Mon, 31 May 2021

16:00 - 17:00
Virtual

Singularities and the Einstein equations: Inextendibility results for Lorentzian manifolds

Jan Sbierski
(Oxford)
Abstract

 Given a solution of the Einstein equations, a fundamental question is whether one can extend the solution or whether the solution is maximal. If the solution is inextendible in a certain regularity class due to the geometry becoming singular, a further question is whether the strength of the singularity is such that it terminates classical time-evolution. The latter question, as will be explained in the talk, is intimately tied to the strong cosmic censorship conjecture in general relativity which states in the language of partial differential equations that global uniqueness holds generically for the initial value problem for the Einstein equations. I will then focus in the talk on recent results showing the locally Lipschitz inextendibility of FLRW models with particle horizons and spherically symmetric weak null singularities. The latter in particular apply to the spherically symmetric spacetimes constructed by Luk and Oh, improving their C^2-formulation of strong cosmic censorship to a locally Lipschitz formulation.

Fri, 21 May 2021

14:00 - 15:00
Virtual

Short polynomials in polynomial ideals

Finn Wiersig
(University of Oxford)
Abstract

How to calculate the minimal number of summands of a nonzero polynomial in a given polynomial ideal? In this talk, we first discuss the roots of this question in computational algebra. Afterwards, we switch to the viewpoint of a commutative algebraist. In particular, we see that classical tools from this field, such as primary decomposition or the Castelnuovo–Mumford regularity, fail to provide a solution to this problem. Finally, we discuss a concrete example: A standard determinantal ideal generated by $t$-minors does not contain any polynomials with fewer than $t!/2$ terms.

Oxford Mathematician Endre Süli's work is concerned with the analysis of numerical algorithms for the approximate solution of partial differential equations and the mathematical analysis of nonlinear partial differential equations in continuum mechanics. 

Tue, 01 Jun 2021

12:45 - 13:30

Neural Controlled Differential Equations for Online Prediction Tasks

James Morrill
(Mathematical Institute (University of Oxford))
Abstract

Neural controlled differential equations (Neural CDEs) are a continuous-time extension of recurrent neural networks (RNNs). They are considered SOTA for modelling functions on irregular time series, outperforming other ODE benchmarks (ODE-RNN, GRU-ODE-Bayes) in offline prediction tasks. However, current implementations are not suitable to be used in online prediction tasks, severely restricting the domains of applicability of this powerful modeling framework. We identify such limitations with previous implementations and show how said limitations may be addressed, most notably to allow for online predictions. We benchmark our online Neural CDE model on three continuous monitoring tasks from the MIMIC-IV ICU database, demonstrating improved performance on two of the three tasks against state-of-the-art (SOTA) non-ODE benchmarks, and improved performance on all tasks against our ODE benchmark.

 

Joint work with Patrick Kidger, Lingyi Yang, and Terry Lyons.

The Reductionist Paradox
Sarkar, S volume 5 issue 3
Are epidemic growth rates more informative than reproduction numbers?
Parag, K Thompson, R Donnelly, C medRxiv (04 Jun 2021)
Grid-Free Computation of Probabilistic Safety with Malliavin Calculus
Cosentino, F Oberhauser, H Abate, A (10 Jan 2023)
Tue, 18 May 2021

14:00 - 15:00
Virtual

FFTA: Modularity maximisation for graphons

Florian Klimm
(Imperial College London)
Abstract

Networks are a widely-used tool to investigate the large-scale connectivity structure in complex systems and graphons have been proposed as an infinite size limit of dense networks. The detection of communities or other meso-scale structures is a prominent topic in network science as it allows the identification of functional building blocks in complex systems. When such building blocks may be present in graphons is an open question. In this paper, we define a graphon-modularity and demonstrate that it can be maximised to detect communities in graphons. We then investigate specific synthetic graphons and show that they may show a wide range of different community structures. We also reformulate the graphon-modularity maximisation as a continuous optimisation problem and so prove the optimal community structure or lack thereof for some graphons, something that is usually not possible for networks. Furthermore, we demonstrate that estimating a graphon from network data as an intermediate step can improve the detection of communities, in comparison with exclusively maximising the modularity of the network. While the choice of graphon-estimator may strongly influence the accord between the community structure of a network and its estimated graphon, we find that there is a substantial overlap if an appropriate estimator is used. Our study demonstrates that community detection for graphons is possible and may serve as a privacy-preserving way to cluster network data.

arXiv link: https://arxiv.org/abs/2101.00503

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