Thu, 30 Jan 2025
16:00
L5

Market Making with fads, informed and uninformed traders.

Adrien Mathieu
(Mathematical Institute)
Abstract

We characterise the solutions to a continuous-time optimal liquidity provision problem in a market populated by informed and uninformed traders. In our model, the asset price exhibits fads -- these are short-term deviations from the fundamental value of the asset. Conditional on the value of the fad, we model how informed traders and uninformed traders arrive in the market. The market maker knows of the two groups of traders but only observes the anonymous order arrivals. We study both, the complete information and the partial information versions of the control problem faced by the market maker. In such frameworks, we characterise the value of information, and we find the price of liquidity as a function of the proportion of informed traders in the market. Lastly, for the partial information setup, we explore how to go beyond the Kalman-Bucy filter to extract information about the fad from the market arrivals.

Wed, 29 Jan 2025
11:00
L4

Singularity of solutions to singular SPDEs.

Hirotatsu Nagoji
(Kyoto University)
Abstract

In this talk, we discuss the condition for the marginal distribution of the solution to singular SPDEs on the d-dimensional torus to be singular with respect to the law of the Gaussian measure induced by the linearized equation. As applications of our result, we see the singularity of the Phi^4_3-measure with respect to the Gaussian free field measure and the border of parameters for the fractional Phi^4-measure to be singular with respect to the base Gaussian measure. This talk is based on a joint work with Martin Hairer and Seiichiro Kusuoka.

Wed, 22 Jan 2025
11:00
L6

Adapted Wasserstein distance between continuous Gaussian processes

Yifan Jiang
(Mathematical Institute)
Abstract
Adapted Wasserstein distance is a generalization of the classical Wasserstein distance for stochastic processes. It captures not only the spatial information but also the temporal information induced by the processes. In this talk, I will focus on the adapted Wasserstein distance between continuous Gaussian processes. An explicit formula in terms of their canonical representations will be given. These results cover rough processes such as fractional Brownian motions and fractional Ornstein--Uhlenbeck processes. If time permits, I will also show that the optimal coupling between two 1D additive fractional SDE is driven by the synchronous coupling of the noise.
We introduce a 'causal factorization' as an infinite dimensional Cholesky decomposition on Hilbert spaces. This naturally bridges the probabilistic notion 'causal transport' and the algebraic object 'nest algebra'.  Such a factorization is closely related to the (non)canonical representation of Gaussian processes which is of independent interest. This talk is based on a work-in-progress with Fang Rui Lim.

The Biochemistry department are recruiting some new Class Tutors for Hilary term to teach 4 statistics classes as part of the undergraduate Quantitative Biochemistry Course.

Garbage in Garbage out: Impacts of data quality on criminal network intervention
Yeung, W Di Clemente, R Lambiotte, R (02 Jan 2025)
Concise network models of memory dynamics reveal explainable patterns in path data
Sahasrabuddhe, R Lambiotte, R Rosvall, M (14 Jan 2025)
Thu, 01 May 2025

14:00 - 15:00
Lecture Room 3

Adventures in structured matrix computations

Gunnar Martinsson
(UT Austin)
Abstract

Many matrices that arise in scientific computing and in data science have internal structure that can be exploited to accelerate computations. The focus in this talk will be on matrices that are either of low rank, or can be tessellated into a collection of subblocks that are either of low rank or are of small size. We will describe how matrices of this nature arise in the context of fast algorithms for solving PDEs and integral equations, and also in handling "kernel matrices" from computational statistics. A particular focus will be on randomized algorithms for obtaining data sparse representations of such matrices.

 

At the end of the talk, we will explore an unorthodox technique for discretizing elliptic PDEs that was designed specifically to play well with fast algorithms for dense structured matrices.

Tue, 25 Feb 2025

15:30 - 16:30
Online

Recent developments on off-diagonal hypergraph Ramsey numbers

Dhruv Mubayi
(University of Illinois at Chicago)
Further Information

Part of the Oxford Discrete Maths and Probability Seminar, held via Zoom. Please see the seminar website for details.

Abstract

I will discuss various results and conjectures about off-diagonal hypergraph Ramsey numbers, focusing on recent developments.

Tue, 25 Feb 2025

14:00 - 15:00
Online

Integer distance sets

Rachel Greenfeld
(Northwestern University)
Further Information

Part of the Oxford Discrete Maths and Probability Seminar, held via Zoom. Please see the seminar website for details.

Abstract

A set in the Euclidean plane is called an integer distance set if the distance between any pair of its points is an integer.  All so-far-known integer distance sets have all but up to four of their points on a single line or circle; and it had long been suspected, going back to Erdős, that any integer distance set must be of this special form. In a recent work, joint with Marina Iliopoulou and Sarah Peluse, we developed a new approach to the problem, which enabled us to make the first progress towards confirming this suspicion.  In the talk, I will discuss the study of integer distance sets, its connections with other problems, and our new developments.

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