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Image: Kathleen Hyndman (1928-2022), Radiate/Glow, 1975, acrylic on canvas, 122 x 114 cm. Currently in the South Mezzanine, Andrew Wiles Building

Thu, 13 Mar 2025
16:00
L5

A Forward-Backward Approach to Endogenous Distress Contagion

Philipp Jettkant
(Imperial College )
Further Information

Please join us for refreshments outside the lecture room from 15:30.

Abstract

In this talk, I will introduce a dynamic model of a banking network in which the value of interbank obligations is continuously adjusted to reflect counterparty default risk. An interesting feature of the model is that the credit value adjustments increase volatility during downturns, leading to endogenous distress contagion. The counterparty default risk can be computed backwards in time from the obligations' maturity date, leading to a specification of the model in terms of a forward-backward stochastic differential equation (FBSDE), coupled through the banks' default times. The singular nature of this coupling, makes a probabilistic analysis of the FBSDE challenging. So, instead, we derive a characterisation of the default probabilities through a cascade of partial differential equations (PDE). Each PDE represents a configuration with a different number of defaulted banks and has a free boundary that coincides with the banks' default thresholds. We establish classical well-posedness of this PDE cascade, from which we derive existence and uniqueness of the FBSDE.

This week's short video with some invaluable advice at the end for those of you who sit through committees.

Reducing transmission in multiple settings is required to eliminate the risk of major Ebola outbreaks: a mathematical modelling study
Evans, A Hart, W Longobardi, S Desikan, R Sher, A Thompson, R Journal of the Royal Society Interface volume 22 issue 224 (19 Mar 2025)
The motion of a bubble in a non-uniform Hele-Shaw flow
Booth, D Griffiths, I Howell, P Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences volume 481 issue 2311 (02 Apr 2025)
J. M. F. Wright and Newton's method of first and last ratios
Hollings, C Research in History and Philosophy of Mathematics: The CSHPM 2024 Volume
Fri, 14 Mar 2025
15:00
L4

A Statistical Perspective on Multiparameter Persistent Homology

Mathieu Carrière
(Centre Inria d'Université Côte d'Azur)

Note: we would recommend to join the meeting using the Teams client for best user experience.

Abstract

Multiparameter persistent homology is a generalization of persistent homology that allows for more than a single filtration function. Such constructions arise naturally when considering data with outliers or variations in density, time-varying data, or functional data. Even though its algebraic roots are substantially more complicated, several new invariants have been proposed recently. In this talk, I will go over such invariants, as well as their stability, vectorizations and implementations in statistical machine learning.

Cohomology Theories
Tillmann, U Encyclopedia of Mathematical Physics, Second Edition: Volumes 1-5 volume 1-5 V3:447-V3:456 (01 Jan 2024)
Fri, 30 May 2025

12:00 - 13:00
Quillen Room

Weight part of Serre's conjecture

Calle Sonne
(London School of Geometry & Number Theory)
Abstract

In the 1970s, Serre conjectured that any continuous, irreducible and odd mod p representation of the absolute Galois group G_Q is modular. Serre furthermore conjectured that there should be an explicit minimal weight "k" such that the Galois representation is modular of this weight, and that this weight only depends on the restriction of the Galois representation to the inertial subgroup I_p. This is often called the weight part of Serre's conjecture. Both the weight part, and the modularity part, of the Serre's conjecture are nowadays known to be true. In this talk, I want to explain how to rephrase the conjecture in representation theoretic terms (for k >= 2), so that the weight k is replaced by a certain (mod p) irreducible representation of GL_2(F_p), and how upon rephrasing the conjecture one can realize it as a statement about local-global compatibility with the mod p local Langlands correspondence.

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