Fri, 06 Nov 2020

14:00 - 15:00
Virtual

Infection, inflammation, and intervention: mechanistic modelling of epithelial cells in COVID-19

Dr Dan Nicolau and Dr Nabil Fadai
(School of Mathematical Sciences Queensland University of Technology Brisban)
Abstract

While the pathological mechanisms in COVID-19 illness are still poorly understood, it is increasingly clear that high levels of pro-inflammatory mediators play a major role in clinical deterioration in patients with severe disease. Current evidence points to a hyperinflammatory state as the driver of respiratory compromise in severe COVID-19 disease, with a clinical trajectory resembling acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) but how this “runaway train” inflammatory response emergences and is maintained is not known. In this talk, we present the first mathematical model of lung hyperinflammation due to SARS- CoV-2 infection. This model is based on a network of purported mechanistic and physiological pathways linking together five distinct biochemical species involved in the inflammatory response. Simulations of our model give rise to distinct qualitative classes of COVID-19 patients: (i) individuals who naturally clear the virus, (ii) asymptomatic carriers and (iii–v) individuals who develop a case of mild, moderate, or severe illness. These findings, supported by a comprehensive sensitivity analysis, points to potential therapeutic interventions to prevent the emergence of hyperinflammation. Specifically, we suggest that early intervention with a locally-acting anti-inflammatory agent (such as inhaled corticosteroids) may effectively blockade the pathological hyperinflammatory reaction as it emerges.

 

 

Fri, 30 Oct 2020

14:00 - 15:00
Virtual

Harnessing experimentally-validated mathematical models to forecast influenza-mediated pathology

Professor Amber Smith
(Department of Pediatrics University of Tennessee Health Science Center)
Abstract

Influenza viruses infect millions of individuals each year and cause a significant amount of morbidity and mortality. Understanding how the virus spreads within the lung, how efficacious host immune control is, and how each influences acute lung injury and disease severity is critical to combat the infection. We used an integrative model-experiment exchange to establish the dynamical connections between viral loads, infected cells, CD8+ T cells, lung injury, and disease severity. Our model predicts that infection resolution is sensitive to CD8+ T cell expansion, that there is a critical T cell magnitude needed for efficient resolution, and that the rate of T cell-mediated clearance is dependent on infected cell density. 
We validated the model through a series of experiments, including CD8 depletion and whole lung histomorphometry. This showed that the infected area of the lung matches the model-predicted infected cell dynamics, and that the resolved area of the lung parallels the relative CD8 dynamics. Additional analysis revealed a nonlinear relation between disease severity, inflammation, and lung injury. These novel links between important host-pathogen kinetics and pathology enhance our ability to forecast disease progression.

Fri, 23 Oct 2020

14:00 - 15:00
Virtual

MultiMAP: dimensionality reduction of multiple datasets by manifold approximation and projection

Dr Sarah Teichmann
(Wellcome Genome Campus Wellcome Sanger Institute)
Abstract

Multi-modal data sets are growing rapidly in single cell genomics, as well as other fields in science and engineering. We introduce MultiMAP, an approach for dimensionality reduction and integration of multiple datasets. MultiMAP embeds multiple datasets into a shared space so as to preserve both the manifold structure of each dataset independently, in addition to the manifold structure in shared feature spaces. MultiMAP is based on the rich mathematical foundation of UMAP, generalizing it to the setting of more than one data manifold. MultiMAP can be used for visualization of multiple datasets as well as an integration approach that enables subsequent joint analyses. Compared to other integration for single cell data, MultiMAP is not restricted to a linear transformation, is extremely fast, and is able to leverage features that may not be present in all datasets. We apply MultiMAP to the integration of a variety of single-cell transcriptomics, chromatin accessibility, methylation, and spatial data, and show that it outperforms current approaches in run time, label transfer, and label consistency. On a newly generated single cell ATAC-seq and RNA-seq dataset of the human thymus, we use MultiMAP to integrate cells across pseudotime. This enables the study of chromatin accessibility and TF binding over the course of T cell differentiation.

Fri, 16 Oct 2020

14:00 - 15:00
Virtual

Stochastic modeling of reaction-diffusion processes in biology

Prof Hye-Won Kang
(Dept of Maths & Statistics University of Maryland)
Abstract

 Inherent fluctuations may play an important role in biological and chemical systems when the copy number of some chemical species is small. This talk will present the recent work on the stochastic modeling of reaction-diffusion processes in biochemical systems. First, I will introduce several stochastic models, which describe system features at different scales of interest. Then, model reduction and coarse-graining methods will be discussed to reduce model complexity. Next, I will show multiscale algorithms for stochastic simulation of reaction-diffusion processes that couple different modeling schemes for better efficiency of the simulation. The algorithms apply to the systems whose domain is partitioned into two regions with a few molecules and a large number of molecules.

An exact method for quantifying the reliability of end-of-epidemic declarations in real time
Parag, K Donnelly, C Jha, R Thompson, R (2020)
Cosmic Ray Spectrum from 250 TeV to 10 PeV using IceTop
Collaboration, I Physical Review D: Particles, Fields, Gravitation and Cosmology volume 102 (02 Dec 2020) http://arxiv.org/abs/2006.05215v1
Tue, 21 Jul 2020
12:00

Conformal Geometry of Null Infinity, including gravitational waves

Yannick Herfray
(ULB Brussells)
Abstract

Since the seminal work of Penrose, it has been understood that conformal compactifications (or "asymptotic simplicity") is the geometrical framework underlying Bondi-Sachs' description of asymptotically flat space-times as an asymptotic expansion. From this point of view the asymptotic boundary, a.k.a "null-infinity", naturally is a conformal null (i.e degenerate) manifold. In particular, "Weyl rescaling" of null-infinity should be understood as gauge transformations. As far as gravitational waves are concerned, it has been well advertised by Ashtekar that if one works with a fixed representative for the conformal metric, gravitational radiations can be neatly parametrized as a choice of "equivalence class of metric-compatible connections". This nice intrinsic description however amounts to working in a fixed gauge and, what is more, the presence of equivalence class tend to make this point of view tedious to work with.

I will review these well-known facts and show how modern methods in conformal geometry (namely tractor calculus) can be adapted to the degenerate conformal geometry of null-infinity to encode the presence of gravitational waves in a completely geometrical (gauge invariant) way: Ashtekar's (equivalence class of) connections are proved to be in 1-1 correspondence with choices of (genuine) tractor connection, gravitational radiation is invariantly described by the tractor curvature and the degeneracy of gravity vacua correspond to the degeneracy of flat tractor connections. The whole construction is fully geometrical and manifestly conformally invariant.

Open letter from UK based academic scientists to the secretaries of state for digital, culture, media and sport and for health and social care regarding the need for independent funding for the prevention and treatment of gambling harms.
Wardle, H Banks, J Bebbington, P Blank, L Bowden Jones Obe, H Bramley, S Bunn, C Casey, E Cassidy, R Chamberlain, S Close, J Critchlow, N Dobbie, F Downs, C Dymond, S Fino, E Goyder, E Gray, C Griffiths, M Grindrod, P Hogan, L Hoon, A Hunt, K James, R John, B Manthorpe, J McCambridge, J McDaid, D McKee, M McManus, S Moss, A Norrie, C Nutt, D Orford, J Pryce, R Purves, R Reith, G Roberts, A Roberts, E Roderique-Davies, G Rogers, J Rogers, R Sharman, S Strang, J Tunney, R Turner, J West, R Zendle, D BMJ (Clinical research ed.) volume 370 m2613 (Jul 2020)
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