Tue, 27 Apr 2021

14:00 - 15:00
Virtual

Network structure influences visibility and ranking of minorities

Fariba Karimi
(Complexity Science Hub Vienna)
Abstract

Homophily can put minority groups at a disadvantage by restricting their ability to establish connections with majority groups or to access novel information. In this talk, I show how this phenomenon is manifested in a variety of online and face-to-face social networks and what societal consequences it has on the visibility and ranking of minorities. I propose a network model with tunable homophily and group sizes and demonstrate how the ranking of nodes is affected by homophilic
behavior. I will discuss the implications of this research on algorithms and perception biases.

Interventions targeting nonsymptomatic cases can be important to prevent local outbreaks: SARS-CoV-2 as a case-study
Lovell-Read, F Funk, S Obolski, U Donnelly, C Thompson, R (2020)
Wed, 02 Dec 2020
10:00
Virtual

Generalizing Hyperbolicity via Local-to-Global Behaviour

Davide Spriano
(University of Oxford)
Abstract

 An important property of a Gromov hyperbolic space is that every path that is locally a quasi-geodesic is globally a quasi-geodesic. A theorem of Gromov states that this is a characterization of hyperbolicity, which means that all the properties of hyperbolic spaces and groups can be traced back to this simple fact. In this talk we generalize this property by considering only Morse quasi-geodesics.

We show that not only does this allow us to consider a much larger class of examples, such as CAT(0) spaces, hierarchically hyperbolic spaces and fundamental groups of 3-manifolds, but also we can effortlessly generalize several results from the theory of hyperbolic groups that were previously unknown in this generality.
 

Tue, 09 Feb 2021

14:00 - 15:00
Virtual

FFTA: The growth equation of cities

Vincent Verbavatz
(Université Paris-Saclay)
Abstract

The science of cities seeks to understand and explain regularities observed in the world's major urban systems. Modelling the population evolution of cities is at the core of this science and of all urban studies. Quantitatively, the most fundamental problem is to understand the hierarchical organization of cities and the statistical occurrence of megacities, first thought to be described by a universal law due to Zipf, but whose validity has been challenged by recent empirical studies. A theoretical model must also be able to explain the relatively frequent rises and falls of cities and civilizations, and despite many attempts these fundamental questions have not been satisfactorily answered yet. Here we fill this gap by introducing a new kind of stochastic equation for modelling population growth in cities, which we construct from an empirical analysis of recent datasets (for Canada, France, UK and USA) that reveals how rare but large interurban migratory shocks dominate city growth. This equation predicts a complex shape for the city distribution and shows that Zipf's law does not hold in general due to finite-time effects, implying a more complex organization of cities. It also predicts the existence of multiple temporal variations in the city hierarchy, in agreement with observations. Our result underlines the importance of rare events in the evolution of complex systems and at a more practical level in urban planning.

 

arXiv link: https://arxiv.org/abs/2011.09403

Tue, 02 Feb 2021

14:00 - 15:00
Virtual

FFTA: Compressibility of complex networks

Christopher W. Lynn
(Princeton University)
Abstract

Many complex networks depend upon biological entities for their preservation. Such entities, from human cognition to evolution, must first encode and then replicate those networks under marked resource constraints. Networks that survive are those that are amenable to constrained encoding, or, in other words, are compressible. But how compressible is a network? And what features make one network more compressible than another? Here we answer these questions by modeling networks as information sources before compressing them using rate-distortion theory. Each network yields a unique rate-distortion curve, which specifies the minimal amount of information that remains at a given scale of description. A natural definition then emerges for the compressibility of a network: the amount of information that can be removed via compression, averaged across all scales. Analyzing an array of real and model networks, we demonstrate that compressibility increases with two common network properties: transitivity (or clustering) and degree heterogeneity. These results indicate that hierarchical organization -- which is characterized by modular structure and heavy-tailed degrees -- facilitates compression in complex networks. Generally, our framework sheds light on the interplay between a network's structure and its capacity to be compressed, enabling investigations into the role of compression in shaping real-world networks.

arXiv link: https://arxiv.org/abs/2011.08994

Thu, 03 Dec 2020

16:00 - 17:00

Asymptotic Randomised Control with an application to bandit and dynamic pricing

Tanut Treetanthiploet
(University of Oxford)
Abstract

Abstract: In many situations, one needs to decide between acting to reveal data about a system and acting to generate profit; this is the trade-off between exploration and exploitation. A simple situation where we face this trade-off is a multiarmed bandit problem, where one has M ‘bandits’ which generate reward from an unknown distribution, and one must choose which bandit to play at each time. The key difficulty in the multi-armed bandit problem is that the action often affects the information obtained. Due to the curse of dimensionality, solving the bandit problem directly is often computationally intractable.

In this talk, we will formulate a general class of the multi-armed bandit problem as a relaxed stochastic control problem. By introducing an entropy premium, we obtain a smooth asymptotic approximation to the value function. This yields a novel semi-index approximation of the optimal decision process, obtained numerically by solving a fixed point problem, which can be interpreted as explicitly balancing an exploration–exploitation trade-off.  Performance of the resulting Asymptotic Randomised Control (ARC) algorithm compares favourably with other approaches to correlated multi-armed bandits.

As an application of the multi-armed bandit, we also consider a multi-armed bandit problem where the observation from each bandit arrive from a Generalised Linear Model. We then use such model to consider a dynamic online pricing problem. The numerical simulation shows that the ARC algorithm also performs well compared to others.
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The latest in our Autumn 2020 series of lectures is the first lecture in Alan Lauder's Second Year Linear Algebra Course. In this lecture Alan (with help from Cosi) explains to students how the course will unfold before going on to talk specifically about Vector Spaces and Linear Maps.

All lectures are followed by tutorials where students meet their tutor in pairs to go through the lecture and associated worksheet. The course materials and worksheets can be found here.

Fri, 27 Nov 2020
16:30
Virtual

On the Spectrum of Pure Higher Spin Gravity

Carmen Jorge Diaz
(University of Oxford)
Abstract

One of the very unique properties of AdS_3 spacetimes is that we can introduce a finite number of massless higher spin fields without yielding an inconsistent theory. In this talk, we would like to comment on what the spectrum of these theories looks like: from the known contribution of the light spectrum, that corresponds to the vacuum character of the W_N algebra, we can use modular invariance to constraint the heavy spectrum of the theory. However, in doing so, we find negative norm states, inconsistent with unitarity. We propose a possible cure by adding light states that can be interpreted as massive particles with a conical defect associated to them, and study what scenario we are left with. The results that we will revisit are those presented in 2009.01830. 

Thu, 18 Feb 2021

12:00 - 13:00
Virtual

Identifiability and inference for models in mathematical biology.

Professor Ruth Baker
(University of Oxford)
Further Information

We continue this term with our flagship seminars given by notable scientists on topics that are relevant to Industrial and Applied Mathematics. 

Note the new time of 12:00-13:00 on Thursdays.

This will give an opportunity for the entire community to attend and for speakers with childcare responsibilities to present.

Abstract

Simple mathematical models have had remarkable successes in biology, framing how we understand a host of mechanisms and processes. However, with the advent of a host of new experimental technologies, the last ten years has seen an explosion in the amount and types of quantitative data now being generated. This sets a new challenge for the field – to develop, calibrate and analyse new, biologically realistic models to interpret these data. In this talk I will showcase how quantitative comparisons between models and data can help tease apart subtle details of biological mechanisms, as well as present some steps we have taken to tackle the mathematical challenges in developing models that are both identifiable and can be efficiently calibrated to quantitative data.

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