Models. They are dominating our Lockdown lives. But what is a mathematical model? We hear a lot about the end result, but how is it put together? What are the assumptions? And how accurate can they be?

In our first online only lecture Robin Thompson, Research Fellow in Mathematical Epidemiology in Oxford, will explain. Robin is working on the ongoing modelling of Covid-19 and has made many and varied media appearances in the past few weeks. We are happy to take questions after the lecture.

Wed, 08 Apr 2020

17:00 - 18:00

Robin Thompson - How do mathematicians model infectious disease outbreaks? ONLINE LECTURE

Robin Thompson
(University of Oxford)
Further Information

Models. They are dominating our Lockdown lives. But what is a mathematical model? We hear a lot about the end result, but how is it put together? What are the assumptions? And how accurate can they be?

In our first online only lecture Robin Thompson, Research Fellow in Mathematical Epidemiology in Oxford, will explain. Robin is working on the ongoing modelling of Covid-19 and has made many and varied media appearances in the past few weeks. We are happy to take questions after the lecture.

Watch live:

https://twitter.com/oxunimaths?lang=en
https://www.facebook.com/OxfordMathematics/
https://livestream.com/oxuni/Thompson

Oxford Mathematics Public Lectures are generously supported by XTX Markets

Phase-dependence of response curves to deep brain stimulation and their relationship: from essential tremor patient data to a Wilson–Cowan model
Duchet, B Weerasinghe, G Cagnan, H Brown, P Bick, C Bogacz, R Journal of Mathematical Neuroscience volume 10 issue 1 (30 Mar 2020)
Tue, 19 May 2020
15:30
Virtual

Maximum height of 3D Ising interfaces

Eyal Lubetzky
(Courant Institute)
Further Information

Part of the Oxford Discrete Maths and Probability Seminar, held via Zoom. Please see the seminar website for details.

Abstract

Dobrushin (1972) showed that, at low enough temperatures, the interface of the 3D Ising model - the random surface separating the plus and minus phases above and below the $xy$-plane - is localized: it has $O(1)$ height fluctuations above a fixed point, and its maximum height $M_n$ on a box of side length $n$ is $O_P(\log n)$. We study this interface and derive a shape theorem for its "pillars" conditionally on reaching an atypically large height. We use this to analyze the maximum height $M_n$ of the interface, and prove that at low temperature $M_n/\log n$ converges to $c\beta$ in probability. Furthermore, the sequence $(M_n - E[M_n])_{n\geq 1}$ is tight, and even though this sequence does not converge, its subsequential limits satisfy uniform Gumbel tails bounds.
Joint work with Reza Gheissari.

Tue, 05 May 2020
14:00
Virtual

Ryser's conjecture and more

Liana Yepremyan
(LSE)
Further Information

Part of the Oxford Discrete Maths and Probability Seminar, held via Zoom. Please see the seminar website for details.

Abstract

A Latin square of order n is an $n \times n$ array filled with $n$ symbols such that each symbol appears only once in every row or column and a transversal is a collection of cells which do not share the same row, column or symbol. The study of Latin squares goes back more than 200 years to the work of Euler. One of the most famous open problems in this area is a conjecture of Ryser, Brualdi and Stein from 60s which says that every Latin square of order $n \times n$ contains a transversal of order $n-1$. A closely related problem is 40 year old conjecture of Brouwer that every Steiner triple system of order $n$ contains a matching of size $\frac{n-4}{3}$. The third problem we'd like to mention asks how many distinct symbols in Latin arrays suffice to guarantee a full transversal? In this talk we discuss a novel approach to attack these problems. Joint work with Peter Keevash, Alexey Pokrovskiy and Benny Sudakov.

Tue, 28 Apr 2020
14:00
Virtual

The breadth-first construction of scaling limits of graphs with finite excess

Gregory Miermont
(ENS Lyon)
Further Information

Part of the Oxford Discrete Maths and Probability Seminar, held via Zoom. Please see the seminar website for details.

Abstract

Random graphs with finite excess appear naturally in at least two different settings: random graphs in the critical window (aka critical percolation on regular and other classes of graphs), and unicellular maps of fixed genus. In the first situation, the scaling limit of such random graphs was obtained by Addario-Berry, Broutin and Goldschmidt based on a depth-first exploration of the graph and on the coding of the resulting forest by random walks. This idea originated in Aldous' work on the critical random graph, using instead a breadth-first search approach that seem less adapted to taking graph scaling limits. We show hat this can be done nevertheless, resulting in some new identities for quantities like the radius and the two-point function of the scaling limit. We also obtain a similar "breadth-first" construction of the scaling limit of unicellular maps of fixed genus. This is based on joint work with Sanchayan Sen.

Tue, 21 Apr 2020
14:00
Virtual

The percolation density θ(p) is analytic

Agelos Georgakopoulos
(Warwick)
Further Information

Part of the Oxford Discrete Maths and Probability Seminar, held via Zoom. Please see the seminar website for details.

Abstract

We prove that for Bernoulli bond percolation on $\mathbb{Z}^d$, $d\geq2$, the percolation density $\theta(p)$ (defined as the probability of the origin lying in an infinite cluster) is an analytic function of the parameter in the supercritical interval $(p_c,1]$. This answers a question of Kesten from 1981.

The proof involves a little bit of elementary complex analysis (Weierstrass M-test), a few well-known results from percolation theory (Aizenman-Barsky/Menshikov theorem), but above all combinatorial ideas. We used a new notion of contours, bounds on the number of partitions of an integer, and the inclusion-exclusion principle, to obtain a refinement of a classical argument of Peierls that settled the 2-dimensional case in 2018. More recently, we coupled these techniques with a renormalisation argument to handle all dimensions.

Joint work with Christoforos Panagiotis.

Tue, 14 Apr 2020
15:30
Virtual

Site percolation on planar graphs and circle packings

Ron Peled
(Tel Aviv)
Further Information

Part of the Oxford Discrete Maths and Probability Seminar, held via Zoom. Please see the seminar website for details.

Abstract

Color each vertex of an infinite graph blue with probability $p$ and red with probability $1-p$, independently among vertices. For which values of $p$ is there an infinite connected component of blue vertices? The talk will focus on this classical percolation problem for the class of planar graphs. Recently, Itai Benjamini made several conjectures in this context, relating the percolation problem to the behavior of simple random walk on the graph. We will explain how partial answers to Benjamini's conjectures may be obtained using the theory of circle packings. Among the results is the fact that the critical percolation probability admits a universal lower bound for the class of recurrent plane triangulations. No previous knowledge on percolation or circle packings will be assumed.

Tue, 07 Apr 2020
14:00
Virtual

Hipster random walks and their ilk

Louigi Addario-Berry
(McGill)
Further Information

Part of the Oxford Discrete Maths and Probability Seminar, held via Zoom. Please see the seminar website for details.

Abstract

I will describe how certain recursive distributional equations can be solved by using tools from numerical analysis on the convergence of approximation schemes for PDEs. This project is joint work with Luc Devroye, Hannah Cairns, Celine Kerriou, and Rivka Maclaine Mitchell.

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