Fri, 07 Nov 2003
14:15
DH 3rd floor SR

Sequential entry and exit decisions with an ergodic criterion

Mihail Zervos
(KCL)
Abstract

We consider an investment model that can operate in two different

modes. The transition from one mode to the other one is immediate and forms a

sequence of costly decisions made by the investment's management. Each of the

two modes is associated with a rate of payoff that is a function of a state

process which can be an economic indicator such as the price of a given

comodity. We model the state process by a general one-dimensional

diffusion. The objective of the problem is to determine the switching

strategy that maximises a long-term average criterion in a pathwise

sense. Our analysis results in analytic solutions that can easily be

computed, and exhibit qualitatively different optimal behaviours.

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