Fri, 30 Oct 2020

14:00 - 15:00
Virtual

Harnessing experimentally-validated mathematical models to forecast influenza-mediated pathology

Professor Amber Smith
(Department of Pediatrics University of Tennessee Health Science Center)
Abstract

Influenza viruses infect millions of individuals each year and cause a significant amount of morbidity and mortality. Understanding how the virus spreads within the lung, how efficacious host immune control is, and how each influences acute lung injury and disease severity is critical to combat the infection. We used an integrative model-experiment exchange to establish the dynamical connections between viral loads, infected cells, CD8+ T cells, lung injury, and disease severity. Our model predicts that infection resolution is sensitive to CD8+ T cell expansion, that there is a critical T cell magnitude needed for efficient resolution, and that the rate of T cell-mediated clearance is dependent on infected cell density. 
We validated the model through a series of experiments, including CD8 depletion and whole lung histomorphometry. This showed that the infected area of the lung matches the model-predicted infected cell dynamics, and that the resolved area of the lung parallels the relative CD8 dynamics. Additional analysis revealed a nonlinear relation between disease severity, inflammation, and lung injury. These novel links between important host-pathogen kinetics and pathology enhance our ability to forecast disease progression.

Fri, 23 Oct 2020

14:00 - 15:00
Virtual

MultiMAP: dimensionality reduction of multiple datasets by manifold approximation and projection

Dr Sarah Teichmann
(Wellcome Genome Campus Wellcome Sanger Institute)
Abstract

Multi-modal data sets are growing rapidly in single cell genomics, as well as other fields in science and engineering. We introduce MultiMAP, an approach for dimensionality reduction and integration of multiple datasets. MultiMAP embeds multiple datasets into a shared space so as to preserve both the manifold structure of each dataset independently, in addition to the manifold structure in shared feature spaces. MultiMAP is based on the rich mathematical foundation of UMAP, generalizing it to the setting of more than one data manifold. MultiMAP can be used for visualization of multiple datasets as well as an integration approach that enables subsequent joint analyses. Compared to other integration for single cell data, MultiMAP is not restricted to a linear transformation, is extremely fast, and is able to leverage features that may not be present in all datasets. We apply MultiMAP to the integration of a variety of single-cell transcriptomics, chromatin accessibility, methylation, and spatial data, and show that it outperforms current approaches in run time, label transfer, and label consistency. On a newly generated single cell ATAC-seq and RNA-seq dataset of the human thymus, we use MultiMAP to integrate cells across pseudotime. This enables the study of chromatin accessibility and TF binding over the course of T cell differentiation.

Fri, 16 Oct 2020

14:00 - 15:00
Virtual

Stochastic modeling of reaction-diffusion processes in biology

Prof Hye-Won Kang
(Dept of Maths & Statistics University of Maryland)
Abstract

 Inherent fluctuations may play an important role in biological and chemical systems when the copy number of some chemical species is small. This talk will present the recent work on the stochastic modeling of reaction-diffusion processes in biochemical systems. First, I will introduce several stochastic models, which describe system features at different scales of interest. Then, model reduction and coarse-graining methods will be discussed to reduce model complexity. Next, I will show multiscale algorithms for stochastic simulation of reaction-diffusion processes that couple different modeling schemes for better efficiency of the simulation. The algorithms apply to the systems whose domain is partitioned into two regions with a few molecules and a large number of molecules.

Serial interval distribution of SARS-CoV-2 infection in Brazil
Faria, N Prete, C Buss, L Dighe, A Bertollo Porto, V Ghilardi, F Da Silva Candido, D Pybus, O De Oliveira, W Croda, J Sabino, E Donnelly, C Nascimento, V Journal of Travel Medicine (25 Jul 2020)
Potential impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on HIV, tuberculosis, and malaria in low-income and middle-income countries: a modelling study
Hogan, A Jewell, B Sherrard-Smith, E Vesga, J Watson, O Whittaker, C Hamlet, A Smith, J Winskill, P Verity, R Baguelin, M Lees, J Whittles, L Ainslie, K Bhatt, S Boonyasiri, A Brazeau, N Cattarino, L Cooper, L Coupland, H Cuomo-Dannenburg, G Dighe, A Djaafara, B Donnelly, C Eaton, J van Elsland, S FitzJohn, R Fu, H Gaythorpe, K Green, W Haw, D Hayes, S Hinsley, W Imai, N Laydon, D Mangal, T Mellan, T Mishra, S Nedjati-Gilani, G Parag, K Thompson, H Unwin, H Vollmer, M Walters, C Wang, H Wang, Y Xi, X Ferguson, N Okell, L Churcher, T Arinaminpathy, N Ghani, A Walker, P Hallett, T The Lancet Global Health volume 8 issue 9 e1132-e1141 (13 Sep 2020)
Community prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 virus in England during May 2020: REACT study
Investigators, R Riley, S Ainslie, K Eales, O Jeffrey, B Walters, C Atchison, C Diggle, P Ashby, D Donnelly, C Cooke, G Barclay, W Ward, H Taylor, G Darzi, A Elliott, P 2020.07.10.20150524 (11 Jul 2020)
An exact method for quantifying the reliability of end-of-epidemic declarations in real time
Parag, K Donnelly, C Jha, R Thompson, R (2020)
Cosmic Ray Spectrum from 250 TeV to 10 PeV using IceTop
Collaboration, I Physical Review D: Particles, Fields, Gravitation and Cosmology volume 102 (02 Dec 2020) http://arxiv.org/abs/2006.05215v1
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