We present an exponential-integrator-based multi-index Monte Carlo (MIMC) method for the weak approximation of mild solutions to semilinear stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs). Theoretical results on multi-index coupled solutions of the SPDE are provided, demonstrating their stability and the satisfaction of multiplicative error estimates. Leveraging this theory, we develop a tractable MIMC algorithm. Numerical experiments illustrate that MIMC outperforms alternative approaches, such as multilevel Monte Carlo, particularly in low-regularity settings.

In this seminar I will begin by giving an overview of some problems in stochastic simulation and uncertainty quantification. I will then outline the Multilevel Monte Carlo for situations in which accurate simulations are very costly, but it is possible to perform much cheaper, less accurate simulations.  Inspired by the multigrid method, it is possible to use a combination of these to achieve the desired overall accuracy at a much lower cost.

AI tools like ChatGPT, Microsoft Copilot, GitHub Copilot, Claude and even older AI-enabled tools like Grammarly and MS Word, are becoming an everyday part of our research environment.  This last-minute opening up of a seminar slot due to the unfortunate illness of our intended speaker (who will hopefully re-schedule for next term) gives us an opportunity to discuss what this means for us as researchers; what are good helpful uses of AI, and are there uses of AI which we might view as inappropriate?  Please come ready to participate with examples of things which you have done yourselves with AI tools.

We are now able to solve many partial differential equation problems that were well beyond reach when I started in academia. Some of this success is due to computer hardware but much is due to algorithmic advances. 

I will give a personal perspective of the development of computational methodology in this area over my career thus far.