Investigating the dose-dependency of the midgut escape barrier using a mechanistic model of within-mosquito dengue virus population dynamics.
Johnson, R Stopard, I Byrne, H Armstrong, P Brackney, D Lambert, B PLoS pathogens volume 20 issue 4 e1011975 (01 Apr 2024)
A continuum model for the elongation and orientation of Von Willebrand factor with applications in arterial flow
Yeo, E Oliver, J Korin, N Waters, S Biomechanics and Modeling in Mechanobiology volume 23 issue 4 1299-1317 (09 Apr 2024)
Generalized charges, part I: Invertible symmetries and higher representations
Bhardwaj, L Schäfer-Nameki, S SciPost Physics volume 16 issue 4 093 (04 Apr 2024)
Semmaphorin 3 A causes immune suppression by inducing cytoskeletal paralysis in tumour-specific CD8<sup>+</sup> T cells.
Barnkob, M Michaels, Y André, V Macklin, P Gileadi, U Valvo, S Rei, M Kulicke, C Chen, J Jain, V Woodcock, V Colin-York, H Hadjinicolaou, A Kong, Y Mayya, V Mazet, J Mead, G Bull, J Rijal, P Pugh, C Townsend, A Gérard, A Olsen, L Fritzsche, M Fulga, T Dustin, M Jones, E Cerundolo, V Nature communications volume 15 issue 1 3173 (12 Apr 2024)
Higher order Lipschitz Sandwich theorems
Lyons, T McLeod, A (10 Apr 2024)
A high order solver for signature kernels
Lemercier, M Lyons, T (02 Apr 2024)
A first passage model of intravitreal drug delivery and residence time, in relation to ocular geometry, individual variability, and injection location
Lamirande, P Gaffney, E Gertz, M Maini, P Crawshaw, J Caruso, A (05 Apr 2024)
Tue, 19 Nov 2024
16:00
L6

Will large economies be stable?

Jean-Philippe Bouchaud
(Ecole Normale Supérieure/Capital Fund Management)
Abstract

We study networks of firms in which inputs for production are not easily substitutable, as in several real-world supply chains. Building on Robert May's original argument for large ecosystems, we argue that such networks generically become dysfunctional when their size increases, when the heterogeneity between firms becomes too strong, or when substitutability of their production inputs is reduced. At marginal stability and for large heterogeneities, crises can be triggered by small idiosyncratic shocks, which lead to “avalanches” of defaults. This scenario would naturally explain the well-known “small shocks, large business cycles” puzzle, as anticipated long ago by Bak, Chen, Scheinkman, and Woodford. However, an out-of-equilibrium version of the model suggests that other scenarios are possible, in particular that of `turbulent economies’.

Subscribe to