Tue, 11 Nov 2025
14:00
C4

Towards Precision in the Diagnostic Profiling of Patients: Leveraging Symptom Dynamics in the Assessment and Treatment of Mental Disorders

Omid Ebrahimi
(Department of Experimental Psychology, University of Oxford)
Abstract

Major depressive disorder (MDD) is a heterogeneous mental disorder. International guidelines present overall symptom severity as the key dimension for clinical characterisation. However, additional layers of heterogeneity may reside within severity levels related to how symptoms interact with one-another in a patient, called symptom dynamics. We investigate these individual differences by estimating the proportion of patients that display differences in their symptom dynamics while sharing the same diagnosis and overall symptom severity. We show that examining symptom dynamics provides information about the person-specific psychopathological expression of patients beyond severity levels by revealing how symptoms aggravate each other over time. These results suggest that symptom dynamics may serve as a promising new dimension for clinical characterisation. Areas of opportunity are outlined for the field of precision psychiatry in uncovering disorder evolution patterns (e.g., spontaneous recovery; critical worsening) and the identification of granular treatment effects by moving toward investigations that leverage symptom dynamics as their foundation. Future work aimed at investigating the cascading dynamics underlying depression onset and maintenance using the large-scale (N > 5.5 million) CIPA Study are outlined. 

Tue, 04 Nov 2025
14:00
C4

Exploring partition diversity in complex networks

Lena Mangold
(IT:U Interdisciplinary Transformation University Austria)
Abstract
Partition diversity refers to the concept that for some networks there may be multiple, similarly plausible ways to group the nodes, rather than one single best partition. In this talk, I will present two projects that address this idea from different but complementary angles. The first introduces the benchmark stochastic cross-block model (SCBM), a generative model designed to create synthetic networks with two distinct 'ground-truth' partitions. This allows us to study the extent to which existing methods for partition detection are able to reveal the coexistence of multiple underlying structures. The second project builds on this benchmark and paves the way for a Bayesian inference framework to directly detect coexisting partitions in empirical networks. By formulating this model as a microcanonical variant of the SCBM, we can evaluate how well it fits a given network compared to existing models. We find that our method more reliably detects partition diversity in synthetic networks with planted coexisting partitions, compared to methods designed to detect a single optimal partition. Together, the two projects contribute to a broader understanding of partition diversity by offering tools to explore the ambiguity of network structure.
Tue, 28 Oct 2025
14:00
C4

Dynamic Models of Gentrification

Nicola Pedreschi
(University of Bari)
Abstract
The phenomenon of gentrification of an urban area is characterized by the displacement of lower-income residents due to rising living costs and an influx of wealthier individuals. This study presents an agent-based model that simulates urban gentrification through the relocation of three income groups — low, middle, and high — driven by living costs. The model incorporates economic and sociological theories to generate realistic neighborhood transition patterns. We introduce a temporal network-based measure to track the outflow of low-income residents and the inflow of middle- and high-income residents over time. Our experiments reveal that high-income residents trigger gentrification and that our network-based measure consistently detects gentrification patterns earlier than traditional count-based methods, potentially serving as an early detection tool in real-world scenarios. Moreover, the analysis highlights how city density promotes gentrification. This framework offers valuable insights for understanding gentrification dynamics and informing urban planning and policy decisions.
Tue, 28 Oct 2025

14:00 - 15:00
L4

Erdős–Hajnal and VC-dimension

Tung Nguyen
(University of Oxford)
Abstract

A 1977 conjecture of Erdős and Hajnal asserts that for every hereditary class of graphs not containing all graphs, every graph in the class has a polynomial-sized clique or stable set. Fox, Pach, and Suk and independently Chernikov, Starchenko, and Thomas asked whether this conjecture holds for every class of graphs of bounded VC-dimension. In joint work with Alex Scott and Paul Seymour, we resolved this question in the affirmative. The talk will introduce the Erdős–Hajnal conjecture and discuss some ideas behind the proof of the bounded VC-dimension case.

Quantifying digital habits
Sharpe, M Bowen, M Lambiotte, R EPJ Data Science volume 14 issue 1 (30 Sep 2025)

When you next go swimming, take some maths with you. And don't worry, maths is waterproof. Nathan Creighton is in at the deep end.

Quick, quicker, less quick. Amandine Aftalion describes the trajectory of a 100m runner in this clip from her Oxford Mathematics Public Lecture.

Remarks on the Higgs branch of 5d conformal matter
De Marco, M Del Zotto, M Grimminger, J Sangiovanni, A Journal of High Energy Physics volume 2025 issue 10 144 (16 Oct 2025)
The case for using flexible healthcare capacity constraints to optimise pandemic control strategies
Doyle, N Cumming, F Finnie, T West, M Thompson, R Tildesley, M (10 Oct 2025)
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