William Hart

DPhil, MMath

Pronouns

He / Him

Status

Postdoctoral Research Associate

+44 1865 615166

Contact form

ORCID iD

https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2504-6860

Research groups

Mathematical Biology

Research subgroups

Infectious Disease Modelling

Address

Mathematical Institute
University of Oxford
Andrew Wiles Building
Radcliffe Observatory Quarter
Woodstock Road
Oxford
OX2 6GG

Major / recent publications

Climate variability amplifies the need for vector-borne disease outbreak preparedness
WS Hart, JW Hurrell, AR Kaye, M Chand, MJ Keeling, RN Thompson
PNAS 122(34):e2507311122, 2025
https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2507311122

Analysis of the risk and pre-emptive control of viral outbreaks accounting for within-host dynamics: SARS-CoV-2 as a case study
WS Hart, H Park, YD Jeong, KS Kim, R Yoshimura, RN Thompson, S Iwami
PNAS 120(41):e2305451120, 2023
https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2305451120

Generation time of the alpha and delta SARS-CoV-2 variants: an epidemiological analysis
WS Hart, E Miller, NJ Andrews, P Waight, PK Maini, S Funk, RN Thompson
The Lancet Infectious Diseases 22(5):603-610, 2022
https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(22)00001-9

Inference of the SARS-CoV-2 generation time using UK household data
WS Hart, S Abbott, A Endo, J Hellewell, E Miller, N Andrews, PK Maini, S Funk, RN Thompson
eLife 11:e70767, 2022
https://doi.org/10.7554/eLife.70767

High infectiousness immediately before COVID-19 symptom onset highlights the importance of continued contact tracing
WS Hart, PK Maini, RN Thompson
eLife 10:e65534, 2021
https://doi.org/10.7554/eLife.65534

A theoretical framework for transitioning from patient-level to population-scale epidemiological dynamics: influenza A as a case study
WS Hart, PK Maini, CA Yates, RN Thompson
Journal of the Royal Society Interface 17:20200230, 2020
https://doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2020.0230

Research interests

Mathematical Epidemiology

Recent publications

Modeling lesion transition dynamics to clinically characterize mpox patients with clade I MPXV in the Democratic Republic of the Congo

Nishiyama, T Miura, F Jeong, Y Nakamura, N Park, H Ishikane, M Yamamoto, S Iwamoto, N Suzuki, M Sakurai, A Aihara, K Watashi, K Hart, W Thompson, R Yasutomi, Y Ohmagari, N Kingebeni, P Huggins, J Iwami, S Pittman, P Science Translational Medicine volume 17 issue 805 (02 Jul 2025)

Effects of individual variation and seasonal vaccination on disease risks

Hart, W Amin, J Park, H Kitagawa, K Jeong, Y Kaye, A Iwami, S Thompson, R (03 Apr 2025)

Real-time inference of the end of an outbreak: Temporally aggregated disease incidence data and under-reporting

Ogi-Gittins, I Polonsky, J Keita, M Ahuka-Mundeke, S Hart, W Plank, M Lambert, B Hill, E Thompson, R Infectious Disease Modelling (01 Apr 2025)

Reducing transmission in multiple settings is required to eliminate the risk of major Ebola outbreaks: a mathematical modelling study

Evans, A Hart, W Longobardi, S Desikan, R Sher, A Thompson, R Journal of the Royal Society Interface volume 22 issue 224 (19 Mar 2025)

Estimation of end-of-outbreak probabilities in the presence of delayed and incomplete case reporting

Plank, M Hart, W Polonsky, J Keita, M Ahuka-Mundeke, S Thompson, R Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences volume 292 issue 2039 (29 Jan 2025)

A modeling study to define guidelines for antigen screening in schools and workplaces to mitigate COVID-19 outbreaks

Jeong, Y Ejima, K Kim, K Iwanami, S Hart, W Thompson, R Jung, I Iwami, S Aihara, K Communications Medicine volume 5 issue 1 (03 Jan 2025)