This talk presents a new framework for Merton’s optimal investment problem which uses the theory of Meyer $\sigma$-fields to allow for signals that possibly warn the investor about impending jumps. With strategies no longer predictable, some care has to be taken to properly define wealth dynamics through stochastic integration. By means of dynamic programming, we solve the problem explicitly for power utilities. In a case study with Gaussian jumps, we find, for instance, that an investor may prefer to disinvest even after a mildly positive signal. Our setting also allows us to investigate whether, given the chance, it is better to improve signal quality or quantity and how much extra value can be generated from either choice.
This talk is based on joint work with Peter Bank.