Zhenru Wang
Title: Multi-Index Monte Carlo Estimators for a Class of Zakai SPDEs
Abstract:   
We first propose a space-time Multi-Index Monte Carlo (MIMC) estimator for a one-dimensional parabolic SPDE of Zakai type. We compare the computational cost required for a prescribed accuracy with the Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) method of Giles and Reisinger (2012). Then we extend the estimator to a two-dimensional variant of SPDE. The theoretical analysis shows the benefit of using MIMC in high dimensional problems over MLMC methods. Numerical tests confirm these finding empirically.

Vadim Kaushansky
Title: An extended structural default model with jump risk
Abstact:
We consider a structural default model in an interconnected banking network as in Itkin and Lipton (2015), where there are mutual obligations between each pair of banks. We analyse the model numerically for the case of two banks with jumps in their asset value processes. Specifically, we develop a finite difference method for the resulting two-dimensional partial integro-differential equation, and study its stability and consistency. By applying this method, we compute joint and marginal survival probabilities, as well as prices of credit default swaps (CDS) and first-to-default swaps (FTD), Credit and Debt Value Adjustments (CVA and DVA).

 

We will introduce variants of the optimal transport problem, namely martingale optimal transport problem and subharmonic martingale transport problem. Their motivation is partly from mathematical finance. We will see that in dimension greater than one, the additional constraints imply interesting and deep mathematical subtlety on the attainment of dual problem, and it also affects heavily on the geometry of optimal solutions. If time permits, we will introduce still another variant of the martingale transport problem, called the multi-martingale optimal transport problem.

In practice, stochastic decision problems are often based on statistical estimates of probabilities. We all know that statistical error may be significant, but it is often not so clear how to incorporate it into our decision making. In this informal talk, we will look at one approach to this problem, based on the theory of nonlinear expectations. We will consider the large-sample theory of these estimators, and also connections to `robust statistics' in the sense of Huber.