plasmas
The impact of the misalignment of beliefs on the estimation of the pricing kernels
On fully-dynamic risk-indifference pricing: time-consistency and other properties
Abstract
Risk-indifference pricing is proposed as an alternative to utility indifference pricing, where a risk measure is used instead of a utility based preference. In this, we propose to include the possibility to change the attitude to risk evaluation as time progresses. This is particularly reasonable for long term investments and strategies.
Then we introduce a fully-dynamic risk-indifference criteria, in which a whole family of risk measures is considered. The risk-indifference pricing system is studied from the point of view of its properties as a convex price system. We tackle questions of time-consistency in the risk evaluation and the corresponding prices. This analysis provides a new insight also to time-consistency for ordinary dynamic risk-measures.
Our techniques and results are set in the representation and extension theorems for convex operators. We shall argue and finally provide a setting in which fully-dynamic risk-indifference pricing is a well set convex price system.
The presentation is based on joint works with Jocelyne Bion-Nadal.
Double auctions in welfare economics
Abstract
Welfare economics argues that competitive markets lead to efficient allocation of resources. The classical theorems are based on the Walrasian market model which assumes the existence of market clearing prices. The emergence of such prices remains debatable. We replace the Walrasian market model by double auctions and show that the conclusions of welfare economics remain largely the same. Double auctions are not only a more realistic description of real markets but they explain how equilibrium prices and efficient allocations emerge in practice.
Incomplete Equilibrium with a Stochastic Annuity
Abstract
In this talk, I will present an incomplete equilibrium model to determine the price of an annuity. A finite number of agents receive stochastic income streams and choose between consumption and investment in the traded annuity. The novelty of this model is its ability to handle running consumption and general income streams. In particular, the model incorporates mean reverting income, which is empirically relevant but historically too intractable in equilibrium. The model is set in a Brownian framework, and equilibrium is characterized and proven to exist using a system of fully coupled quadratic BSDEs. This work is joint with Gordan Zitkovic.