Mathematical and Computational Finance Seminar

Understanding the relationship between expectation and price is central to applications of mathematical finance, including algorithmic trading, derivative pricing and hedging, and the modelling of margin and capital. In this presentation, the link is established via dynamic entropic risk optimisation, which is promoted for its convenient integration into standard pricing methodologies and for its ability to quantify and analyse model risk. As an example of the versatility of entropic pricing, discrete models with classical and quantum information are compared, with studies that demonstrate the effectiveness of quantum decorrelation for model fitting.

We study  dynamic 𝑁-player noncooperative games called 𝛼-potential games, where the change of a player’s objective function upon her unilateral deviation from her strategy is equal to the change of an 𝛼-potential function up to an error 𝛼. Analogous to the static potential game (which corresponds to 𝛼=0), the 𝛼-potential game framework is shown to reduce the challenging task of finding 𝛼-Nash equilibria for a dynamic game to minimizing the 𝛼-potential function. Moreover, an analytical characterization of 𝛼-potential functions is established, with 𝛼 represented in terms of the magnitude of the asymmetry of objective functions’ second-order derivatives. For stochastic differential games in which the state dynamic is a controlled diffusion, 𝛼 is characterized in terms of the number of players, the choice of admissible strategies, and the intensity of interactions and the level of heterogeneity among players. Two classes of stochastic differential games, namely, distributed games and games with mean field interactions, are analyzed to highlight the dependence of 𝛼 on general game characteristics that are beyond the mean field paradigm, which focuses on the limit of 𝑁 with homogeneous players. To analyze the 𝛼-NE (Nash equilibrium), the associated optimization problem is embedded into a conditional McKean–Vlasov control problem. A verification theorem is established to construct 𝛼-NE based on solutions to an infinite-dimensional Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman equation, which is reduced to a system of ordinary differential equations for linear-quadratic games.

We develop a general framework for pathwise stochastic integration that extends Follmer's classical approach beyond gradient-type integrands and standard left-point Riemann sums and provides pathwise counterparts of Ito, Stratonovich, and backward Ito integration. More precisely, for a continuous path admitting both quadratic variation and Levy area along a fixed sequence of partitions, we define pathwise stochastic integrals as limits of general Riemann sums and prove that they coincide with integrals defined with respect to suitable rough paths. Furthermore, we identify necessary and sufficient conditions under which the quadratic variation and the Levy area of a continuous path are invariant with respect to the choice of partition sequences.