Thu, 05 Feb 2026

16:00 - 17:00
L5

Linking Path-Dependent and Stochastic Volatility Models

Cephas Svosve
((Mathematical Institute University of Oxford))
Abstract
We explore a link between stochastic volatility (SV) and path-dependent volatility (PDV) models. Using assumed density filtering, we map a given SV model into a corresponding PDV representation. The resulting specification is lightweight, improves in-sample fit, and delivers robust out-of-sample forecasts. We also introduce a calibration procedure for both SV and PDV models that produces standard errors for parameter estimates and supports joint calibration of SPX/VIX smile.


 

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