Tue, 26 May 2026
14:00
L5

A proof of the Kim-Vu sandwich conjecture

Richard Montgomery
(University of Warwick)
Abstract
The random regular graph G_d(n) is selected uniformly at random from all d-regular graphs on a fixed set of n vertices. Compared to the binomial random graph G(n,p), the lack of independence between the appearance of the edges has made the random regular graph in practice usually much harder to study. In 2004, Kim and Vu conjectured that when d is much larger than log n it is possible to 'sandwich' the random regular graph G_d(n) between two binomial random graphs with a similar edge density, allowing properties of the random regular graph to be inferred from those of the binomial random graph. I will discuss a recent proof of this conjecture, building on work of Gao, Isaev and McKay who proved the conjecture for d at least (log n)^4.
 
This is joint work with Natalie Behague and Daniel Il'kovic.
Thu, 28 May 2026

12:00 - 13:00
L3

Elastically encapsulated core annular flow

Thomasina Ball
(University of Warwick)
Abstract

Core-annular flows are often proposed to reduce frictional losses in industrial pipeline transport processes. Traditionally, a low-viscosity lubricating film is placed around a more viscous core to reduce the drag on the core. However, maintaining stable pipelining, where the core and the lubricant remain separated has proved challenging.
In this talk we present an alternative approach using three-layer, horizontal core-annular pipe flow, in which two fluids are separated by a deformable elastic solid. In the experiments, an elastic solid created by an in-situ chemical reaction maintains the separation of the core and annular fluids. Corrugations of the elastic interface are observed and stable pipelining, where the elastic shell created separating the two fluids remains intact, is successfully demonstrated even when the core fluid is buoyant. We also develop a theoretical model combining lubrication theory for the fluids with standard shell theory for the elastic solid, to predict the buckling states resulting from radial compression of the shell.
The self-sculpting of the shell by buckling cannot by itself generate hydrodynamic lift owing to symmetry in the direction of flow. Instead, we demonstrate that hydrodynamic lift can be achieved by other elastohydrodynamic effects, when that symmetry becomes broken during the bending of the shell.

Mon, 19 Jan 2026
15:30
L5

Complete classification of the Dehn functions of Bestvina—Brady groups

Jerónimo García-Mejía
(University of Warwick)
Abstract

Introduced by Bestvina and Brady in 1997, Bestvina—Brady groups form an important class of examples in geometric group theory and topology, known for exhibiting unusual finiteness properties. In this talk, I will focus on the Dehn functions of finitely presented Bestvina—Brady groups. Very roughly speaking, the Dehn function of a group measures how difficult it is to fill loops by discs in spaces associated to the group, and captures geometric information that is invariant under coarse equivalence. After reviewing known results, I will present a classification of the Dehn functions of Bestvina—Brady groups. This talk is based on joint work with Yu-Chan Chang and Matteo Migliorini.

Thu, 12 Feb 2026

16:00 - 17:00
L5

Optimal Investment and Consumption in a Stochastic Factor Model

Florian Gutekunst
(University of Warwick)
Abstract

We study optimal investment and consumption in an incomplete stochastic factor model for a power utility investor on the infinite horizon. When the state space of the stochastic factor is finite, we give a complete characterisation of the well-posedness of the problem and provide an efficient numerical algorithm for computing the value function. When the state space is a (possibly infinite) open interval and the stochastic factor is represented by an Ito diffusion, we develop a general theory of sub- and supersolutions for second-order ordinary differential equations on open domains without boundary values to prove existence of the solution to the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equation along with explicit bounds for the solution. By characterising the asymptotic behaviour of the solution, we are also able to provide rigorous verification arguments for various models, including the Heston model. Finally, we link the discrete and continuous setting and show that that the value function in the diffusion setting can be approximated very efficiently through a fast discretisation scheme.

Mon, 02 Mar 2026
14:15
L4

Metric wall-crossing

Ruadhai Dervan
(University of Warwick)
Abstract
Moduli spaces in algebraic geometry parametrise stable objects (bundles, varieties,...), and hence depend on a choice of stability condition. As one varies the stability condition, the moduli spaces vary in a well-behaved manner, through what is known as wall-crossing. As a general principle, moduli spaces admit natural Weil-Petersson metrics; I will state conjectures around the metric behaviour of moduli spaces as one varies the stability condition.
 
I will then prove analogues of these results in the model setting of symplectic quotients of complex manifolds, or equivalently geometric invariant theory. As one varies the input that determines a quotient, I will state results which explain the metric geometry of the resulting quotients (more precisely: Gromov-Hausdorff convergence towards walls, and metric flips across walls). As a byproduct of the approach, I will extend variation of geometric invariant theory to the setting of non-projective complex manifolds.
Tue, 27 Jan 2026
16:00
C3

Entropy and large deviations for random unitary representations

Tim Austin
(University of Warwick)
Abstract

This talk by Tim Austin, at the University of Warwick, will be an introduction to "almost periodic entropy".  This quantity is defined for positive definite functions on a countable group, or more generally for positive functionals on a separable C*-algebra.  It is an analog of Lewis Bowen's "sofic entropy" from ergodic theory.  This analogy extends to many of its properties, but some important differences also emerge.  Tim will not assume any prior knowledge about sofic entropy.

After setting up the basic definition, Tim will focus on the special case of finitely generated free groups, about which the most is known.  For free groups, results include a large deviations principle in a fairly strong topology for uniformly random representations.  This, in turn, offers a new proof of the Collins—Male theorem on strong convergence of independent tuples of random unitary matrices, and a large deviations principle for operator norms to accompany that theorem.

Thu, 12 Mar 2026

12:00 - 13:00
L3

Extreme events in atmosphere and ocean via sharp large deviations estimates

Tobias Grafke
(University of Warwick)
Abstract

Rare and extreme events are notoriously hard to handle in any complex stochastic system: They are simultaneously too rare to be reliably observable in experiments or numerics, but at the same time often too impactful to be ignored. Large deviation theory provides a classical way of dealing with events of extremely small probability, but generally only yields the exponential tail scaling of rare event probabilities. In this talk, I will discuss theory, and algorithms based upon it, that improve on this limitation, yielding sharp quantitative estimates of rare event probabilities from a single computation and without fitting parameters. Notably, these estimates require the computation of determinants of differential operators, which in relevant cases are not traceclass and require appropriate renormalization. We demonstrate that the Carleman--Fredholm operator determinant is the correct choice. Throughout, I will demonstrate the applicability of these methods to high-dimensional real-world systems, for example coming from atmosphere and ocean dynamics.

 

Further Information

Tobias Grafke's research focuses on developing numerical methods and mathematical tools to analyse stochastic systems. His work spans applications in fluid dynamics and turbulence, atmosphere–ocean dynamics, and biological and chemical systems. He studies the pathways and occurrence rates of rare and extreme events in complex realistic systems, develops numerical techniques for their simulation, and quantifies how random perturbations influence long-term system behaviour.

Thu, 20 Nov 2025

12:00 - 13:00
C5

Existence and weak-strong uniqueness of measure solutions to Euler-alignment/Aw-Rascle-Zhang model of collective behaviour

Ewelina Zatorska
(University of Warwick)
Abstract
I will discuss the multi-dimensional Euler–alignment system with a matrix-valued communication kernel, which is motivated by models of anticipation dynamics in collective behaviour. A key feature of this system is its formal equivalence to a nonlocal variant of the Aw–Rascle–Zhang (ARZ) traffic model, in which the desired velocity is modified by a nonlocal gradient interaction. The global-in-time existence of measure solutions to both formulations,  can be obtained via a single degenerate pressureless Navier–Stokes approximation. I will also discuss a weak–strong uniqueness principle adapted to the pressureless setting and to nonlocal alignment forces. As a consequence of these results we can rigorously justify the formal correspondence between the nonlocal ARZ and Euler–alignment models: they arise from the same inviscid limit, and the weak–strong uniqueness property ensures that, whenever a classical solution exists, both formulations coincide with it.


 

Thu, 30 Oct 2025

12:00 - 13:00
C5

Differentiation on metric spaces

Pietro Wald
(University of Warwick)
Abstract
Cheeger’s seminal 1999 paper initiated the study of metric measure spaces that admit a generalised differentiable structure. In such spaces, Lipschitz functions—real-valued and, in some cases, Banach-valued—are differentiable almost everywhere. Since then, much work has gone into determining the precise geometric and analytic conditions under which such structures exist. In this talk, I will give a brief overview of the theory and present new results from joint work with David Bate.
Mon, 27 Oct 2025
16:00
C3

On the distribution of very short character sums

Paweł Nosal
(University of Warwick)
Abstract
In their paper concerning quadratic residues Davenport and Erdős show that normalized sums of Legendre symbols $(\tfrac{n}{p})$ of suitable length $H(p) = p^{o(1)}$, with uniformly random starting point $X \in [0,...,p-1]$ obey the Central Limit Theorem, as the size of prime conductor goes to infinity.  
 
Recently, Basak, Nath and Zaharescu proved that the CLT still holds, if we pick $X$ uniformly at random from $[0,...,(\log p)^A], A>1$ , set $H(p) = (\log p)^{o(1)}$ and take the limit along full density subset of primes.  
 
In this talk, I will present a modification of their approach, inspired by the work of Harper on short character sums over moving intervals. This allows us to obtain the CLT of this type with $X$ uniformly random from $[0,...,g(p)]$ with practically arbitrary $g(p) \ll p^{\epsilon}$ for all $\epsilon >0$.
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