Date
Thu, 24 Feb 2011
13:00
Location
DH 1st floor SR
Speaker
Michael Monoyios

We consider an optimal stopping problem arising in connection with the exercise of an executive stock option by an agent with inside information.

The agent is assumed to have noisy information on the terminal value of the stock, does not trade the stock or outside securities, and maximises the expected discounted payoff over all stopping times with regard to an enlarged filtration which includes the inside information. This leads to a stopping problem governed by a time-inhomogeneous diffusion and a call-type reward. Using stochastic flow ideas we establish properties of the value function (monotonicity, convexity in the log-stock price), conditions under which the option value exhibits time decay, and derive the smooth fit condition for the solution to the free boundary problem governing the maximum expected reward. From this we derive the early exercise decomposition of the value function. The resulting integral equation for the unknown exercise boundary is solved numerically and this shows that the insider may exercise the option before maturity, in situations when an agent without the privileged information may not.

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