18:00
Investors fear that surging volumes in short-term, especially same-day expiry (0DTE), options can destabilize markets by propagating large price jumps. Contrary to the intuition that 0DTE sellers predominantly generate delta-hedging flows that aggravate market moves, high open interest gamma in 0DTEs does not propagate past volatility. 0DTEs and underlying markets have become more integrated over time, leading to a marginally stronger link between the index volatility and 0DTE trading. Nonetheless, intraday 0DTE trading volume shocks do not amplify recent past index returns, inconsistent with the view that 0DTEs market growth intensifies market fragility.
About the speaker
Grigory Vilkov, Professor of Finance at the Frankfurt School of Finance and Management, holds an MBA from the University of Rochester and a Ph.D. from INSEAD, with further qualifications from Goethe University Frankfurt. He has been a professor at both Goethe University and the University of Mannheim.
His academic work focused on improving long-term portfolio strategies by building better expectations of risks, returns, and their dynamics. He is known for practical innovations in finance, such as developing forward-looking betas marketed by IvyDB OptionMetrics, establishing implied skewness and generalized lower bounds as cross-sectional stock characteristics, and creating measures for climate change exposure from earnings calls. His current research encompasses factor dispersions, factor and sector rotation, asset allocation with implied data, and machine learning in options analysis.
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