Modelling the loss of cell cycle synchrony in embryo development
Abstract
Cell proliferation has been widely studied across experimental systems and mathematical modelling frameworks, from early embryonic development to regenerating tissues. A characteristic feature of early embryonic development is that initially synchronous cell populations progressively lose synchrony after a species-specific number of divisions. Here, we use an age-dependent branching process to determine how variability in cell-cycle duration controls the persistence of synchrony. We derive analytical expressions for the mean and variance of cell number and show how they identify the underlying generation-time distribution. For gamma-distributed generation times, this establishes a direct relationship between cell-cycle variability and the number of synchronous divisions. We use these results to infer generation-time statistics from population-level cell counts and investigate how systematic changes in cell-cycle duration can bias inference under a stationary model. Our results provide a quantitative framework linking the precision of individual cell-cycle clocks to observable population-level dynamics.