C3

Many northern hemisphere climate records show a series of rapid climate changes - Dansgaard-Oesgher (D-O) cycles - that recurred on centennial to millennial timescales throughout most of the last glacial period.  They consist of sudden warming jumps of order 10°C, followed generally by a slow cooling lasting a few centuries, and then a rapid temperature drop into a cold period of similar length.  Most explanations for D-O events call on changes in the strength of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC), but the mechanism for triggering and pacing such changes is uncertain. Changes in freshwater delivery to the ocean are assumed to be important. 

Here, we investigate whether the proposed AMOC changes could have occurred as part of a natural relaxation oscillation, in which runoff from the northern hemisphere ice sheets varies in response to each warming and cooling event, and in turn provides the freshwater delivery that controls the ocean circulation.  In this mechanism the changes are buffered and paced by slow changes in salnity of the Arctic ocean.  We construct a simple model to investigate whether the timescales and magnitudes make this a viable mechanism.  

Radar data from both Greenland and Antarctica show folds and other disruptions to the stratigraphy of the deep ice. The mechanisms by which stratigraphy deforms are related to the interplay between ice flow and topography. Here we show that when ice flows across valleys or overdeepenings, viscous overturnings called Moffatt eddies can develop. At the base of a subglacial valley, the shear on the valley walls is transfered through the ice, forcing the ice to overturn. To understand the formation of these eddies, we numerically solve the non-Newtonian Stokes equations with a Glen's law rheology to determine the critical valley angle for the eddies to form. The decrease in ice viscosity with shear enhances shear localization and, therefore, Moffatt eddies form in smaller valley angles (steeper slopes) than in a fluid that does not localize shear, such as a Newtonian fluid. When temperature is incorporated into the ice rheology, the warmer basal ice is less viscous and eddies form in larger valley angles (shallower slopes) than in isothermal ice. We apply our simulations to the Gamburtsev Subglacial Mountains and solve for the ice flow over radar-determined topography. These simulations show Moffatt eddies on the order of 100 meters tall in the deep subglacial valleys.

Strombolian volcanoes are thought to maintain their semi-permanent eruptive style by means of counter-current two-phase convective flow in the volcanic conduit leading from the magma chamber, driven by the buoyancy provided by exsolution of volatiles such as water vapour and carbon dioxide in the upwelling magma, due to pressure release. A model of bubbly two-phase flow is presented to describe this, but it is found that the solution breaks down before the vent at the surface is reached. We propose that the mathematical breakdown of the solution is associated with the physical breakdown of the two-phase flow regime from a bubbly flow to a churn-turbulent flow. We provide a second two-phase flow model to describe this regime, and we show that the solution can be realistically continued to the vent. The model is also in keeping with observations of eruptive style.

Let S be a set of monic degree 2 polynomials over a finite field and let C be the compositional semigroup generated by S. In this talk we establish a necessary and sufficient condition for C to be consisting entirely of irreducible polynomials. The condition we deduce depends on the finite data encoded in a certain graph uniquely determined by the generating set S. Using this machinery we are able both to show examples of semigroups of irreducible polynomials generated by two degree 2 polynomials and to give some non-existence results for some of these sets in infinitely many prime fields satisfying certain arithmetic conditions (this is a joint work with A.Ferraguti and R.Schnyder). Time permitting, we will also describe how to use character sum techniques to bound the size of the graph determined by the generating set (this is a joint work with D.R. Heath-Brown).

The large sieve is a powerful analytic tool in number theory, with many beautiful and diverse applications. In its most general form it resembles an approximate Bessel's inequality, and this clear modern theory rests on the combined effort of countless mathematicians in the mid-twentieth century -- Linnik, Roth, Selberg, Montgomery, Vaughan, and Bombieri, to name a few. However, it is hardly obvious to the beginner why this rather abstract inequality should be called 'large', or 'sieve'. In this introductory talk, aimed particularly at new graduate students, we discuss the rudimentary theory of the large sieve, some particular applications to sieving problems, and (at least one) proof. 

The mathematical design of the table flood demonstrator Wetropolis will be presented. Wetropolis illustrates the concepts of extreme rainfall and flooding.

It shows how extreme rainfall events  can cause flooding of a city due to groundwater and river flood peaks. Rainfall is supplied randomly in space using four outcomes (in a reservoir, on a moor, at both places or nowhere) and randomly in time using four rainfall intensities (1s, 2s, 4s, or 9s during a 10s Wetropolis day), including one extreme event, via two skew-symmetric discrete probability distributions visualised by two Galton boards. Wetropolis can be used for both public outreach and as scientific testing environment for flood mitigation and data assimilation.

More information: https://www.facebook.com/resurging.flows

The spreading of a viscous fluid in between a rigid, horizontal substrate and an overlying elastic sheet is presented as a simplified model of the hydraulic fracturing process. In particular, the talk will focus on the case of a permeable substrate for which leak-off arrests the propagation of the fluid and permits the development of a steady state. The different regimes of  gravitationally-driven and elastically-driven flow will be explored, as will the cases of a stiff and flexible sheet, before a discussion of the influence that particles included in the fluid have on the fracture propagation.