Fri, 01 Jun 2012

10:00 - 12:30
DH 1st floor SR

Sensor Resource Management

Andy Stove
(Thales UK)
Abstract

The issue of resource management arises with any sensor which is capable either of sensing only a part of its total field of view at any one time, or which is capable of having a number of operating modes, or both.

A very simple example is a camera with a telephoto lens.  The photographer has to decide what he is going to photograph, and whether to zoom in to get high resolution on a part of the scene, or zoom out to see more of the scene.  Very similar issues apply, of course, to electro-optical sensors (visible light or infra-red 'TV' cameras) and to radars.

The subject has, perhaps, been most extensively studied in relation to multi mode/multi function radars, where approaches such as neural networks, genetic algorithms and auction mechanisms have been proposed as well as more deterministic mangement schemes, but the methods which have actually been implemented have been much more primitive.

The use of multiple, disparate, sensors on multiple mobile, especially airborne, platforms adds further degrees of freedom to the problem - an extension is of growing interest.

The presentation will briefly review the problem for both the single-sensor and the multi-platform cases, and some of the approaches which have been proposed, and will highlight the remaining current problems.

Thu, 31 May 2012
16:00
DH 1st floor SR

On a simplified fluid dynamic description of some renewable power plants

Ingenuin Gasser
(Universität Hamburg)
Abstract

In this seminar we discuss the gas dynamics of chimneys, solar updraft towers and energy towers. The main issue is to discuss simple fluid dynamic models which still describe the main features of the mentioned applications. We focus first on one dimensional compressible models. Then we apply a small Mach number asymptotics to reduce to complexity and to avoid the known problems

of fully compressible models in the small Mach number regime. In case of the energy tower in addition we have to model the evaporation process.

Finally we obtain a much simpler fluid dynamic model which allows robust and very fast numerical simulations. We discuss the qualitative behaviour and the good agreement with expermental data (in cases such data are available).

Thu, 31 May 2012

14:00 - 16:00
L3

Affine MV polytopes and preprojective algebras

Prof Joel Kamnitzer
Abstract

Mirkovic-Vilonen polytopes are a combinatorial tool for studying
perfect bases for representations of semisimple Lie algebras.  They
were originally introduced using MV cycles in the affine Grassmannian,
but they are also related to the canonical basis.  I will explain how
MV polytopes can also be used to describe components of Lusztig quiver
varieties and how this allows us to generalize the theory of MV
polytopes to the affine case.

Thu, 31 May 2012

14:00 - 15:00
Gibson Grd floor SR

High order adaptive finite element approximations for cardiac electrophysiology

Dr David Kay
(University of Oxford)
Abstract

This talk will present a computationally efficient method of simulating cardiac electrical propagation using an

adaptive high-order finite element method. The refinement strategy automatically concentrates computational

effort where it is most needed in space on each time-step. We drive the adaptivity using a residual-based error

indicator, and demonstrate using norms of the error that the indicator allows to control it successfully. Our

results using two-dimensional domains of varying complexity demonstrate in that significant improvements in

efficiency are possible over the state-of-the-art, indicating that these methods should be investigated for

implementation in whole-heart scale software.

Thu, 31 May 2012

12:30 - 13:30
Gibson 1st Floor SR

Quasi-Static Brittle Damage Evolution with Multiple Damaged Elastic States

Isaac Vikram Chenchiah
(University of Bristol)
Abstract

We present a variational model for the quasi-static evolution of brutal brittle damage for geometrically-linear elastic materials. We

allow for multiple damaged states. Moreover, unlike current formulations, the materials are allowed to be anisotropic and the

deformations are not restricted to anti-plane shear. The model can be formulated either energetically or through a strain threshold. We

explore the relationship between these formulations. This is joint work with Christopher Larsen, Worcester Polytechnic Institute.

Thu, 31 May 2012

12:00 - 13:00
L3

Diffeomorphism equivariance and the scanning map

Richard Manthorpe
Abstract

Given a manifold $M$ and a basepointed labelling space $X$ the space of unordered finite configurations in $M$ with labels in $X$, $C(M;X)$ is the space of finite unordered tuples of points in $M$, each point with an associated point in $X$. The space is topologised so that particles cannot collide. Given a compact submanifold $M_0\subset M$ we define $C(M,M_0;X)$ to be the space of unordered finite configuration in which points `vanish' in $M_0$. The scanning map is a homotopy equivalence between the configuration space and a section space of a certain $\Sigma^nX$-bundle over $M$. Throughout the 70s and 80s this map has been given several unsatisfactory and convoluted definitions. A natural question to ask is whether the map is equivariant under the diffeomorphism group of the underlying manifold. However, any description of the map relies heavily on `little round $\varepsilon$-balls' and so only actions by isometry have any chance at equivariance. The goal of this talk is to give a more natural definition of the scanning map and show that diffeomorphism equivariance is an easy consequence.

Tue, 29 May 2012

15:45 - 16:45
L3

Fano 3-folds in codimension 4

Gavin Brown
(Loughborough)
Abstract

I show how to construct some Fano 3-folds that have the same Hilbert series but different Betti numbers, and so lie on different components of the Hilbert scheme. I would like to show where these fit in to a speculative (indeed fantastical) geography of Fano 3-folds, and how the projection methods I use may apply to other questions in the geography.

Tue, 29 May 2012
13:15
DH 1st floor SR

Lambda calculus and database queries

Huy Vu
Abstract

 Higher-order transformations are ubiquitous within data management. In relational databases, higher-order queries appear in numerous aspects including query rewriting and query specification. In XML databases, higher-order functions are natural due to the close connection of XML query languages with functional programming. We investigate higher-order query languages that combine higher- order transformations with ordinary database query languages. We define higher-order query languages based on Relational Algebra and XQuery. We also study basic problems for these query languages including evaluation, containment, and type inference. We show that even though evaluating these higher-order query languages is non-elementary, there are subclasses that are polynomially reducible to evaluation for ordinary query languages.

Tue, 29 May 2012
12:00

Solitons from geometry.

Dr M Dunajski
(University of Cambridge)
Abstract

Solitons are localised non-singular lumps of energy which describe particles non perturbatively. Finding the solitons usually involves solving nonlinear differential equations, but I shall show that in some cases the solitons emerge directly from the underlying space-time geometry: certain abelian vortices arise from surfaces of constant mean curvature in Minkowski space, and skyrmions can be constructed from the holonomy of gravitational instantons.

Mon, 28 May 2012

17:00 - 18:00
Gibson 1st Floor SR

An invariant manifold of molecular dynamics and its relation to continuum mechanics

Richard D. James
(University of Minnesota)
Abstract

We describe an invariant manifold of the equations of molecular dynamics associated to a given discrete group of isometries. It is a time-dependent manifold, but its dependence on time is explicit. In the case of the translation group, it has dimension 6N, where N is an assignable positive integer. The manifold is independent of the description of the atomic forces within a general framework. Most of continuum mechanics inherits some version of this manifold, as do theories in-between molecular dynamics and continuum mechanics, even though they do not inherit the time reversibility of molecular dynamics on this manifold. The manifold implies a natural statistics of molecular motion, which suggests a simplifying ansatz for the Boltzmann equation which, in turn, leads to new explicit far-from-equilibrium solutions of this equation. In some way the manifold underlies experimental science, i.e., the viscometric flows of fluids and the bending and twisting of beams in solids and the procedures commonly used to measure constitutive relations, this being related to the fact that the form of the manifold can be prescribed independent of the atomic forces.

Mon, 28 May 2012

16:00 - 17:00
SR1

The congruent number problem

Frank Gounelas
Abstract

Which positive integers are the area of a right angled triangle with rational sides? In this talk I will discuss this classical problem, its reformulation in terms of rational points on elliptic curves and Tunnell's theorem which gives a complete solution to this problem assuming the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer conjecture.

Mon, 28 May 2012
15:45
L3

Links with splitting number one

Marc Lackenby
(Oxford)
Abstract

 The unknotting number of a knot is an incredibly difficult invariant to compute.
In fact, there are many knots which are conjectured to have unknotting number 2 but for
which no proof of this is currently available. It therefore remains an unsolved problem to find an
algorithm that determines whether a knot has unknotting number one. In my talk, I will
show that an analogous problem for links is soluble. We say that a link has splitting number
one if some crossing change turns it into a split link. I will give an algorithm that
determines whether a link has splitting number one. (In the case where the link has
two components, we must make a hypothesis on their linking number.) The proof
that the algorithm works uses sutured manifolds and normal surfaces.

Mon, 28 May 2012

15:45 - 16:45
L3

Links with splitting number one

Marc Lackenby
(Oxford)
Abstract
The unknotting number of a knot is an incredibly difficult invariant to compute. In fact, there are many knots which are conjectured to have unknotting number 2 but for which no proof of this is currently available. It therefore remains an unsolved problem to find an algorithm that determines whether a knot has unknotting number one. In my talk, I will show that an analogous problem for links is soluble. We say that a link has splitting number one if some crossing change turns it into a split link. I will give an algorithm that determines whether a link has splitting number one. (In the case where the link has two components, we must make a hypothesis on their linking number.) The proof that the algorithm works uses sutured manifolds and normal surfaces.

Mon, 28 May 2012

15:45 - 16:45
Oxford-Man Institute

Critical point for some planar statistical models

HUGO DUMINIL
(University of Geneva)
Abstract

abstract:In this talk, we describe how to compute the critical point for various lattice models of planar statistical physics. We will first introduce the percolation, Ising, Potts and random-cluster models on the square lattice. Then, we will discuss how critical points of these different models are related. In a final part, we will compute the critical point of these models. This last part harnesses two main ingredients that we will describe in details: duality and sharp threshold theorems. No background is necessary.

Mon, 28 May 2012

14:15 - 15:15
Oxford-Man Institute

Edge reinforced random walks, Vertex reinforced jump process, and the SuSy hyperbolic sigma model.

CHRISTOPHE SABOT
(Universite Lyon 1)
Abstract

Edge-reinforced random walk (ERRW), introduced by Coppersmith and Diaconis in 1986, is a random process which takes values in the vertex set of a graph G, and is more likely to cross edges it has visited before. We show that it can be represented in terms of a Vertex-reinforced jump process (VRJP) with independent gamma

conductances: the VRJP was conceived by Werner and first studied by Davis and Volkov (2002,2004), and is a continuous-time process favouring sites with more local time. We show that the VRJP is a mixture of time-changed Markov jump processes and calculate the mixing measure. The mixing measure is interpreted as a marginal of the supersymmetric hyperbolic sigma model introduced by Disertori, Spencer and Zirnbauer.

This enables us to deduce that VRJP and ERRW are strongly recurrent in any dimension for large reinforcement (in fact, on graphs of bounded degree), using a localisation result of Disertori and Spencer (2010).

(Joint work with Pierre Tarrès.)

 

Mon, 28 May 2012

12:00 - 13:00
L3

Instanton - a window into physics of M5-branes

Sungjay Lee
(University of Cambridge)
Abstract

Instantons and W-bosons in 5d N=2 Yang-Mills theory arise from a circle

compactification of the 6d (2,0) theory as Kaluza-Klein modes and winding

self-dual strings, respectively. We study an index which counts BPS

instantons with electric charges in Coulomb and symmetric phases. We first

prove the existence of unique threshold bound state of U(1) instantons for

any instanton number. By studying SU(N) self-dual strings in the Coulomb

phase, we find novel momentum-carrying degrees on the worldsheet. The total

number of these degrees equals the anomaly coefficient of SU(N) (2,0) theory.

We finally propose that our index can be used to study the symmetric phase of

this theory, and provide an interpretation as the superconformal index of the

sigma model on instanton moduli space. 

Fri, 25 May 2012

14:15 - 15:00
DH 1st floor SR

General theory of geometric Lévy models for dynamic asset pricing

Prof Dorje Brody
(Brunel Univeristy)
Abstract

The geometric Lévy model (GLM) is a natural generalisation of the geometric Brownian motion (GBM) model. The theory of such models simplifies considerably if one takes a pricing kernel approach. In one dimension, once the underlying Lévy process has been specified, the GLM has four parameters: the initial price, the interest rate, the volatility and the risk aversion. The pricing kernel is the product of a discount factor and a risk aversion martingale. For GBM, the risk aversion parameter is the market price of risk. In this talk I show that for a GLM, this interpretation is not valid: the excess rate of return above the interest rate is a nonlinear function of the volatility and the risk aversion such that it is positive, and is increasing with respect to these variables. In the case of foreign exchange, Siegel’s paradox implies that one can construct foreign exchange models for which the excess rate of return is positive for both the exchange rate and the inverse exchange rate. Examples are worked out for a range of Lévy processes. (The talk is based on a recent paper: Brody, Hughston & Mackie, Proceedings of the Royal Society London, to appear in May 2012).  

Fri, 25 May 2012

11:00 - 12:30
DH 1st floor SR

Parameter estimation for electrochemical cells

David Howey
(Department of Engineering Science, University of Oxford)
Abstract

Please note the unusual start-time.

In order to run accurate electrochemical models of batteries (and other devices) it is necessary to know a priori the values of many geometric, electrical and electrochemical parameters (10-100 parameters) e.g. diffusion coefficients, electrode thicknesses etc. However a basic difficulty is that the only external measurements that can be made on cells without deconstructing and destroying them are surface temperature plus electrical measurements (voltage, current, impedance) at the terminals. An interesting research challenge therefore is the accurate, robust estimation of physically realistic model parameters based only on external measurements of complete cells. System identification techniques (from control engineering) including ‘electrochemical impedance spectroscopy’ (EIS) may be applied here – i.e. small signal frequency response measurement. However It is not clear exactly why and how impedance correlates to SOC/ SOH and temperature for each battery chemistry due to the complex interaction between impedance, degradation and temperature.

I will give a brief overview of some of the recent work in this area and try to explain some of the challenges in the hope that this will lead to a fruitful discussion about whether this problem can be solved or not and how best to tackle it.

Thu, 24 May 2012

17:00 - 18:00
L3

S-independence in NIP theories

Pierre Simon (Ecole Normale Superiore)
Abstract

I will explain how to define a notion of stable-independence in NIP

theories, which is an attempt to capture the "stable part" of types.

Thu, 24 May 2012

16:00 - 17:00
DH 1st floor SR

Bubble instabilities in rigid and flexible vessels

Anne Juel
(Manchester)
Abstract

The displacement of a liquid by an air finger is a generic two-phase flow that

underpins applications as diverse as microfluidics, thin-film coating, enhanced

oil recovery, and biomechanics of the lungs. I will present two intriguing

examples of such flows where, firstly, oscillations in the shape of propagating

bubbles are induced by a simple change in tube geometry, and secondly, flexible

vessel boundaries suppress viscous fingering instability.

1) A simple change in pore geometry can radically alter the behaviour of a

fluid displacing air finger, indicating that models based on idealized pore

geometries fail to capture key features of complex practical flows. In

particular, partial occlusion of a rectangular cross-section can force a

transition from a steadily-propagating centred finger to a state that exhibits

spatial oscillations via periodic sideways motion of the interface at a fixed

location behind the finger tip. We characterize the dynamics of the

oscillations and show that they arise from a global homoclinic connection

between the stable and unstable manifolds of a steady, symmetry-broken

solution.

2) Growth of complex dendritic fingers at the interface of air and a viscous

fluid in the narrow gap between two parallel plates is an archetypical problem

of pattern formation. We find a surprisingly effective means of suppressing

this instability by replacing one of the plates with an elastic membrane. The

resulting fluid-structure interaction fundamentally alters the interfacial

patterns that develop and considerably delays the onset of fingering. We

analyse the dependence of the instability on the parameters of the system and

present scaling arguments to explain the experimentally observed behaviour.

Thu, 24 May 2012

14:00 - 15:00
Gibson Grd floor SR

A linear eigenvalue algorithm for nonlinear eigenvalue problems

Dr Elias Jarlebring
(KTH Stockholm)
Abstract

The Arnoldi method for standard eigenvalue problems possesses several

attractive properties making it robust, reliable and efficient for

many problems. We will present here a new algorithm equivalent to the

Arnoldi method, but designed for nonlinear eigenvalue problems

corresponding to the problem associated with a matrix depending on a

parameter in a nonlinear but analytic way. As a first result we show

that the reciprocal eigenvalues of an infinite dimensional operator.

We consider the Arnoldi method for this and show that with a

particular choice of starting function and a particular choice of

scalar product, the structure of the operator can be exploited in a

very effective way. The structure of the operator is such that when

the Arnoldi method is started with a constant function, the iterates

will be polynomials. For a large class of NEPs, we show that we can

carry out the infinite dimensional Arnoldi algorithm for the operator

in arithmetic based on standard linear algebra operations on vectors

and matrices of finite size. This is achieved by representing the

polynomials by vector coefficients. The resulting algorithm is by

construction such that it is completely equivalent to the standard

Arnoldi method and also inherits many of its attractive properties,

which are illustrated with examples.

Thu, 24 May 2012

12:30 - 13:30
Gibson 1st Floor SR

Regularity and stability of solutions to shock reflection problem

Mikhail Feldman
(University of Wisconsin)
Abstract

We discuss shock reflection problem for compressible gas dynamics, and von Neumann conjectures on transition between regular and Mach reflections. Then we will talk about some recent results on existence, regularity and geometric properties of regular reflection solutions for potential flow equation. In particular, we discuss optimal regularity of solutions near sonic curve, and stability of the normal reflection soluiton. Open problems will also

be discussed. The talk will be based on the joint work with Gui-Qiang Chen, and with Myoungjean Bae.

Thu, 24 May 2012

12:00 - 13:00
L3

Unoriented cobordism categories and Klein TQFTs

Rosalinda Juer
Abstract

The mid 1980s saw a shift in the nature of the relationship between mathematics and physics. Differential equations and geometry applied in a classical setting were no longer the principal players; in the quantum world topology and algebra had come to the fore. In this talk we discuss a method of classifying 2-dim invertible Klein topological quantum field theories (KTQFTs). A key object of study will be the unoriented cobordism category $\mathscr{K}$, whose objects are closed 1-manifolds and whose morphisms are surfaces (a KTQFT is a functor $\mathscr{K}\rightarrow\operatorname{Vect}_{\mathbb{C}}$). Time permitting, the open-closed version of the category will be considered, yielding some surprising results.

Wed, 23 May 2012

10:15 - 11:15
OCCAM Common Room (RI2.28)

Relationships between several particle-based stochastic reaction-diffusion models

Samuel Isaacson
(Boston University)
Abstract

Particle-based stochastic reaction-diffusion models have recently been used to study a number of problems in cell biology. These methods are of interest when both noise in the chemical reaction process and the explicit motion of molecules are important. Several different mathematical models have been used, some spatially-continuous and others lattice-based. In the former molecules usually move by Brownian Motion, and may react when approaching each other. For the latter molecules undergo continuous time random-walks, and usually react with fixed probabilities per unit time when located at the same lattice site.

As motivation, we will begin with a brief discussion of the types of biological problems we are studying and how we have used stochastic reaction-diffusion models to gain insight into these systems. We will then introduce several of the stochastic reaction-diffusion models, including the spatially continuous Smoluchowski diffusion limited reaction model and the lattice-based reaction-diffusion master equation. Our work studying the rigorous relationships between these models will be presented. Time permitting, we may also discuss some of our efforts to develop improved numerical methods for solving several of the models.

Tue, 22 May 2012

15:45 - 16:45
L3

From perfect obstruction theories to commutative differential graded algebras

Timo Schurg
(Bonn)
Abstract

A perfect obstruction theory for a commutative ring is a morphism from a perfect complex to the cotangent complex of the ring

satisfying some further conditions. In this talk I will present work in progress on how to associate in a functorial manner commutative

differential graded algebras to such a perfect obstruction theory. The key property of the differential graded algebra is that its zeroth homology

is the ring equipped with the perfect obstruction theory. I will also indicate how the method introduced can be globalized to work on schemes

without encountering gluing issues.

Tue, 22 May 2012

14:30 - 15:30
L3

Strong Ramsey saturation for cycles

Jozef Skokan
(LSE)
Abstract

We call a graph $H$ \emph{Ramsey-unsaturated} if there is an edge in the

complement of $H$ such that the Ramsey number $r(H)$ of $H$ does not

change upon adding it to $H$. This notion was introduced by Balister,

Lehel and Schelp who also showed that cycles (except for $C_4$) are

Ramsey-unsaturated, and conjectured that, moreover, one may add {\em

any} chord without changing the Ramsey number of the cycle $C_n$, unless

$n$ is even and adding the chord creates an odd cycle.

We prove this conjecture for large cycles by showing a stronger

statement: If a graph $H$ is obtained by adding a linear number of

chords to a cycle $C_n$, then $r(H)=r(C_n)$, as long as the maximum

degree of $H$ is bounded, $H$ is either bipartite (for even $n$) or

almost bipartite (for odd $n$), and $n$ is large.

This motivates us to call cycles \emph{strongly} Ramsey-unsaturated.

Our proof uses the regularity method.

Mon, 21 May 2012

17:00 - 18:00
Gibson 1st Floor SR

Euler equation as a limit of solutions of Boltzmann or Navier-Stokes equation

Claude Bardos
(Paris VII Denis Diderot)
Abstract

Recent results (starting with Scheffer and Shnirelman and continuing with De Lellis and Szekelhyhidi ) underline the importance of considering solutions of the incompressible Euler equations as limits of solutions of more physical examples like Navier-Stokes or Boltzmann.
I intend to discuss several examples illustrating this issue.

Mon, 21 May 2012

15:45 - 16:45
Oxford-Man Institute

Extrapolation methods for weak approximation schemes

DEJAN VELUSCEK
(ETH Zurich)
Abstract

We will give a quick overview of the semigroup perspective on splitting schemes for S(P)DEs which present a robust, "easy to implement" numerical method for calculating the expected value of a certain payoff of a stochastic process driven by a S(P)DE. Having a high numerical order of convergence enables us to replace the Monte Carlo integration technique by alternative, faster techniques. The numerical order of splitting schemes for S(P)DEs is bounded by 2. The technique of combining several splittings using linear combinations which kills some additional terms in the error expansion and thus raises the order of the numerical method is called the extrapolation. In the presentation we will focus on a special extrapolation of the Lie-Trotter splitting: the symmetrically weighted sequential splitting, and its subsequent extrapolations. Using the semigroup technique their convergence will be investigated. At the end several applications to the S(P)DEs will be given.

Mon, 21 May 2012

14:15 - 15:15
Oxford-Man Institute

Some applications of the Ninomiya-Victoir scheme in the context of financial engineering

CHRISTIAN BAYER
(University of Vienna)
Abstract

Based on ideas from rough path analysis and operator splitting, the Kusuoka-Lyons-Victoir scheme provides a family of higher order methods for the weak approximation of stochastic differential equations. Out of this family, the Ninomiya-Victoir method is especially simple to implement and to adjust to various different models. We give some examples of models used in financial engineering and comment on the performance of the Ninomiya-Victoir scheme and some modifications when applied to these models.

Mon, 21 May 2012

12:00 - 13:00
L3

Double Field Theory and the Geometry of Duality

Chris Hull
(Imperial College London)
Abstract

String theory on a torus requires the introduction of dual coordinates

conjugate to string winding number. This leads to physics and novel geometry in a doubled space. This will be

compared to generalized geometry, which doubles the tangent space but not the manifold.

For a d-torus,   string theory can be formulated in terms of an infinite

tower of fields depending on both the d torus coordinates and the d dual

coordinates. This talk focuses on a finite subsector  consisting of a metric

and B-field (both d x d matrices) and a dilaton all depending on the 2d

doubled torus coordinates.

The double field theory is constructed and found to have a novel symmetry

that reduces to diffeomorphisms and anti-symmetric tensor gauge

transformations in certain circumstances. It also has manifest T-duality

symmetry which provides a generalisation of the usual Buscher rules to

backgrounds without isometries. The theory has a real dependence on the full

doubled geometry:  the dual dimensions are not auxiliary. It is concluded

that the doubled geometry is physical and dynamical.

Fri, 18 May 2012

14:30 - 15:30
DH 3rd floor SR

Inverse methods in glaciology

Dr. Hilmar Gudmundsson
(British Antarctic Survey, Cambridge)
Abstract

Inverse methods are frequently used in geosciences to estimate model parameters from indirect measurements. A common inverse problem encountered when modelling the flow of large ice masses such as the Greenland and the Antarctic ice sheets is the determination of basal conditions from surface data. I will present an overview over some of the inverse methods currently used to tackle this problem and in particular discuss the use of Bayesian inverse methods in this context. Examples of the use of adjoint methods for large-scale optimisation problems that arise, for example, in flow modelling of West-Antarctica will be given.

Fri, 18 May 2012

14:15 - 15:00
DH 1st floor SR

Absence of arbitrage and changes of measure

Prof Martin Schweizer
(ETH Zurich)
Abstract

Absence of arbitrage is a highly desirable feature in mathematical models of financial markets. In its pure form (whether as NFLVR or as the existence of a variant of an equivalent martingale measure R), it is qualitative and therefore robust towards equivalent changes of the underlying reference probability (the "real-world" measure P). But what happens if we look at more quantitative versions of absence of arbitrage, where we impose for instance some integrability on the density dR/dP? To which extent is such a property robust towards changes of P? We discuss these uestions and present some recent results.

The talk is based on joint work with Tahir Choulli (University of Alberta, Edmonton).

Thu, 17 May 2012

17:00 - 18:15
Martin Wood Lecture

Speculation and bubbles

Jose A Scheinkman (Theodore Wells '29 Professor of Economics at Princeton)
Abstract

In this lecture I will exploit a model of asset prices where speculators overconfidence is a source of heterogeneous beliefs and arbitrage is limited. In the model, asset buyers are the most positive investors, but prices exceed their optimistic valuation because the owner of an asset has the option of reselling it in the future to an even more optimistic buyer. The value of this resale option can be identified as a bubble. I will focus on assets with a fixed terminal date, as is often the case with credit instruments. I will show that the size of a bubble satisfies a Partial Differential Equation that is similar to the equation satisfied by an American option and use the PDE to evaluate the impact of parameters such as interest rates or a “Tobin tax” on the size of the bubble and on trading volume.

Thu, 17 May 2012

17:00 - 18:00
L3

TBA

*Cancelled*
Thu, 17 May 2012

16:00 - 17:00
DH 1st floor SR

A Unifying Framework for Information Theoretic Feature Selection

Gavin Brown
(Manchester)
Abstract

Feature Selection is a ubiquitous problem in across data mining,

bioinformatics, and pattern recognition, known variously as variable

selection, dimensionality reduction, and others. Methods based on

information theory have tremendously popular over the past decade, with

dozens of 'novel' algorithms, and hundreds of applications published in

domains across the spectrum of science/engineering. In this work, we

asked the question 'what are the implicit underlying statistical

assumptions of feature selection methods based on mutual information?'

The main result I will present is a unifying probabilistic framework for

information theoretic feature selection, bringing almost two decades of

research on heuristic methods under a single theoretical interpretation.