. Let T be the first time that Z hits 0. Does there exists a semimartingale X such that

1) it is a solution to the SDE

dX(t) = dB(t) + g(t,X(t),Z(t))dt

with X(0) = 1, for some appropriate function g,

2) T is the first hitting time of 0 for X, and

3) X is a Brownian motion in its own filtration?

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