Thu, 12 May 2022

17:00 - 18:00
Lecture Theatre 1, Mathematical Institute, Radcliffe Observatory Quarter, Woodstock Road, OX2 6GG

Communicating Complex Statistical Ideas to the Public: Lessons from the Pandemic - David Spiegelhalter

David Spiegelhalter
(University of Cambridge)
Further Information

Oxford Mathematics Public Lecture

Communicating Complex Statistical Ideas to the Public: Lessons from the Pandemic - David Spiegelhalter

In-person:Thursday 12 May, 5.00-6.00pm, Mathematical Institute, Oxford

Online: Thursday 19 May, 5.00-6.00pm, Oxford Mathematics YouTube Channel

The pandemic has demonstrated how important data becomes at a time of crisis. But statistics are tricky: they don't always mean what we think they mean, there are many subtle pitfalls, and some people misrepresent their message. Their interpretation is an art. David will describe efforts at communicating about statistics during the pandemic, including both successes and dismal failures.

Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter FRS OBE is Chair of the Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication at the University of Cambridge, which aims to improve the way that statistical evidence is used by health professionals, patients, lawyers and judges, media and policy-makers. He has been very busy over the Covid crisis. His bestselling book, The Art of Statistics, was published in March 2019, and Covid by Numbers came out in October 2021. He was knighted in 2014 for services to medical statistics.

Please email @email to register for the in-person event (the online screening requires no registration).

The lecture will be available on our Oxford Mathematics YouTube Channel on 19th May at 5pm (and can be watched any time after that).

The Oxford Mathematics Public Lectures are generously supported by XTX Markets.

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The study of finitely generated groups usually proceeds in two steps. Firstly, a class of spaces with some intrinsic geometric property is defined and understood, for example hyperbolic spaces or CAT(0) spaces. Secondly, we try to relate the geometry of the space to algebraic properties of groups acting properly discontinuously cocompactly (i.e. geometrically) on the space. For example, this gives rise to the well studied classes of hyperbolic groups and CAT(0) groups.

First Search for Unstable Sterile Neutrinos with the IceCube Neutrino Observatory
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Fri, 10 Jun 2022

10:00 - 11:00
L5

Understanding alumina raft melting/splitting phenomenon

Ellen Nordgård-Hansen, Eirik Manger
(NORCE)
Abstract

Alumina is a raw material for aluminium production, and Attila Kovacs made mathematical models for alumina feeding, including heating, melt infiltration, and dissolution. One of his assumptions is that when several alumina particle stick together to form a "raft", these will stay together even if initial frozen cryolite inside this "raft" melts, and even if almost all alumina in the "raft" is dissolved. In reality, the "raft" will break up, either from one of the two mechanisms already mentioned, or from the expansion of gas or water vapor stuck within the "raft". We would therefore like to investigate mathematically when and under which circumstances this splitting up will take place. 

Fri, 13 May 2022

10:00 - 11:00
L2

Generalizing the fast Fourier transform to handle missing input data

Keith Briggs
(BT)
Abstract

The discrete Fourier transform is fundamental in modern communication systems.  It is used to generate and process (i.e. modulate and demodulate) the signals transmitted in 4G, 5G, and wifi systems, and is always implemented by one of the fast Fourier transforms (FFT) algorithms.  It is possible to generalize the FFT to work correctly on input vectors with periodic missing values.   I will consider whether this has applications, such as more general transmitted signal waveforms, or further applications such as spectral density estimation for time series with missing data.  More speculatively, can we generalize to "recursive" missing values, where the non-missing blocks have gaps?   If so, how do we optimally recognize such a pattern in a given time series?

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