Mon, 25 Apr 2022

15:30 - 16:30
L4

Knot theory and machine learning

Professor Marc Lackenby
((Oxford University) )
Abstract

Knot theory is divided into several subfields. One of these is hyperbolic knot theory, which is focused on the hyperbolic structure that exists on many knot complements. Another branch of knot theory is concerned with invariants that have connections to 4-manifolds, for example the knot signature and Heegaard Floer homology. In my talk, I will describe a new relationship between these two fields that was discovered with the aid of machine learning. Specifically, we show that the knot signature can be estimated surprisingly accurately in terms of hyperbolic invariants. We introduce a new real-valued invariant called the natural slope of a hyperbolic knot in the 3-sphere, which is defined in terms of its cusp geometry. Our main result is that twice the knot signature and the natural slope differ by at most a constant times the hyperbolic volume divided by the cube of the injectivity radius. This theorem has applications to Dehn surgery and to 4-ball genus. We will also present a refined version of the inequality where the upper bound is a linear function of the volume, and the slope is corrected by terms corresponding to short geodesics that have odd linking number with the knot. My talk will outline the proofs of these results, as well as describing the role that machine learning played in their discovery.

This is joint work with Alex Davies, Andras Juhasz, and Nenad Tomasev

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Thu, 12 May 2022

17:00 - 18:00
Lecture Theatre 1, Mathematical Institute, Radcliffe Observatory Quarter, Woodstock Road, OX2 6GG

Communicating Complex Statistical Ideas to the Public: Lessons from the Pandemic - David Spiegelhalter

David Spiegelhalter
(University of Cambridge)
Further Information

Oxford Mathematics Public Lecture

Communicating Complex Statistical Ideas to the Public: Lessons from the Pandemic - David Spiegelhalter

In-person:Thursday 12 May, 5.00-6.00pm, Mathematical Institute, Oxford

Online: Thursday 19 May, 5.00-6.00pm, Oxford Mathematics YouTube Channel

The pandemic has demonstrated how important data becomes at a time of crisis. But statistics are tricky: they don't always mean what we think they mean, there are many subtle pitfalls, and some people misrepresent their message. Their interpretation is an art. David will describe efforts at communicating about statistics during the pandemic, including both successes and dismal failures.

Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter FRS OBE is Chair of the Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication at the University of Cambridge, which aims to improve the way that statistical evidence is used by health professionals, patients, lawyers and judges, media and policy-makers. He has been very busy over the Covid crisis. His bestselling book, The Art of Statistics, was published in March 2019, and Covid by Numbers came out in October 2021. He was knighted in 2014 for services to medical statistics.

Please email @email to register for the in-person event (the online screening requires no registration).

The lecture will be available on our Oxford Mathematics YouTube Channel on 19th May at 5pm (and can be watched any time after that).

The Oxford Mathematics Public Lectures are generously supported by XTX Markets.

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