Mon, 08 Oct 2018

15:45 - 16:45
L3

Fine properties of fractional Brownian motions on Wiener space

JIAWEI LI
(University of Oxford)
Abstract

We study several important fine properties for the family of fractional Brownian motions with Hurst parameter H under the (p,r)-capacity on classical Wiener space introduced by Malliavin. We regard fractional Brownian motions as Wiener functionals via the integral representation discovered by Decreusefond and \"{U}st\"{u}nel, and show non differentiability, modulus of continuity, law of iterated Logarithm(LIL) and self-avoiding properties of fractional Brownian motion sample paths using Malliavin calculus as well as the tools developed in the previous work by Fukushima, Takeda and etc. for Brownian motion case.

 

Mon, 08 Oct 2018

14:15 - 15:15
L3

On smile properties of volatility derivatives and exotic products: understanding the VIX skew

ELISA ALOS ALCALDE
(Universitat Pompeu Fabra)
Abstract

We develop a method to study the implied volatility for exotic options and volatility derivatives with European payoffs such as VIX options. Our approach, based on Malliavin calculus techniques, allows us to describe the properties of the at-the-money implied volatility (ATMI) in terms of the Malliavin derivatives of the underlying process. More precisely, we study the short-time behaviour of the ATMI level and skew. As an application, we describe the short-term behavior of the ATMI of VIX and realized variance options in terms of the Hurst parameter of the model, and most importantly we describe the class of volatility processes that generate a positive skew for the VIX implied volatility. In addition, we find that our ATMI asymptotic formulae perform very well even for large maturities. Several numerical examples are provided to support our theoretical results.  

Thu, 08 Nov 2018

16:00 - 17:30
L3

(Marta) Models for Thin Prestrained Structures & (Shankar) On discrete leaves, flowers, and sea-slugs.

Marta Lewicka & Shankar Venkataramani
(University of Pittsburgh & University of Arizona)
Abstract

(Marta Lewicka)

Variational methods have been extensively used in the past decades to rigorously derive nonlinear models in the description of thin elastic films. In this context, natural growth or differential swelling-shrinking lead to models where an elastic body aims at reaching a space-dependent metric. We will describe the effect of such, generically incompatible, prestrain metrics on the singular limits' bidimensional models. We will discuss metrics that vary across the specimen in both the midplate and the thin (transversal) directions. We will also cover the case of the oscillatory prestrain, exhibit its relation to the non-oscillatory case via identifying the effective metrics, and discuss the role of the Riemann curvature tensor in the limiting models.

 

(Shankar Venkataramani)

Using the bidimensional models for pre-strained Elasticity, that Marta will discuss in her talk, I will discuss some contrasts between the mechanics of thin objects with non-negative curvature (plates, spherical shells, etc) and the mechanics of hyperbolic sheets, i.e. soft/thin objects with negative curvature. I will motivate the need for new "geometric" methods for discretizing the relevant equations, and present some of our preliminary work in this direction.

This is joint work with Toby Shearman and Ken Yamamoto.

Fri, 02 Nov 2018

16:00 - 17:00
L1

Characteristic Polynomials of Random Unitary Matrices, Partition Sums, and Painlevé V

Jon Keating
(University of Bristol)
Abstract

The moments of characteristic polynomials play a central role in Random Matrix Theory.  They appear in many applications, ranging from quantum mechanics to number theory.  The mixed moments of the characteristic polynomials of random unitary matrices, i.e. the joint moments of the polynomials and their derivatives, can be expressed recursively in terms of combinatorial sums involving partitions. However, these combinatorial sums are not easy to compute, and so this does not give an effective method for calculating the mixed moments in general. I shall describe an alternative evaluation of the mixed moments, in terms of solutions of the Painlevé V differential equation, that facilitates their computation and asymptotic analysis.

Tue, 26 Feb 2019
16:00
L1

Geometric model theory in separably closed valued fields

Martin Hils
(University of Muenster)
Further Information

joint work with Moshe Kamensky and Silvain Rideau

Abstract

Let $p$ be a fixed prime number and let $SCVF_p$ be the theory of separably closed non-trivially valued fields of
characteristic $p$. In the talk, we will see that, in many ways, the step from $ACVF_{p,p}$ to $SCVF_p$ is not more
complicated than the one from $ACF_p$ to $SCF_p$.

At a basic level, this is true for quantifier elimination (Delon), for which it suffices to add parametrized $p$-coordinate
functions to any of the usual languages for valued fields. It follows that all completions are NIP.

At a more sophisticated level, in finite degree of imperfection, when a $p$-basis is named or when one just works with
Hasse derivations, the imaginaries of $SCVF_p$ are not more complicated than the ones in $ACVF_{p,p}$, i.e., they are
classified by the geometric sorts of Haskell-Hrushovski-Macpherson. The latter is proved using prolongations. One may
also use these to characterize the stable part and the stably dominated types in $SCVF_p$, and to show metastability.

Tue, 16 Oct 2018
12:00
L4

Surprising consequences of a positive cosmological constant

Dr Beatrice Bonga
(Perimeter Institute)
Abstract

The study of isolated systems has been vastly successful in the context of vanishing cosmological constant, Λ=0. However, there is no physically useful notion of asymptotics for the universe we inhabit with Λ>0.  The full non-linear framework is still under development, but some interesting results at the linearized level have been obtained. I will focus on the conceptual subtleties that arise at the linearized level and discuss the quadrupole formula for gravitational radiation as well as some recent developments.  

Tue, 17 Sep 2019

12:00 - 13:00
C4

Gravity model on small spatial scales: mobility and congestion in supermarkets

Fabian Ying
(University of Oxford)
Abstract

The analysis and characterization of human mobility using population-level mobility models is important for numerous applications, ranging from the estimation of commuter flows to modeling trade flows. However, almost all of these applications have focused on large spatial scales, typically from intra-city level to inter-country level. In this paper, we investigate population-level human mobility models on a much smaller spatial scale by using them to estimate customer mobility flow between supermarket zones. We use anonymized mobility data of customers in supermarkets to calibrate our models and apply variants of the gravity and intervening-opportunities models to fit this mobility flow and estimate the flow on unseen data. We find that a doubly-constrained gravity model can successfully estimate 65-70% of the flow inside supermarkets. We then investigate how to reduce congestion in supermarkets by combining mobility models with queueing networks. We use a simulated-annealing algorithm to find store layouts with lower congestion than the original layout. Our research gives insight both into how customers move in supermarkets and into how retailers can arrange stores to reduce congestion. It also provides a case study of human mobility on small spatial scales.

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