Commodity Storage Valuation

11 May 2012
12:30
to
15:00
Prof Kumar Muthuraman
Abstract
We present a general valuation framework for commodity storage facilities, for non-perishable commodities. Modeling commodity prices with a mean reverting process we provide analytical expressions for the value obtainable from the storage for any admissible injection/withdrawal policy. Then we present an iterative numerical algorithm to find the optimal injection and withdrawal policies, along with the necessary theoretical guarantees for convergence. Together, the analytical expressions and the numerical algorithm present an extremely efficient way of solving not only commodity storage problems but in general the problem of optimally controlling a mean reverting processes with transaction costs.