Forthcoming events in this series


Mon, 22 Oct 2007
15:45
Oxford-Man Institute

The continuous limit of random planar maps

Professor Jean Francois Le Gall
(ENS, France)
Abstract

We discuss the convergence in distribution of rescaled random planar maps viewed as random metric spaces. More precisely, we consider a random planar map M(n), which is uniformly distributed over the set of all planar maps with n faces in a certain class. We equip the set of vertices of M(n) with the graph distance rescaled by the factor n to the power 1/4. We then discuss the convergence in distribution of the resulting random metric spaces as n tends to infinity, in the sense of the Gromov-Hausdorff distance between compact metric spaces. This problem was stated by Oded Schramm in his plenary address paper at the 2006 ICM, in the special case of triangulations.

In the case of bipartite planar maps, we first establish a compactness result showing that a limit exists along a suitable subsequence. Furthermore this limit can be written as a quotient space of the Continuum Random Tree (CRT) for an equivalence relation which has a simple definition in terms of Brownian labels attached to the vertices of the CRT. Finally we show that any possible limiting metric space is almost surely homomorphic to the 2-sphere. As a key tool, we use bijections between planar maps and various classes of labelled trees.

Mon, 22 Oct 2007
14:15
Oxford-Man Institute

Slow energy dissipation in anharmonic chains

Dr. Martin Hairer
(University of Warwick)
Abstract

We study the dynamic of a very simple chain of three anharmonic oscillators with linear nearest-neighbour couplings. The first and the last oscillator furthermore interact with heat baths through friction and noise terms. If all oscillators in such a system are coupled to heat baths, it is well-known that under relatively weak coercivity assumptions, the system has a spectral gap (even compact resolvent) and returns to equilibrium exponentially fast. It turns out that while it is still possible to show the existence and uniqueness of an invariant measure for our system, it returns to equilibrium much slower than one would at first expect. In particular, it no longer has compact resolvent when the potential of the oscillators is quartic and the spectral gap is destroyed when it grows even faster.

Mon, 15 Oct 2007
14:15
Oxford-Man Institute

TBA

Professor Dimitri Kramkov
(Oxford and Carnegie Mellon University)
Mon, 11 Jun 2007
15:45
DH 3rd floor SR

Asymptotic behaviour of some self-interacting diffusions on $\mathbb{R}^d$

Professor Aline Kurtzmann
(Universite de Neuchatel)
Abstract

Self-interacting diffusions are solutions to SDEs with a drift term depending

on the process and its normalized occupation measure $\mu_t$ (via an interaction

potential and a confinement potential): $$\mathrm{d}X_t = \mathrm{d}B_t -\left(

\nabla V(X_t)+ \nabla W*{\mu_t}(X_t) \right) \mathrm{d}t ; \mathrm{d}\mu_t = (\delta_{X_t}

- \mu_t)\frac{\mathrm{d}t}{r+t}; X_0 = x,\,\ \mu_0=\mu$$ where $(\mu_t)$ is the

process defined by $$\mu_t := \frac{r\mu + \int_0^t \delta_{X_s}\mathrm{d}s}{r+t}.$$

We establish a relation between the asymptotic behaviour of $\mu_t$ and the

asymptotic behaviour of a deterministic dynamical flow (defined on the space of

the Borel probability measures). We will also give some sufficient conditions

for the convergence of $\mu_t$. Finally, we will illustrate our study with an

example in the case $d=2$.

 

Mon, 11 Jun 2007
14:15
DH 3rd floor SR

Monte Carlo Markoc Chain Methods in Infinite Dimensions

Professor Andrew Stuart
(University of Warwick)
Abstract

 

A wide variety of problems arising in applications require the sampling of a

probability measure on the space of functions. Examples from econometrics,

signal processing, molecular dynamics and data assimilation will be given.

In this situation it is of interest to understand the computational

complexity of MCMC methods for sampling the desired probability measure. We

overview recent results of this type, highlighting the importance of measures

which are absolutely continuous with respect to a Guassian measure.

 

Mon, 04 Jun 2007
14:15
DH 3rd floor SR

SLE and alpha SLE driven by Levy processes

Dr Qingyang Guan
(Imperial College, London)
Abstract
  Schramm Loewner Evolutions (SLE) are random planar curves (if κ ≤ 4) or growing compact sets generated by a curve (if κ > 4). We consider more general L
Mon, 28 May 2007
15:45
DH 3rd floor SR

Dimer configurations and interlaced particles on the cylinder

Mr Anthony Metcalfe
(University of Cork, Ireland)
Abstract
  A dimer configuration of a graph is a subset of the edges, such that every vertex is contained in exactly one edge of the subset. We consider dimer configurations of the honeycomb lattice on the cylinder, which are known to be equivalent to configurations of interlaced particles. Assigning a measure to the set of all such configurations, we show that the probability that particles are located in any subset of points on the cylinder can be written as a determinant, i.e. that the process is determinantal. We also examine Markov chains of interlaced particles on the circle, with dynamics equivalent to RSK.  
Mon, 28 May 2007
14:15
DH 3rd floor SR

Gradient bounds for the heat kernel on the Heisenberg group

Professor Dominique Bakry
(Université de Toulouse)
Abstract

 

Gradient bounds are a very powerful tool to study heat kernel measures and

regularisation properties for the heat kernel. In the elliptic case, it is easy

to derive them from bounds on the Ricci tensor of the generator. In recent

years, many efforts have been made to extend these bounds to some simple

examples in the hypoelliptic situation. The simplest case is the Heisenberg

group. In this talk, we shall discuss some recent developments (due to H.Q. Li)

on this question, and give some elementary proofs of these bounds.

 

Mon, 21 May 2007
15:45
DH 3rd floor SR

High order weak Monte Carlo methods from the Cubature on Wiener space point of view for solving SDE's

Greg Gyurko
(Oxford)
Abstract
  The "Cubature on Wiener space" algorithm can be regarded as a general approach to high order weak approximations. Based on this observation we will derive many well known weak discretisation schemes and optimise the computational effort required for a given accuracy of the approximation. We show that cubature can also help to overcome some stability difficulties. The cubature on Wiener space algorithm is frequently combined with partial sampling techniques and we outline an extension to these methods to reduce the variance of the samples. We apply the extended method to examples arising in mathematical finance. Joint work of G. Gyurko, C. Litterer and T. Lyons  
Mon, 14 May 2007
15:45
DH 3rd floor SR

Nonlinear Filtering of Semi-Dirichlet Processes

Professor Zhi-Ming Ma
(Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing)
Abstract
  The talk is based on my recent joint work with Zhechun Hu and Wei Sun. We consider a nonlinear filtering problem for general right continuous Markov processes associated with semi-Dirichlet forms. We show that in our general setting the filtering processes satisfy also DMZ (Duncan-Mortensen-Zakai) equation. The uniqueness of the solutions of the filtering equations are verified through their Wiener chaos expansions. Our results on the Wiener chaos expansions for nonlinear filters with possibly unbounded observation functions are novel and have their own interests. We investigate further the absolute continuity of the filtering processes with respect to the reference measures and derive the density equations for the filtering processes.
Mon, 14 May 2007
14:15
DH 3rd floor SR

The diameter of G (n,c/n)

Dr Oliver Riordan
(University of Cambridge (DPMS))
Abstract
  Recently, comparison with branching processes has been used to determine the asymptotic behaviour of the diameter (largest graph distance between two points that are in the same component) of various sparse random graph models, giving results for $G(n,c/n)$ as special cases. In ongoing work with Nick Wormald, we have studied $G(n,c/n)$ directly, obtaining much stronger results for this simpler model.  
Mon, 30 Apr 2007
15:45
DH 3rd floor SR

Stochastic flows, panar aggregation and the Brownian web

Dr Amanda Turner
(University of Cambridge)
Abstract

 

Diffusion limited aggregation (DLA) is a random growth model which was

originally introduced in 1981 by Witten and Sander. This model is prevalent in

nature and has many applications in the physical sciences as well as industrial

processes. Unfortunately it is notoriously difficult to understand, and only one

rigorous result has been proved in the last 25 years. We consider a simplified

version of DLA known as the Eden model which can be used to describe the growth

of cancer cells, and show that under certain scaling conditions this model gives

rise to a limit object known as the Brownian web.

Mon, 30 Apr 2007
14:15
DH 3rd floor SR

Parabolic Anderson model: Localisation of mass in random media

Dr Nadia Sidorova
(University of Bath)
Abstract

 

We study the parabolic Anderson problem, i.e., the heat equation on the d-dimentional

integer lattice with independent identically distributed random potential and

localised initial condition. Our interest is in the long-term behaviour of the

random total mass of the unique non-negative solution, and we prove the complete

localisation of mass for potentials with polynomial tails.

 

Mon, 23 Apr 2007
15:45
DH 3rd floor SR

SPDE's driven by Poissonian noise

Dr Erika Hausenblas
Abstract
 

First I will introduce Poisson random measures and their connection to Levy processes.  Then SPDE

Mon, 26 Mar 2007
15:45
DH 3rd floor SR

From Ising 2D towards Mumford-Shah (joint work with Reda Messikh)

Professor Raphael Cerf
(Universite de Paris XI)
Abstract
  The talk will be self-contained and does not require specific knowledge on the Ising model. I will present the basic results concerning the Wulff crystal of the Ising model and I will study its behaviour near the critical point. Finally I will show how to apply these results to the problem of image segmentation.  
Mon, 05 Mar 2007
14:15
DH 3rd floor SR

Pinning of a polymer in a random medium and interacting particle system.

Dr Vincent Beffara
(ENS Lyon)
Abstract
  We present a link between polymer pinning by a columnar defect in a random medium and a particular model of interacting particles on the line, related to polynuclear growth. While the question of whether an arbitrarily small intensity for the defect always results in pinning is still open, in a 'randomized' version of the model, which is closely related to the zero-temperature Glauber dynamics of the Ising model, we are able to obtain explicit results and a complete understanding of the process. This is joint work with Vladas Sidoravicius and Maria Eulalia Vares.  
Mon, 26 Feb 2007
15:45
DH 3rd floor SR

On linear and nonlinear interacting particle systems

Mr Lihu Xu
(Imperial College, London)
Abstract
  We start from the stochastic Ising model(or Glauber Dynamics) and have a short review of some important topics in Particle Systems such as ergodicity, convergence rates and so on. Then an abstract nonlinear model will be introduced by an evolution differential equation. We will build the existence and uniqueness theorem, and give some nice properties such as convergence exponentially and monotonicity for the abstract systems. To apply our abstract theory, we will study a family of nonlinear interacting particle systems generalized from Glauber Type Dynamics(we call them nonlinear Glauber Type Dynamics) and prove that such generalization can be done in infinitely many ways. For nonlinear Glauber Type Dynamics, we have two interesting inequalities related to Gibbs measures. Finally, we will concentrate on one specific nonlinear dynamics, and provide the relation between nonlinear system and the linear one, and that between Gibbs measures and tangent functionals to a nonlinear transfer operator.
Mon, 26 Feb 2007
14:15
DH 3rd floor SR

Markov loops, determinants and Gaussian fields

Prof Yves Le Jan
(University of Paris XI)
Abstract

 

We will see how Dynkin's isomorphism emerges from the "loop soup" introduced by

Lawler and Werner.

Mon, 12 Feb 2007
14:15
DH 3rd floor SR

Stability of sequential Markov chain Monte Carlo methods

Prof Andreas Eberle
(University of Bonn)
Abstract

Sequential Monte Carlo Samplers are a class of stochastic algorithms for

Monte Carlo integral estimation w.r.t. probability distributions, which combine

elements of Markov chain Monte Carlo methods and importance sampling/resampling

schemes. We develop a stability analysis by functional inequalities for a

nonlinear flow of probability measures describing the limit behaviour of the

methods as the number of particles tends to infinity. Stability results are

derived both under global and local assumptions on the generator of the

underlying Metropolis dynamics. This allows us to prove that the combined

methods sometimes have good asymptotic stability properties in multimodal setups

where traditional MCMC methods mix extremely slowly. For example, this holds for

the mean field Ising model at all temperatures.

 

Mon, 05 Feb 2007
15:45
DH 3rd floor SR

Fluctuations of the front in a one dimensional growth model

Prof Francis Comets
(University of Paris VII)
Abstract

We report on two joint works with Jeremy Quastel and Alejandro Ramirez, on an

interacting particle system which can be viewed as a combustion mechanism or a

chemical reaction.

We consider a model of the reaction $X+Y\to 2X$ on the integer lattice in

which $Y$ particles do not move while $X$ particles move as independent

continuous time, simple symmetric random walks. $Y$ particles are transformed

instantaneously to $X$ particles upon contact.

We start with a fixed number $a\ge 1$ of $Y$ particles at each site to the

right of the origin, and define a class of configurations of the $X$ particles

to the left of the origin having a finite $l^1$ norm with a specified

exponential weight. Starting from any configuration of $X$ particles to the left

of the origin within such a class, we prove a central limit theorem for the

position of the rightmost visited site of the $X$ particles.

 

Mon, 29 Jan 2007
14:15
DH 3rd floor SR

Diffusions on the volume preserving diffeomorphisms group and hydrodynamics equations

Prof Ana Bela Cruzeiro
(University of Lisbon)
Abstract

We follow Arnold's approach of Euler equation as a geodesic on the group of

diffeomorphisms. We construct a geometrical Brownian motion on this group in the

case of the two dimensional torus, and prove the global existence of a

stochastic perturbation of Euler equation (joint work with F. Flandoli and P.

Malliavin).

Other diffusions allow us to obtain the deterministic Navier-Stokes equation

as a solution of a variational problem (joint work with F. Cipriano).

Mon, 15 Jan 2007
15:45
DH 3rd floor SR

The Global Error in Weak Approximations of Stochastic Differential Equations

Dr Saadia Ghazali
(Imperial College London)
Abstract

In this talk, the convergence analysis of a class of weak approximations of

solutions of stochastic differential equations is presented. This class includes

recent approximations such as Kusuoka's moment similar families method and the

Lyons-Victoir cubature on Wiener Space approach. It will be shown that the rate

of convergence depends intrinsically on the smoothness of the chosen test

function. For smooth functions (the required degree of smoothness depends on the

order of the approximation), an equidistant partition of the time interval on

which the approximation is sought is optimal. For functions that are less smooth

(for example Lipschitz functions), the rate of convergence decays and the

optimal partition is no longer equidistant. An asymptotic rate of convergence

will also be presented for the Lyons-Victoir method. The analysis rests upon

Kusuoka-Stroock's results on the smoothness of the distribution of the solution

of a stochastic differential equation. Finally, the results will be applied to

the numerical solution of the filtering problem.

 

Mon, 15 Jan 2007
14:15
DH 3rd floor SR

Differential Equations Driven by Gaussian Signals

Dr Peter Fritz
(University of Cambridge)
Abstract

We consider multi-dimensional Gaussian processes and give a novel, simple and

sharp condition on its covariance (finiteness of its two dimensional rho-variation,

for some rho <2) for the existence of "natural" Levy areas and higher iterated

integrals, and subsequently the existence of Gaussian rough paths. We prove a

variety of (weak and strong) approximation results, large deviations, and

support description.

Rough path theory then gives a theory of differential equations driven by

Gaussian signals with a variety of novel continuity properties, large deviation

estimates and support descriptions generalizing classical results of

Freidlin-Wentzell and Stroock-Varadhan respectively.

(Joint work with Nicolas Victoir.)

 

Mon, 20 Nov 2006
14:15
DH 3rd floor SR

Branching Markov Chains

Professor Nina Gantert
(Universitat Munster)
Abstract

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Mon, 13 Nov 2006
15:45
DH 3rd floor SR

Randon tilings and random matrices

Professor Kurt Johansson
(KTH Stockholm)
Abstract

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Mon, 06 Nov 2006
15:45
L1

Pathwise stochastic optimal control

Professor Chris Rogers
(University of Cambridge)
Abstract
 

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Mon, 30 Oct 2006
14:15
DH 3rd floor SR

The ensemble Kalman filter: a state estimation method for hazardous weather prediction

Dr Sarah Dance
(University of Reading)
Abstract
Numerical weather prediction models require an estimate of the current state of the atmosphere as an initial condition. Observations only provide partial information, so they are usually combined with prior information, in a process called data assimilation. The dynamics of hazardous weather such as storms is very nonlinear, with only a short predictability timescale, thus it is important to use a nonlinear, probabilistic filtering method to provide the initial conditions. 

Unfortunately, the state space is very large (about 107 variables) so approximations have to be made.

The Ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is a quasi-linear filter that has recently been proposed in the meteorological and oceanographic literature to solve this problem. The filter uses a forecast ensemble (a Monte Carlo sample) to estimate the prior statistics. In this talk we will describe the EnKF framework and some of its strengths and weaknesses. In particular we will demonstrate a new result that not all filters of this type bear the desired relationship to the forecast ensemble: there can be a systematic bias in the analysis ensemble mean and consequently an accompanying shortfall in the spread of the analysis ensemble as expressed by the ensemble covariance matrix. This points to the need for a restricted version of the notion of an EnKF. We have established a set of necessary and sufficient conditions for the scheme to be unbiased. Whilst these conditions are not a cure-all and cannot deal with independent sources of bias such as modelling errors, they should be useful to designers of EnKFs in the future.

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Mon, 23 Oct 2006
14:15
DH 3rd floor SR

Dual Nonlinear Filters and Entropy Production

Dr Nigel Newton
(University of Essex)
Abstract
The talk will describe recent collaborative work between the speaker and Professor Sanjoy Mitter of MIT on connections between continuous-time nonlinear filtering theory, and nonequilibrium statistical mechanics. The study of nonlinear filters from a (Shannon) information- theoretic viewpoint reveals two flows of information, dubbed 'supply' and 'dissipation'. These characterise, in a dynamic way, the dependencies between the past, present and future of the signal and observation processes. In addition, signal and nonlinear filter processes exhibit a number of symmetries, (in particular they are jointly and marginally Markov), and these allow the construction of dual filtering problems by time reversal. The information supply and dissipation processes of a dual problem have rates equal to those of the original, but with supply and dissipation exchanging roles. The joint (signal-filter) process of a nonlinear filtering problem is unusual among Markov processes in that it exhibits one-way flows of information between components. The concept of entropy flow in the stationary distribution of a Markov process is at the heart of a modern theory of nonequilibrium statistical mechanics, based on stochastic dynamics. In this, a rate of entropy flow is defined by means of time averages of stationary ergodic processes. Such a definition is inadequate in the dynamic theory of nonlinear filtering. Instead a rate of entropy production can be defined, which is based on only the (current) local characteristics of the Markov process. This can be thought of as an 'entropic derivative'. The rate of entropy production of the joint process of a nonlinear filtering problem contains an 'interactive' component equal to the sum of the information supply and dissipation rates. These connections between nonlinear filtering and statistical mechanics allow a certain degree of cross- fertilisation between the fields. For example, the nonlinear filter, viewed as a statistical mechanical system, is a type of perpetual motion machine, and provides a precise quantitative example of Landauer's Principle. On the other hand, the theory of dissipative statistical mechanical systems can be brought to bear on the study of sub-optimal filters. On a more philosophical level, we might ask what a nonlinear filter can tell us about the direction of thermodynamic time.    
Mon, 16 Oct 2006
15:45
DH 3rd floor SR

5x+1: how many go down?

Dr Stanislav Volkov
(University of Bristol)
Abstract

 

/notices/events/abstracts/stochastic-analysis/mt06/volkov.shtml

 

 

Mon, 16 Oct 2006
14:15
DH 3rd floor SR

TBA

Prof Liming Wu
(Universite Blaise Pascal-Clermont-Ferrand II)