Past

We introduce a methodology based on Multireference Alignment (MRA) for lead-lag detection in multivariate time series, and demonstrate its applicability in developing trading strategies. Specifically designed for low signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) scenarios, our approach estimates denoised latent signals from a set of time series. We also investigate the impact of clustering the time series on the recovery of latent signals. We demonstrate that our lead-lag detection module outperforms commonly employed cross-correlation-based methods. Furthermore, we devise a cross-sectional trading strategy that capitalizes on the lead-lag relationships uncovered by our approach and attains significant economic benefits. Promising backtesting results on daily equity returns illustrate the potential of our method in quantitative finance and suggest avenues for future research.

We present a general framework for preconditioning Hermitian positive definite linear systems based on the Bregman log determinant divergence. This divergence provides a measure of discrepancy between a preconditioner and a target matrix, giving rise to

the study of preconditioners given as the sum of a Hermitian positive definite matrix plus a low-rank correction. We describe under which conditions the preconditioner minimises the $\ell^2$ condition number of the preconditioned matrix, and obtain the low-rank 

correction via a truncated singular value decomposition (TSVD). Numerical results from variational data assimilation (4D-VAR) support our theoretical results.

We also apply the framework to approximate factorisation preconditioners with a low-rank correction (e.g. incomplete Cholesky plus low-rank). In such cases, the approximate factorisation error is typically indefinite, and the low-rank correction described by the Bregman divergence is generally different from one obtained as a TSVD. We compare these two truncations in terms of convergence of the preconditioned conjugate gradient method (PCG), and show numerous examples where PCG converges to a small tolerance using the proposed preconditioner, whereas PCG using a TSVD-based preconditioner fails. We also consider matrices arising from interior point methods for linear programming that do not admit such an incomplete factorisation by default, and present a robust incomplete Cholesky preconditioner based on the proposed methodology.

The talk is based on papers with Martin S. Andersen (DTU).

During the last fifteen years, there has been a paradigm shift in the continuum modelling of granular materials; most notably with the development of rheological models, such as the μ(I)-rheology (where μ is the friction and I is the inertial number), but also with significant advances in theories for particle segregation. This talk details theoretical and numerical frameworks (based on OpenFOAM®) which unify these disconnected endeavours. Coupling the segregation with the flow, and vice versa, is not only vital for a complete theory of granular materials, but is also beneficial for developing numerical methods to handle evolving free surfaces. This general approach is based on the partially regularized incompressible μ(I)-rheology, which is coupled to a theory for gravity/shear-driven segregation (Gray & Ancey, J. Fluid Mech., vol. 678, 2011, pp. 353–588). These advection–diffusion–segregation equations describe the evolving concentrations of the constituents, which then couple back to the variable viscosity in the incompressible Navier–Stokes equations. A novel feature of this approach is that any number of differently sized phases may be included, which may have disparate frictional properties. The model is used to simulate the complex particle-size segregation patterns that form in a partially filled triangular rotating drum. There are many other applications of the theory to industrial granular flows, which are the second most common material used after fluids. The same processes also occur in geophysical flows, such as snow avalanches, debris flows and dense pyroclastic flows. Depth-averaged models, that go beyond the μ(I)-rheology, will also be derived to capture spontaneous self-channelization and levee formation, as well as complex segregation-induced flow fingering effects, which enhance the run-out distance of these hazardous flows.

The Ivanov conjecture is equivalent to the statement that every covering map of surfaces has the so-called Putman-Wieland property. I will discuss my recent work with Vlad Marković, where we prove it for asymptotically all coverings as the degree grows. I will give some overview of our main tool: spectral geometry, which is related to objects like the heat kernel of a hyperbolic surface, or Cheeger connectivity constant.

The grazing limit of the Boltzmann equation to Landau equation is well-known and has been justified by using cutoff near the grazing angle with some suitable scaling. In this talk, we will present a new approach by applying a natural scaling on the Boltzmann equation. The proof is based on an improved well-posedness theory for the Boltzmann equation without angular cutoff in the regime with an optimal range of parameters so that the grazing limit can be justified directly that includes the Coulomb potential. With this new understanding, the scaled Boltzmann operator in fact can be decomposed into two parts. The first one converges to the Landau operator when the parameter of deviation angle tends to its singular value and the second one vanishes in the limit. Hence, the scaling and limiting process exactly capture the grazing collisions. The talk is based on a recent joint work with Yu-Long Zhou.

A central question in infinite group theory is to determine how much global information about a group is encoded in its set of finite quotients. In this talk, we will discuss this problem in the case of algebraically fibered groups, which naturally generalise fundamental groups of compact manifolds that fiber over the circle. The study of such groups exploits the relationships between the geometry of the classifying space, the dynamics of the monodromy map, and the algebra of the group, and as such draws from all of these areas.

A rooted tree $T$ has degree sequence $(d_1,\ldots,d_n)$ if $T$ has vertex set $[n]$ and vertex $i$ has $d_i$ children for each $i$ in $[n]$. 

I will describe a line-breaking construction of random rooted trees with given degree sequences, as well as a way of coupling random trees with different degree sequences that also couples their heights to one another. 

The construction and the coupling have several consequences, and I'll try to explain some of these in the talk.

First, let $T$ be a branching process tree with critical—mean one—offspring distribution, and let $T_n$ have the law of $T$ conditioned to have size $n$. Then the following both hold.
1) $\operatorname{height}(T_n)/\log(n)$ tends to infinity in probability. 
2) If the offspring distribution has infinite variance then $\operatorname{height}(T_n)/n^{1/2}$ tends to $0$ in probability. This result settles a conjecture of Svante Janson.

The next two statements relate to random rooted trees with given degree sequences. 
1) For any $\varepsilon > 0$ there is $C > 0$ such that the following holds. If $T$ is a random tree with degree sequence $(d_1,\ldots,d_n)$ and at least $\varepsilon n$ leaves, then $\mathbb{E}(\operatorname{height}(T)) < C \sqrt{n}$. 
2) Consider any random tree $T$ with a fixed degree sequence such that $T$ has no vertices with exactly one child. Then $\operatorname{height}(T)$ is stochastically less than $\operatorname{height}(B)$, where $B$ is a random binary tree of the same size as $T$ (or size one greater, if $T$ has even size). 

In this talk, I will discuss correlation functions in 6d (2, 0) theories of two 1/2-BPS operators inserted away from a 1/2-BPS surface defect. In the large central charge limit the leading connected contribution corresponds to sums of tree-level Witten diagram in AdS7×S4 in the presence of an AdS3 defect. I will show that these correlators can be uniquely determined by imposing only superconformal symmetry and consistency conditions, eschewing the details of the complicated effective Lagrangian. I will present the explicit result of all such two-point functions, which exhibits remarkable hidden simplicity.

A representation on the space of paths is a map which is compatible with the concatenation operation of paths, such as the path signature and Cartan development (or equivalently, parallel transport), and has been used to define characteristic functions for the law of stochastic processes. In this talk, we consider representations of surfaces which are compatible with the two distinct algebraic operations on surfaces: horizontal and vertical concatenation. To build these representations, we use the notion of higher parallel transport, which was first introduced to develop higher gauge theories. We will not assume any background in geometry or category theory. This is a continuation of the previous talk based on a recent preprint (https://arxiv.org/abs/2311.08366) with Harald Oberhauser.

In the past two decades, starting with the pioneering work of Bourgain, Brezis, and Mironescu, there has been widespread interest in characterizing Sobolev and BV (bounded variation) functions by means of non-local functionals. In my recent work I have studied two such functionals: a BMO-type (bounded mean oscillation) functional, and a functional related to the fractional Sobolev seminorms. I will discuss some of my results concerning the limits of these functionals, the concept of Gamma-convergence, and also open problems. 

Modular curves play a key role in the Langlands programme, being the simplest example of so-called Shimura varieties.  Their less famous cousins, Shimura curves, are also very interesting, and very concrete. 
In this talk I will give a gentle introduction to the arithmetic of Shimura curves, with lots of explicit examples. Time permitting, I will say something about recent work about intersection numbers of geodesics on Shimura curves.

Involutive knot Floer homology, a refinement of knot Floer theory, is a powerful knot invariant which was used to solve several long-standing problems, including the one-is-not-enough result for 4-manifolds with boundary. In this talk, we show that if the involutive knot Floer homology of a knot K admits an invariant splitting, then the induced splitting if the knot Floer homology of P(K), for any pattern P, can be made invariant under its \iota_K involution. As an application, we construct an infinite family of examples of pairs of exotic contractible 4-manifolds which survive one stabilization, and observe that some of them are potential candidates for surviving two stabilizations.
 

Mathematicians have been interested in the problem of compactifying the Jacobian variety of curves since the mid XIX century. In this talk we will discuss how all 'reasonable' compactified Jacobians of nodal curves can be classified combinatorically. This suffices to obtain a combinatorial classification of all 'reasonable' compactified universal (over the moduli spaces of stable curves) Jacobians. This is a joint work with Orsola Tommasi.

When the data is large, or comes in a streaming way, randomized iterative methods provide an efficient way to solve a variety of problems, including solving linear systems, finding least square solutions, solving feasibility problems, and others. Randomized Kaczmarz algorithm for solving over-determined linear systems is one of the popular choices due to its efficiency and its simple, geometrically intuitive iterative steps. 
In challenging cases, for example, when the condition number of the system is bad, or some of the equations contain large corruptions, the geometry can be also helpful to augment the solver in the right way. I will discuss our recent work with Michal Derezinski and Jackie Lok on Kaczmarz-based algorithms that use external knowledge about the linear system to (a) accelerate the convergence of iterative solvers, and (b) enable convergence in the highly corrupted regime.

Join us for a discussion about preparing for PhD and PostDoc Interviews. We will be talking to Melanie Rupflin and Mura Yakerson.

This talk concerns some ideas around the question of when a *-homomorphism into a quotient C*-algebra lifts. Lifting of *-homomorphisms arises prominently in the notions of projectivity and semiprojectivity, which in turn are closely related to stability of relations. Blackadar recently defined the notions of l-open and l-closed C*-algebras, making use of the topological space of *-homomorphisms from a C*-algebra A to another C*-algebra B, with the point-norm topology. I will discuss these properties and present new characterizations of them, which lead to solutions of some problems posed by Blackadar. This is joint work with Dolapo Oyetunbi.

We present a new formulation of string and particle amplitudes that emerges from simple one-dimensional models. The key is a new way to parametrize the positive part of Teichmüller space. It also builds on the results of Mirzakhani for computing Weil-Petterson volumes. The formulation works at all orders in the perturbation series, including non-planar contributions. The relationship between strings and particles is made manifest as a "tropical limit". The results are well adapted to studying the scattering of large numbers of particles or amplitudes at high loop order. The talk will in part cover results from arXiv:2309.15913, 2311.09284.

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Abstract
In the contemporary AI landscape, Large Language Models (LLMs) stand out as game-changers. They redefine not only how we interact with computers via natural language but also how we identify and extract insights from vast, complex datasets. This presentation delves into the nuances of training and customizing LLMs, with a focus on their applications to quantitative finance.


About the speaker
Ioana Boier is a senior principal solutions architect at Nvidia. Her background is in Quantitative Finance and Computer Science. Prior to joining Nvidia, she was the Head of Quantitative Portfolio Solutions at Alphadyne Asset Management, and led research teams at Citadel LLC, BNP Paribas, and IBM T.J. Watson Research. She has a Ph.D. in Computer Science from Purdue University and is the author of over 30 peer-reviewed publications, 15 patents, and the winner of several awards for applied research delivered into products.
View her LinkedIn page

Frontiers in Quantitative Finance is brought to you by the Oxford Mathematical and Computational Finance Group and sponsored by CitiGroup and Mosaic SmartData.
 

One of the fundamental problems in representation theory is determining the representation type of algebras. In this talk, we will introduce the representation type of cyclotomic quiver Hecke algebras, also known as cyclotomic Khovanov-Lauda-Rouquier algebras, especially in affine type A and affine type C. Our main result relies on novel constructions of the maximal dominant weights of integrable highest weight modules over quantum groups. This talk is based on collaborations with Susumu Ariki, Berta Hudak, and Linliang Song.

Title: Elliptic curves and modularity

Abstract: The goal of this talk is to give you a glimpse of the Langlands program, a central topic at the intersection of algebraic number theory, algebraic geometry and representation theory. I will focus on a celebrated instance of the Langlands correspondence, namely the modularity of elliptic curves. In the first part of the talk, I will give an explicit example, discuss the different meanings of modularity for rational elliptic curves, and mention applications. In the second part of the talk, I will discuss what is known about the modularity of elliptic curves over more general number fields.