Tue, 11 Nov 2025
14:00
C4

Towards Precision in the Diagnostic Profiling of Patients: Leveraging Symptom Dynamics in the Assessment and Treatment of Mental Disorders

Omid Ebrahimi
(Department of Experimental Psychology, University of Oxford)
Abstract

Major depressive disorder (MDD) is a heterogeneous mental disorder. International guidelines present overall symptom severity as the key dimension for clinical characterisation. However, additional layers of heterogeneity may reside within severity levels related to how symptoms interact with one-another in a patient, called symptom dynamics. We investigate these individual differences by estimating the proportion of patients that display differences in their symptom dynamics while sharing the same diagnosis and overall symptom severity. We show that examining symptom dynamics provides information about the person-specific psychopathological expression of patients beyond severity levels by revealing how symptoms aggravate each other over time. These results suggest that symptom dynamics may serve as a promising new dimension for clinical characterisation. Areas of opportunity are outlined for the field of precision psychiatry in uncovering disorder evolution patterns (e.g., spontaneous recovery; critical worsening) and the identification of granular treatment effects by moving toward investigations that leverage symptom dynamics as their foundation. Future work aimed at investigating the cascading dynamics underlying depression onset and maintenance using the large-scale (N > 5.5 million) CIPA Study are outlined. 

Tue, 04 Nov 2025
14:00
C4

Exploring partition diversity in complex networks

Lena Mangold
(IT:U Interdisciplinary Transformation University Austria)
Abstract
Partition diversity refers to the concept that for some networks there may be multiple, similarly plausible ways to group the nodes, rather than one single best partition. In this talk, I will present two projects that address this idea from different but complementary angles. The first introduces the benchmark stochastic cross-block model (SCBM), a generative model designed to create synthetic networks with two distinct 'ground-truth' partitions. This allows us to study the extent to which existing methods for partition detection are able to reveal the coexistence of multiple underlying structures. The second project builds on this benchmark and paves the way for a Bayesian inference framework to directly detect coexisting partitions in empirical networks. By formulating this model as a microcanonical variant of the SCBM, we can evaluate how well it fits a given network compared to existing models. We find that our method more reliably detects partition diversity in synthetic networks with planted coexisting partitions, compared to methods designed to detect a single optimal partition. Together, the two projects contribute to a broader understanding of partition diversity by offering tools to explore the ambiguity of network structure.
Tue, 28 Oct 2025
14:00
C4

Dynamic Models of Gentrification

Nicola Pedreschi
(University of Bari)
Abstract
The phenomenon of gentrification of an urban area is characterized by the displacement of lower-income residents due to rising living costs and an influx of wealthier individuals. This study presents an agent-based model that simulates urban gentrification through the relocation of three income groups — low, middle, and high — driven by living costs. The model incorporates economic and sociological theories to generate realistic neighborhood transition patterns. We introduce a temporal network-based measure to track the outflow of low-income residents and the inflow of middle- and high-income residents over time. Our experiments reveal that high-income residents trigger gentrification and that our network-based measure consistently detects gentrification patterns earlier than traditional count-based methods, potentially serving as an early detection tool in real-world scenarios. Moreover, the analysis highlights how city density promotes gentrification. This framework offers valuable insights for understanding gentrification dynamics and informing urban planning and policy decisions.
Thu, 08 May 2025

16:00 - 17:00
C4

Globally Valued Fields: continuation

Michal Szachniewicz
Abstract

I will talk about intersection theory over any globally valued field and how it is connected to some model-theoretic problems.

Tue, 11 Mar 2025
12:00
C4

Non-commutative derived geometry

Federico Bambozzi
(University of Padova)
Abstract

I will describe a non-commutative version of the Zariski topology and explain how to use it to produce a functorial spectrum for all derived rings. If time permits I will give some examples and show how a weak form of Gelfand duality for non-commutative rings can be deduced from this. This work is in collaboration with Simone Murro and Matteo Capoferri.

Tue, 25 Feb 2025
14:00
C4

Statistical Mechanics of Signed Graphs

Anna Gallo
(IMT School for Advanced Studies)
Abstract

Networks provide a powerful language to model interacting systems by representing their units as nodes and the interactions between them as links. Interactions can be connotated in several ways, such as binary/weighted, undirected/directed, etc. In the present talk, we focus on the positive/negative connotation - modelling trust/distrust, alliance/enmity, friendship/conflict, etc. - by considering the so-called signed networks. Rooted in the psychological framework of the balance theory, the study of signed networks has found application in fields as different as biology, ecology, economics. Here, we approach it from the perspective of statistical physics by extending the framework of Exponential Random Graph Models to the class of binary un/directed signed networks and employing it to assess the significance of frustrated patterns in real-world networks. As our results reveal, it critically depends on i) the considered system and ii) the employed benchmark. For what concerns binary directed networks, instead, we explore the relationship between frustration and reciprocity and suggest an alternative interpretation of balance in the light of directionality. Finally,  leveraging the ERGMs framework, we propose an unsupervised algorithm to obtain statistically validated projections of bipartite signed networks, according to which any, two nodes sharing a statistically significant number of concordant (discordant) motifs are connected by a positive (negative) edge, and we investigate signed structures at the mesoscopic scale by evaluating the tendency of a configuration to be either `traditionally' or `relaxedly' balanced.

Tue, 11 Feb 2025
14:00
C4

Physical Network Constraints Define the Lognormal Architecture of the Brain's Connectome

Daniel Barabasi
(Harvard University )
Abstract

While the brain has long been conceptualized as a network of neurons connected by synapses, attempts to describe the connectome using established models in network science have yielded conflicting outcomes, leaving the architecture of neural networks unresolved. Here, we analyze eight experimentally mapped connectomes, finding that the degree and the strength distribution of the underlying networks cannot be described by random nor scale-free models. Rather, the node degrees and strengths are well approximated by lognormal distributions, whose emergence lacks a mechanistic model in the context of networks. Acknowledging the fact that the brain is a physical network, whose architecture is driven by the spatially extended nature of its neurons, we analytically derive the multiplicative process responsible for the lognormal neuron length distribution, arriving to a series of empirically falsifiable predictions and testable relationships that govern the degree and the strength of individual neurons. The lognormal network characterizing the connectome represents a novel architecture for network science, that bridges critical gaps between neural structure and function, with unique implications for brain dynamics, robustness, and synchronization.

Tue, 18 Feb 2025
14:00
C4

Temporal graph reproduction with RWIG

Piet Van Mieghem
(Delft University of Technology)
Abstract

Our Random Walkers Induced temporal Graphs (RWIG) model generates temporal graph sequences based on M independent, random walkers that traverse an underlying graph as a function of time. Co-location of walkers at a given node and time defines an individual-level contact. RWIG is shown to be a realistic model for temporal human contact graphs.   

A key idea is that a random walk on a Markov graph executes the Markov process. Each of the M walkers traverses the same set of nodes (= states in the Markov graph), but with own transition probabilities (in discrete time) or rates (in continuous time). Hence, the Markov transition probability matrix Pj reflects the policy of motion of walker wj. RWIG is analytically feasible: we derive closed form solutions for the probability distribution of contact graphs.

Usually, human mobility networks are inferred through measurements of timeseries of contacts between individuals. We also discuss this “inverse RWIG problem”, which aims to determine the parameters in RWIG (i.e. the set of probability transfer matrices P1, P2, ..., PM and the initial probability state vectors s1[0], ...,sM[0] of walkers w1,w2, ...,wM in discrete time), given a timeseries of contact graphs.

This talk is based on the article:
Almasan, A.-D., Shvydun, S., Scholtes, I. and P. Van Mieghem, 2025, "Generating Temporal Contact Graphs Using Random Walkers", IEEE Transactions on Network Science and Engineering, to appear.


 

Mon, 10 Mar 2025
16:00
C4

Sums of integers divisible by the sum of their digits

Kate Thomas
(University of Oxford)
Abstract

A base-g Niven number is an integer divisible by the sum of its digits in base-g. We show that any sufficiently large integer can be written as the sum of three base-3 Niven numbers, and comment on the extension to other bases. This is an application of the circle method, which we use to count the number of ways an integer can be written as the sum of three integers with fixed, near-average, digit sum. 

Mon, 24 Feb 2025
16:00
C4

Modularity of certain trianguline Galois representations

James Kiln
(Queen Mary University of London)
Abstract

A generalisation of Wiles’ famous modularity theorem, the Fontaine-Mazur conjecture, predicts that two dimensional representations of the absolute Galois group of the rationals, with a few specific properties, exactly correspond to those representations coming from classical modular forms. Under some mild hypotheses, this is now a theorem of Kisin. In this talk, I will explain how one can p-adically interpolate the objects on both sides of this correspondence to construct an eigensurface and “trianguline” Galois deformation space, as well as outline a new approach to proving a theorem of Emerton, that these spaces are often isomorphic.

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