Lahars and huaicos: modelling erosive flash floods
Abstract
Lahars and huaicos are potent natural hazards that threaten lives and livelihoods. They comprise debris-laden fluid that flows rapidly down slopes, bulking up considerably as they progress. Owing to their rapid onset and the significant threat that they pose to communities and infrastructures, it is important to be able to predict their motion in order to assess quantitatively some of the impacts that they may cause. In this seminar I will present mathematical models of these flows and apply them to various natural settings, drawing on examples from Peru and the Philippines. Along the way I will show some informative, idealised solutions, the susceptibility of these flows to roll wave instabilities, ways to prevent ill-posedness and how to include measured topography in the computation.