Seminar series
Date
Tue, 20 Oct 2015
Time
12:30 - 13:30
Location
Oxford-Man Institute
Speaker
Sebastian Ebert
Organisation
Tilburg University

We provide a result on prospect theory decision makers who are naïve about the time inconsistency induced by probability weighting. If a market offers a sufficiently rich set of investment strategies, investors postpone their trading decisions indefinitely due to a strong preference for skewness. We conclude that probability weighting in combination with naïveté leads to unrealistic predictions for a wide range of dynamic setups. Finally, I discuss recent work on the topic that invokes different assumptions on the dynamic modeling of prospect theory.

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