Hybrid Brownian motion: a model for price feedback and volatility explosion

Numerous studies of asset returns reveal excess kurtosis as fat tails, often characterized by power law behaviour. A hybrid of arithmetic and geometric Brownian motion is proposed as a model for short-term asset returns, and its equilibrium and dynamical properties explored. Some exact solutions for the time-dependent behaviour are given, and we demonstrate the existence of a stochastic bifurcation between mean- reverting and momentum-dominated markets. The consequences for risk management will be discussed.