This is an introduction to the article 

A. Beilinson, p-adic periods and derived de Rham cohomology, J. Amer. Math. Soc. 25 (2012), no. 3, 715--738.

Over the years, nonlinear and nonparametric models have attracted a great deal of attention. This is mainly due to the fact that most time series arising from the real-world exhibit nonlinear behavior, whereas nonparametric models, in principle, do not make strong prior assumptions about the true functional form of the underlying data generating process.

In this workshop, we will focus on the use of nonlinear and nonparametric modelling approaches for time series forecasting, and discuss the need and implications of accurate forecasts for informed policy and decision-making. Crucially, we will discuss some of the major challenges (and potential solutions) in probabilistic time series forecasting, with emphasis on: (1) Modelling in the presence of regime shifts, (2) Effect of model over-fitting on out-of-sample forecast accuracy, and, (3) Importance of using naïve benchmarks and different performance scores for model comparison. We will discuss the applications of different modelling approaches for: Macroeconomics (US GNP), Energy (electricity consumption recorded via smart meters), and Healthcare (remote detection of disease symptoms).

This talk will be a geophysicist's view on the emerging properties of a numerical model representing the Earth's climate and volcanic activity over the past million years.

The model contains a 2D ice sheet (Glen's Law solved with a semi-implicit scheme), an energy balance for the atmosphere and planet surface (explicit), and an ODE for the time evolution of CO2 (explicit).

The dependencies between these models generate behaviour similar to weakly coupled nonlinear oscillators.

It is quite easy to see that the sobrification of a
topological space is a dcpo with respect to its specialisation order
and that the topology is contained in the Scott topology wrt this
order. It is also known that many classes of dcpo's are sober when
considered as topological spaces via their Scott topology. In 1982,
Peter Johnstone showed that, however, not every dcpo has this
property in a delightful short note entitled "Scott is not always
sober".

Weng Kin Ho and Dongsheng Zhao observed in the early 2000s that the
Scott topology of the sobrification of a dcpo is typically different
from the Scott topology of the original dcpo, and they wondered
whether there is a way to recover the original dcpo from its
sobrification. They showed that for large classes of dcpos this is
possible but were not able to establish it for all of them. The
question became known as the Ho-Zhao Problem. In a recent
collaboration, Ho, Xiaoyong Xi, and I were able to construct a
counterexample.

In this talk I want to present the positive results that we have about
the Ho-Zhao problem as well as our counterexample.