Tue, 23 Oct 2018

12:00 - 13:00
C4

Biased random walks and the migration crisis in refugee camps

Maria del Rio Chanona
(University of Oxford)
Abstract


In this work, study the mean first saturation time (MFST), a generalization to the mean first passage time, on networks and show an application to the 2015 Burundi refugee crisis. The MFST between a sink node j, with capacity s, and source node i, with n random walkers, is the average number of time steps that it takes for at least s of the random walkers to reach a sink node j. The same concept, under the name of extreme events, has been studied in previous work for degree biased-random walks [2]. We expand the literature by exploring the behaviour of the MFST for node-biased random walks [1] in Erdős–Rényi random graph and geographical networks. Furthermore, we apply MFST framework to study the distribution of refugees in camps for the 2015 Burundi refugee crisis. For this last application, we use the geographical network of the Burundi conflict zone in 2015 [3]. In this network, nodes are cities or refugee camps, and edges denote the distance between them. We model refugees as random walkers who are biased towards the refugee camps which can hold s_j people. To determine the source nodes (i) and the initial number of random walkers (n), we use data on where the conflicts happened and the number of refugees that arrive at any camp under a two-month period after the start of the conflict [3]. With such information, we divide the early stage of the Burundi 2015 conflict into two waves of refugees. Using the first wave of refugees we calibrate the biased parameter β of the random walk to best match the distribution of refugees on the camps. Then, we test the prediction of the distribution of refugees in camps for the second wave using the same biased parameters. Our results show that the biased random walk can capture, to some extent, the distribution of refugees in different camps. Finally, we test the probability of saturation for various camps. Our model suggests the saturation of one or two camps (Nakivale and Nyarugusu) when in reality only Nyarugusu camp saturated.


[1] Sood, Vishal, and Peter Grassberger. ”Localization transition of biased random walks on random
networks.” Physical review letters 99.9 (2007): 098701.
[2] Kishore, Vimal, M. S. Santhanam, and R. E. Amritkar. ”Extreme event-size fluctuations in biased
random walks on networks.” arXiv preprint arXiv:1112.2112 (2011).
[3] Suleimenova, Diana, David Bell, and Derek Groen. ”A generalized simulation development approach
for predicting refugee destinations.” Scientific reports 7.1 (2017): 13377.

Tue, 23 Oct 2018

12:00 - 13:15
L4

Hawking points ?

Roger Penrose
Abstract

A dedicated search of the CMB sky, driven by implications of conformal
cyclic cosmology (CCC), has revealed a remarkably strong signal, previously
unobserved, of numerous small regions in the CMB sky that would appear to be
individual points on CCC's crossover 3-surface from the previous aeon, most
readily interpreted as the conformally compressed Hawking radiation from
supermassive black holes in the previous aeon, but difficult to explain in
terms of the conventional inflationary picture.

Mon, 22 Oct 2018

16:00 - 17:00
L4

Lagrangian solutions to the 2d Euler system with L1 vorticity and infinite energy

Francois Bouchut
(Université Paris-Est)
Abstract

We consider solutions to the two-dimensional incompressible Euler system with only integrable vorticity, thus with possibly locally infinite energy. With such regularity, we use the recently developed theory of Lagrangian flows associated to vector fields with gradient given by a singular integral in order to define Lagrangian solutions, for which the vorticity is transported by the flow. We prove strong stability of these solutions via strong convergence of the flow, under the only assumption of $L^1$ weak convergence of the initial vorticity. The existence of Lagrangian solutions to the Euler system follows for arbitrary $L^1$ vorticity. Relations with previously known notions of solutions are shown.

Mon, 22 Oct 2018
15:45
L6

Directed algebraic topology

Lisbeth Fajstrup
(Aalborg University)
Abstract

In directed algebraic topology, a topological space is endowed 
with an extra structure, a selected subset of the paths called the 
directed paths or the d-structure. The subset has to contain the 
constant paths, be closed under concatenation and non-decreasing 
reparametrization. A space with a d-structure is a d-space.
If the space has a partial order, the paths increasing wrt. that order 
form a d-structure, but the circle with counter clockwise paths as the 
d-structure is a prominent example without an underlying partial order.
Dipaths are dihomotopic if there is a one-parameter family of directed 
paths connecting them. Since in general dipaths do not have inverses, 
instead of fundamental groups (or groupoids), there is a fundamental 
category. So already at this stage, the algebra is less desirable than 
for topological spaces.
We will give examples of what is currently known in the area, the kind 
of methods used and the problems and questions which need answering - in 
particular with applications in computer science in mind.
 

Mon, 22 Oct 2018

15:45 - 16:45
L3

Excursion sets of Gaussian fields and percolation

MICHAEL McAULEY
(University of Oxford)
Abstract

The physics literature has for a long time posited a connection between the geometry of continuous random fields and discrete percolation models. Specifically the excursion sets of continuous fields are considered to be analogous to the open connected clusters of discrete models. Recent work has begun to formalise this relationship; many of the classic results of percolation (phase transition, RSW estimates etc) have been proven in the setting of smooth Gaussian fields. In the first part of this talk I will summarise these results. In the second I will focus on the number of excursion set components of Gaussian fields in large domains and discuss new results on the mean and variance of this quantity.

 

Mon, 22 Oct 2018

14:15 - 15:15
L3

Bismut Formula for Lions Derivative of Distribution Dependent SDEs and Applications

PANPAN REN
(Swansea University)
Abstract

By using Malliavin calculus, Bismut type formulas are established for the Lions derivative of , where  0,  is a bounded measurable function,  and  solves a distribution dependent SDE with initial distribution . As applications, explicit estimates are derived for the Lions derivative and the total variational distance between distributions of   solutions with different initial data. Both degenerate and non-degenerate situations are considered. Due to the lack of the semi-group property  and the invalidity of the formula =  , essential difficulties are overcome in the study.

Joint work with Professor Feng-Yu Wang

Mon, 22 Oct 2018

14:15 - 15:15
L4

Uncollapsing highly collapsed $G_2$ holonomy metrics.

Mark Haskins
(Bath)
Abstract

In recent joint work with Lorenzo Foscolo and Johannes Nordstr\”om we gave an analytic construction of large families of complete circle-invariant $G_2$
holonomy metrics on the total space of circle bundles over a complete noncompact Calabi—Yau 3-fold with asymptotically conical geometry. The
asymptotic models for the geometry of these $G_2$ metrics are circle bundles with fibres of constant length $l$, so-called asymptotically local conical
(ALC) geometry. These ALC $G_2$ metrics can Gromov—Hausdorff collapse with bounded curvature to the given asymptotically conical Calabi—Yau 3-fold as the fibre length $l$ goes to $0$. A natural question is: what happens to these families of $G_2$ metrics as we try to make $l$ large? In general the answer to this question is not known, but in cases with sufficient symmetry we have recently been able to give a complete picture.  

We give an overview of all these results and discuss some analogies with the class of asymptotically locally flat (ALF) hyperkaehler 4-manifolds. In
particular we suggest that a particular $G_2$ metric we construct should be regarded as a $G_2$ analogue of the Euclidean Taub—NUT metric on the complex plane.

Mon, 22 Oct 2018

13:00 - 14:00
N3.12

Mathematrix lunches - Friendly food

Abstract

Our meeting will be a relaxed opportunity to have informal discussions about issues facing minorities in academia and mathematics over lunch. In particular, if anyone would like to suggest a topic to start a discussion about (either in advance or on the day) then please feel free to do this, and it could be a spring board for organised sessions on the same topics in future terms!

Mon, 22 Oct 2018
12:45
L3

Higgs bundles, branes, and application

Laura Schaposnik
(Chicago)
Abstract

Higgs bundles are pairs of holomorphic vector bundles and holomorphic 1-forms taking values in the endomorphisms of the bundle. Their moduli spaces carry a natural Hyperkahler structure, through which one can study Lagrangian subspaces (A-branes) or holomorphic subspaces (B-branes). Notably, these A and B-branes have gained significant attention in string theory. After introducing Higgs bundles and the associated Hitchin fibration, we shall look at  natural constructions of families of different types of branes, and relate these spaces to the study of 3-manifolds, surface group representations and mirror symmetry.

Fri, 19 Oct 2018

14:00 - 15:00
C2

Plumes in heterogeneous porous formations

Duncan Hewitt
(University of Cambridge)
Abstract

Plumes are a characteristic feature of convective flow through porous media. Their dynamics are an important part of numerous geological processes, ranging from mixing in magma chambers to the convective dissolution of sequestered carbon dioxide. In this talk, I will discuss models for the spread of convective plumes in a heterogeneous porous environment. I will focus particularly on the effect of thin, roughly horizontal, low-permeability barriers to flow, which provide a generic form of heterogeneity in geological settings, and are a particularly widespread feature of sedimentary formations. With the aid of high-resolution numerical simulations, I will explore how a plume spreads and flows in the presence of one or more of these layers, and will briefly consider the implications of these findings in physical settings.

Fri, 19 Oct 2018

14:00 - 15:00
L1

What does a good maths solution look like?

Dr Vicky Neale
Abstract

In this interactive workshop, we'll discuss what mathematicians are looking for in written solutions.  How can you set out your ideas clearly, and what are the standard mathematical conventions?  Please bring a pen or pencil! 

This session is likely to be most relevant for first-year undergraduates, but all are welcome.

Fri, 19 Oct 2018

14:00 - 15:00
L3

Computational cell reprogramming

Professor Julian Gough
(MRC Laboratory of Molecular Biology Cambridge Biomedical Campus)
Abstract

Transdifferentiation, the process of converting from one cell type to another without going through a pluripotent state, has great promise for regenerative medicine. The identification of key transcription factors for reprogramming is limited by the cost of exhaustive experimental testing of plausible sets of factors, an approach that is inefficient and unscalable. We developed a predictive system (Mogrify) that combines gene expression data with regulatory network information to predict the reprogramming factors necessary to induce cell conversion. We have applied Mogrify to 173 human cell types and 134 tissues, defining an atlas of cellular reprogramming. Mogrify correctly predicts the transcription factors used in known transdifferentiations. Furthermore, we validated several new transdifferentiations predicted by Mogrify, including both into and out of the same cell type (keratinocytes). We provide a practical and efficient mechanism for systematically implementing novel cell conversions, facilitating the generalization of reprogramming of human cells. Predictions are made available via http://mogrify.net to help rapidly further the field of cell conversion.

Fri, 19 Oct 2018

10:00 - 11:00
L3

The Interdistrict shipping problem

Brent Peterson
(AirProducts)
Abstract

At first glance the Interdistrict shipping problem resembles a transportation problem.  N sources with M destinations with k Stock keeping units (SKU’s); however, we want to solve for the optimal shipping frequency between each node while determining the flow of each SKU across the network.  As the replenishment quantity goes up, the shipping frequency goes down and the inventory holding cost goes up (AWI = Replenishment Qty/2 + SS).  Safety stock also increases as frequency decreases.  The relationship between replenishment quantity and shipping frequency is non-linear (frequency = annual demand/replenishment qty).  The trucks which are used to transfer the product have finite capacity and the cost to drive the truck between 2 locations is constant regardless of how many containers are actually on the truck up to the max capacity.  Each product can have a different footprint of truck capacity.  Cross docking is allowed.  (i.e. a truck may travel from Loc A to loc B carrying products X and Y.  At loc B, the truck unloads product X, picks up product Z, and continues to location C.  The key here is that product Y does not incur any handling costs at Loc B while products X and Z do.)

The objective function seeks to minimize the total costs ( distribution + handling + inventory holding costs)  for all locations, for all SKU’s, while determining how much of each product should flow across each arc such that all demand is satisfied.

Thu, 18 Oct 2018

16:00 - 17:00
L6

Multizeta and related algebraic structures in the function field arithmetic

Dinesh Thakur
(Rochester)
Abstract

We will see some results and conjectures on the zeta and multizeta values in the function field context, and see how they relate to homological-homotopical objects, such as t-motives, iterated extensions, and to Hopf algebras, big Galois representations.

Thu, 18 Oct 2018

16:00 - 17:30
L4

Incomplete Equilibrium with a Stochastic Annuity

Kim Weston
(Rutgers University)
Abstract

In this talk, I will present an incomplete equilibrium model to determine the price of an annuity.  A finite number of agents receive stochastic income streams and choose between consumption and investment in the traded annuity.  The novelty of this model is its ability to handle running consumption and general income streams.  In particular, the model incorporates mean reverting income, which is empirically relevant but historically too intractable in equilibrium.  The model is set in a Brownian framework, and equilibrium is characterized and proven to exist using a system of fully coupled quadratic BSDEs.  This work is joint with Gordan Zitkovic.

Thu, 18 Oct 2018
16:00
C5

Smooth Lagrangians in conical symplectic resolutions

Filip Zivanovic
(University of Oxford)
Abstract

Conical symplectic resolutions are one of the main objects in the contemporary mix of algebraic geometry and representation theory, 

known as geometric representation theory. They cover many interesting families of objects such as quiver varieties and hypertoric

varieties, and some simpler such as Springer resolutions. The last findings [Braverman, Finkelberg, Nakajima] say that they arise

as Higgs/Coulomb moduli spaces, coming from physics. Most of the gadgets attached to conical symplectic resolutions are rather

algebraic, such as their quatizations and $\mathcal{O}$-categories. We are rather interested in the symplectic topology of them, in particular 

finding smooth exact Lagrangians that appear in the central fiber of the (defining) resolution, as they are objects of the Fukaya category.

Thu, 18 Oct 2018

16:00 - 17:30
L3

Periodic and localized structures in thin elastic plates

Fabian Brau
(Université libre de Bruxelles (ULB))
Abstract

Many types of patterns emerging spontaneously can be observed in systems involving thin elastic plates and subjected to external or internal stresses (compression, differential growth, shearing, tearing, etc.). These mechanical systems can sometime be seen as model systems for more complex natural systems and allow to study in detail elementary emerging patterns. One of the simplest among such systems is a bilayer composed of a thin plate resting on a thick deformable substrate. Upon slight compression, periodic undulations (wrinkles) with a well-defined wavelength emerge at the level of the thin layer. We will show that, as the compression increases, this periodic state is unstable and that a second order transition to a localized state (fold) occurs when the substrate is a dense fluid.

Thu, 18 Oct 2018

14:00 - 15:00
L4

Finite Size Effects — Random Matrices, Quantum Chaos, and Riemann Zeros

Prof Folkmar Bornemann
(TU Munich)
Abstract

Since the legendary 1972 encounter of H. Montgomery and F. Dyson at tea time in Princeton, a statistical correspondence of the non-trivial zeros of the Riemann Zeta function with eigenvalues of high-dimensional random matrices has emerged. Surrounded by many deep conjectures, there is a striking analogyto the energy levels of a quantum billiard system with chaotic dynamics. Thanks 
to extensive calculation of Riemann zeros by A. Odlyzko, overwhelming numerical evidence has been found for the quantum analogy. The statistical accuracy provided by an enormous dataset of more than one billion zeros reveals distinctive finite size effects. Using the physical analogy, a precise prediction of these effects was recently accomplished through the numerical evaluation of operator determinants and their perturbation series (joint work with P. Forrester and A. Mays, Melbourne).
 

Thu, 18 Oct 2018

13:00 - 14:00
L4

Dynamic clearing and contagion in an Eisenberg-Noe framework

Zachary Feinstein
((Washington University in St. Louis))
Abstract

We will consider an extension of the Eisenberg-Noe model of financial contagion to allow for time dynamics in both discrete and continuous time. Mathematical results on existence and uniqueness of firm wealths under discrete and continuous-time will be provided. The financial implications of time dynamics will be considered, with focus on how the dynamic clearing solutions differ from those of the static Eisenberg-Noe model.
 

Thu, 18 Oct 2018

12:00 - 13:00
L4

On the Existence of Solutions to the Two-Fluids Systems

Ewelina Zatorska
(University College London)
Abstract

In this talk I will present the recent developments in the topic of existence of solutions to the two-fluid systems. I will discuss the application of approach developed by P.-L. Lions and E. Feireisl and explain the limitations of this technique in the context of multi-component flow models. A particular example of such a model is two-fluids Stokes system with single velocity field and two densities, and with an algebraic pressure law closure. The existence result that uses the compactness criterion introduced for the Navier-Stokes system by D. Bresch and P.-E. Jabin will be presented. I will also mention an innovative construction of solutions relying on the G. Crippa and C. DeLellis stability estimates for the transport equation.

Wed, 17 Oct 2018
16:00
C1

Graph products of groups

Motiejus Valiunas
(Southampton University)
Abstract

Graph products are a class of groups that 'interpolate' between direct and free products, and generalise the notion of right-angled Artin groups. Given a property that free products (and maybe direct products) are known to satisfy, a natural question arises: do graph products satisfy this property? For instance, it is known that graph products act on tree-like spaces (quasi-trees) in a nice way (acylindrically), just like free products. In the talk we will discuss a construction of such an action and, if time permits, its relation to solving systems of equations over graph products.

Wed, 17 Oct 2018
11:00
N3.12

Rogers-Ramanujan Type Identities and Partitions

Adam Keilthy
(University of Oxford)
Abstract

In this talk, we shall introduce various identities among partitions of integers, and how these can be expressed via formal power series. In particular, we shall look at the Rogers Ramanujan identities of power series, and discuss possible combinatorial proofs using partitions and Durfree squares.

Tue, 16 Oct 2018
16:00
L5

On decidability in local and global fields

Jochen Koenigsmann
(Oxford)
Abstract

This is a survey on recent advances in classical decidability issues for local and global fields and for some canonical infinite extensions of those.