Mon, 19 May 2025
15:30
L5

Stable equivalence relations of 4-manifolds

Daniel Kasprowski
(University of Southampton)
Abstract

Kreck’s modified surgery gives an approach to classify 2n-manifolds up to stable diffeomorphism, i.e., up to a connected sum with copies of $S^n \times  S^n$. In dimension 4, we use a combination of modified and classical surgery to compare the stable diffeomorphism classification with other stable equivalence relations. Most importantly, we consider homotopy equivalence up to connected sum with copies of $S^2 \times  S^2$. This talk is based on joint work with John Nicholson and Simona Veselá.

Fri, 23 May 2025
13:00
L5

Stratified learning, cell biophysics, and material structures

Yossi Bokor Bleile
(IST Austria)

Note: we would recommend to join the meeting using the Teams client for best user experience.

Abstract

Geometry and topology call tell us about the shape of data. In this talk, I will give an introduction to my work on learning stratified spaces from samples, look at the use of persistent homology in cell biophysics, and apply persistence in understanding material structures.

Thu, 19 Jun 2025
13:30
L5

From path integrals to… financial markets?

Giuseppe Bogna
Abstract

Ever wondered how ideas from physics can used in real-world scenarios? Come to this talk to understand what is an option and how they are traded in markets. I will recall some basic notions of stochastic calculus and derive the Black-Scholes (BS) equation for plain vanilla options. The BS equation can be solved using standard path integral techniques, that also allow to price more exotic derivatives. Finally, I will discuss whether the assumptions behind Black-Scholes dynamics are reasonable in real-world markets (spoiler: they're not), volatility smiles and term structures of the implied volatility.

 

Junior Strings is a seminar series where DPhil students present topics of common interest that do not necessarily overlap with their own research area. This is primarily aimed at PhD students and post-docs but everyone is welcome.

Thu, 19 Jun 2025
16:00
L5

Mathematical Finance w/o Probability: Path-Dependent Portfolio Allocation

Henry Chiu
(University of Birmingham)
Abstract

We introduce a non-probabilistic, path-by-path framework for continuous-time, path-dependent portfolio allocation. Extending the self-financing concept recently introduced in Chiu & Cont (2023), we characterize self-financing portfolio allocation strategies through a path-dependent PDE and provide explicit solutions for the portfolio value in generic markets, including price paths that are not necessarily continuous or exhibit variation of any order.

As an application, we extend an aggregating algorithm of Vovk and the universal algorithm of Cover to continuous-time meta-algorithms that combine multiple strategies into a single strategy, respectively tracking the best individual and the best convex combination of strategies. This work extends Cover’s theorem to continuous-time without probability.

Thu, 12 Jun 2025
16:00
L5

First- and Half-order Schemes for Regime Switching Stochastic Differential Equation with Non-differentiable Drift Coefficient

Chaman Kumar
(Indian Institute of Technology)
Abstract

An explicit first-order drift-randomized Milstein scheme for a regime switching stochastic differential equation is proposed and its bi-stability and rate of strong convergence are investigated for a non-differentiable drift coefficient. Precisely, drift is Lipschitz continuous while diffusion along with its derivative is Lipschitz continuous. Further, we explore the significance of evaluating Brownian trajectories at every switching time of the underlying Markov chain in achieving the convergence rate 1 of the proposed scheme. In this context, possible variants of the scheme, namely modified randomized and reduced randomized schemes, are considered and their convergence rates are shown to be 1/2. Numerical experiments are performed to illustrate the convergence rates of these schemes along with their corresponding non-randomized versions. Further, it is illustrated that the half-order non-randomized reduced and modified schemes outperform the classical Euler scheme.

Thu, 29 May 2025
16:00
L5

Sovereign debt default and climate risk

Emilio Barucci
(Politecnico di Milano)
Abstract
We explore the interplay between sovereign debt default and climate risk. Pollution  (e.g., pollution from land use, natural resource exploitation) contributes to the likelihood of natural disasters and influences economic growth rates. The country can default on its debt at any time while also deciding whether to invest in pollution abatement. The framework provides insights into the credit spreads of sovereign bonds and explains the observed relationship between bond spread and country's climate vulnerability. Through calibration for developing and low-income countries, we show that there is limited incentive for these countries to address climate risk, and the sensitivity of bond spreads to climate vulnerability is limited. Climate risk does not play a relevant role on the decision to default on sovereign debt. Financial support for climate abatement expenditures can effectively foster climate adaptation actions, instead renegotiation conditional upon pollution abatement does not produce any effect. 


 

Thu, 22 May 2025
16:00
L5

Liquidity Competition Between Brokers and an Informed Trader

Ryan Donnelly
(King's College London)
Abstract

We study a multi-agent setting in which brokers transact with an informed trader. Through a sequential Stackelberg-type game, brokers manage trading costs and adverse selection with an informed trader. In particular, supplying liquidity to the informed traders allows the brokers to speculate based on the flow information. They simultaneously attempt to minimize inventory risk and trading costs with the lit market based on the informed order flow, also known as the internalization-externalization strategy. We solve in closed form for the trading strategy that the informed trader uses with each broker and propose a system of equations which classify the equilibrium strategies of the brokers. By solving these equations numerically we may study the resulting strategies in equilibrium. Finally, we formulate a competitive game between brokers in order to determine the liquidity prices subject to precommitment supplied to the informed trader and provide a numerical example in which the resulting equilibrium is not Pareto efficient.

Wed, 14 May 2025
13:30
L5

q-deformations and (uniqueness of) string amplitudes

Maria Nocchi
Abstract

q-deformations offer a systematic way to generalize familiar mathematical structures, revealing hidden symmetries and richer geometries that collapse back to classical frameworks as the deformation parameter goes to 1. Beyond their mathematical elegance, q-deformations have naturally emerged in diverse areas of theoretical physics, offering fresh perspectives on quantization, regularization, and non-commutative geometry. In this talk, we will explore how q-deformations intersect with the intriguing question of the uniqueness of string scattering amplitudes.

 

Junior Strings is a seminar series where DPhil students present topics of common interest that do not necessarily overlap with their own research area. This is primarily aimed at PhD students and post-docs but everyone is welcome.

Wed, 28 May 2025
11:00
L5

A central limit theorem and large deviations principle for the generalised Dean--Kawasaki equation with truncated noise on a bounded domain

Shyam Popat
(Mathematical Institute)
Abstract

We begin with motivation on how the study of SPDEs are relevant when interested in fluctuations of particle systems. 

We then present a law of large numbers, central limit theorem and large deviations principle for the generalised Dean--Kawasaki SPDE with truncated noise. 

Our main contribution is the ability to consider the equation on a general $C^2$-regular, bounded domain with Dirichlet boundary conditions. On the particle level the boundary condition corresponds to absorption and injection of particles at the boundary.

The work is based on discussions with Benjamin Fehrman and can be found at https://arxiv.org/pdf/2504.17094 

 

Wed, 11 Jun 2025
11:00
L5

Conditioning Diffusions Using Malliavin Calculus

Dr Jakiw Pidstrigach
(Department of Statistics, University of Oxford)
Abstract

In stochastic optimal control and conditional generative modelling, a central computational task is to modify a reference diffusion process to maximise a given terminal-time reward. Most existing methods require this reward to be differentiable, using gradients to steer the diffusion towards favourable outcomes. However, in many practical settings, like diffusion bridges, the reward is singular, taking an infinite value if the target is hit and zero otherwise. We introduce a novel framework, based on Malliavin calculus and path-space integration by parts, that enables the development of methods robust to such singular rewards. This allows our approach to handle a broad range of applications, including classification, diffusion bridges, and conditioning without the need for artificial observational noise. We demonstrate that our approach offers stable and reliable training, outperforming existing techniques. 

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