Past Stochastic Analysis Seminar

In stochastic optimal control and conditional generative modelling, a central computational task is to modify a reference diffusion process to maximise a given terminal-time reward. Most existing methods require this reward to be differentiable, using gradients to steer the diffusion towards favourable outcomes. However, in many practical settings, like diffusion bridges, the reward is singular, taking an infinite value if the target is hit and zero otherwise. We introduce a novel framework, based on Malliavin calculus and path-space integration by parts, that enables the development of methods robust to such singular rewards. This allows our approach to handle a broad range of applications, including classification, diffusion bridges, and conditioning without the need for artificial observational noise. We demonstrate that our approach offers stable and reliable training, outperforming existing techniques. 

We begin with motivation on how the study of SPDEs are relevant when interested in fluctuations of particle systems. 

We then present a law of large numbers, central limit theorem and large deviations principle for the generalised Dean--Kawasaki SPDE with truncated noise. 

Our main contribution is the ability to consider the equation on a general $C^2$-regular, bounded domain with Dirichlet boundary conditions. On the particle level the boundary condition corresponds to absorption and injection of particles at the boundary.

The work is based on discussions with Benjamin Fehrman and can be found at https://arxiv.org/pdf/2504.17094 

Conformal welding, the process of glueing together Riemann surfaces along their boundaries, has recently played a prominent role in probability theory. In this talk, I will discuss two examples, namely the welding associated with random Jordan curves (SLE(k) loops) and particularly their limit as k tends to zero, and the welding of random trees (such as the CRT).

The Stochastic Burgers Equation (SBE) was introduced in the eighties by van Beijren, Kutner and Spohn as a mesoscopic model for driven diffusive systems with one conserved scalar quantity. In the subcritical dimension d=1, it coincides with the derivative of the KPZ equation whose large-scale behaviour is polynomially superdiffusive and given by the KPZ Fixed Point, and in the super-critical dimensions d>2, it was recently shown to be diffusive and rescale to an anisotropic Stochastic Heat equation. At the critical dimension d=2, the SBE was conjectured to be logarithmically superdiffusive with a precise exponent but this has only been shown up to lower order corrections. This talk is based on the work joint with Giuseppe Cannizzaro and Fabio Toninelli under the same name https://arxiv.org/abs/2501.00344, where we pin down the logarithmic superdiffusivity by identifying exactly the large-time asymptotic behaviour of the so-called diffusion matrix and show that, once the logarithmic corrections to the scaling are taken into account, the solution of the SBE satisfies a central limit theorem. This is the first superdiffusive scaling limit result for a critical SPDE, beyond the weak coupling regime.

In this talk, we discuss the existence of statistically stationary solutions to the Schrödinger map equation on a one-dimensional domain, with null Neumann boundary conditions, or on the one-dimensional torus. To approximate the Schrödinger map equation, we employ the stochastic  Landau-Lifschitz-Gilbert equation. By a limiting procedure à la Kuksin, we establish existence of a random initial datum, whose distribution is preserved under the dynamic of the deterministic equation. We explore the relationship between the Schrödinger map equation, the binormal curvature flow and the cubic non-linear Schrödinger equation. Additionally, we prove existence of statistically stationary solutions to the binormal curvature flow.[https://arxiv.org/abs/2501.16499]

This is a joint work with Professor M. Hofmanová.

In this talk, I will describe a family of observables for 3D quantum Yang-Mills theory based on regularising connections with the YM heat flow. I will describe how these observables can be used to show that there is a unique renormalisation of the stochastic quantisation equation of YM in 3D that preserves gauge symmetries. This complements a recent result on the existence of such a renormalisation. Based on joint work with Hao Shen.

In this talk, I will discuss a model mixture of active (self-propelled) and passive (diffusive) particles with non-reciprocal effective interactions (or forces that violate Newton’s third law). We derive the hydrodynamic PDE limit for the particle densities, which is not a Wasserstein gradient flow of any free energy, consistent with the microscopic model having non-equilibrium steady states. We study the emergence of collective behaviour, which includes phase separation and dynamical (travelling) steady states.

In this talk, we consider Dirichlet forms related to stochastic quantisation for the exp(φ)_{2}-model on the torus. We show strong uniqueness of the corresponding Dirichlet operators by applying an idea of (singular) SPDEs. This talk is based on ongoing joint work with Hirotatsu Nagoji (Kyoto University).

In this talk, I will present the generalization of scaling limit results for stochastic transport equations on torus by Flandoli, Galeati and Luo, to compact manifolds. We consider the stochastic transport equations driven by colored space-time noise(smooth in space, white in time) on a compact Riemannian manifold without boundary. Then we study the scaling limits of stochastic transport equations, tuning the noise in such a way that the space covariance of the noise on the diagonal goes to identity matrix but the covariance operator itself goes to zero, which includes the large scale analysis regime with diffusive scaling.

We obtain different scaling limits depending on the initial data. With space white noise as initial data, the solutions converge in distribution to the solution of a stochastic heat equation with additive noise. With square integrable initial data, the solutions of transport equation converge to the solution of the deterministic heat equation, and we give quantitative estimates on the convergence rate.

We present an existence and uniqueness result for nonlinear Fokker--Planck equations driven by rough paths. These equations describe the evolution of the probability distributions associated with McKean--Vlasov stochastic dynamics under (rough) common noise.  A key motivation comes from the study of interacting particle systems with common noise, where the empirical measure converges to a solution of such a nonlinear equation. 
Our approach combines rough path theory and the stochastic sewing techniques with Lions' differential calculus on Wasserstein spaces.

This is joint work with Peter K. Friz and Wilhelm Stannat.

We establish general conditions for stochastic evolution equations with locally monotone drift and degenerate additive Lévy noise in variational formulation resulting in the existence of a unique invariant probability measure for the associated ergodic Markovian Feller semigroup. We prove improved moment estimates for the solutions and the e-property of the semigroup. Examples include the stochastic incompressible 2D Navier-Stokes equations, shear thickening stochastic power-law fluid equations, the stochastic heat equation, as well as, stochastic semilinear equations such as the 1D stochastic Burgers equation.

Joint work with Gerardo Barrera (IST Lisboa), https://arxiv.org/abs/2412.01381

In this talk, we discuss the condition for the marginal distribution of the solution to singular SPDEs on the d-dimensional torus to be singular with respect to the law of the Gaussian measure induced by the linearized equation. As applications of our result, we see the singularity of the Phi^4_3-measure with respect to the Gaussian free field measure and the border of parameters for the fractional Phi^4-measure to be singular with respect to the base Gaussian measure. This talk is based on a joint work with Martin Hairer and Seiichiro Kusuoka.

According to a conjecture by Landau-Pekar (1948) and by Spohn (1986), the effective mass of the Fröhlich Polaron should diverge in the strong coupling limit like a quartic power of the coupling constant. In a recent joint with R. Bazaes, M. Sellke and S.R.S. Varadhan, we prove this conjecture.

I will present TeXmacs (www.texmacs.org), a document preparation system with structured editing and high quality typography, designed to create technical documents. 

For more details see https://mgubi.github.io/docs/programming.html

I will present the basic idea of the flow equation approach developed by Paweł Duch to study singular stochastic partial differential equations. In particular, I will show how it can be used to prove the existence of a solution of the stochastic Burgers equation on the one-dimensional torus.

Schwarzian Theory is a quantum field theory which has attracted a lot of attention in the physics literature in the context of two-dimensional quantum gravity, black holes and AdS/CFT correspondence. It is predicted to be universal and arise in many systems with emerging conformal symmetry, most notably in Sachdev--Ye--Kitaev random matrix model and Jackie--Teitelboim gravity.

In this talk we will discuss our recent progress on developing rigorous mathematical foundations of the Schwarzian Field Theory, including rigorous construction of the corresponding measure, calculation of both the partition function and a natural class of correlation functions, and a large deviation principle.

We explore the weak coupling limit for stochastic Burgers type equation in critical dimension, and show that it is given by a Gaussian stochastic heat equation, with renormalised coefficient depending only on the second order Hermite polynomial of the nonlinearity. We use the approach of Cannizzaro, Gubinelli and Toninelli (2024), who treat the case of quadratic nonlinearities, and we extend it to polynomial nonlinearities. In that sense, we extend the weak universality of the KPZ equation shown by Hairer and Quastel (2018) to the two dimensional generalized stochastic Burgers equation. A key new ingredient is the graph notation for the generator. This enables us to obtain uniform estimates for the generator. This is joint work with Nicolas Perkowski.

As part of the internal seminar schedule for Stochastic Analysis for this coming term, DPhil students have been invited to present on their works to date. Student talks are 20 minutes, which includes question and answer time.

Simple mathematical models have had remarkable successes in biology, framing how we understand a host of mechanisms and processes. However, with the advent of a host of new experimental technologies, the last ten years has seen an explosion in the amount and types of data now being generated. Increasingly larger and more complicated processes are now being explored, including large signalling or gene regulatory networks, and the development, dynamics and disease of entire cells and tissues. As such, the mechanistic, mathematical models developed to interrogate these processes are also necessarily growing in size and complexity. These detailed models have the potential to provide vital insights where data alone cannot, but to achieve this goal requires meeting significant mathematical challenges. In this talk, I will outline some of these challenges, and recent steps we have taken in addressing them.

It is well known that a rough path is uniquely determined by its signature (the collection of global iterated path integrals) up to tree-like pieces. However, the proof the uniqueness theorem is non-constructive and does not give us information about how quantitative properties of the path can be explicitly recovered from its signature. In this talk, we examine the quantitative relationship between the local p-variation of a rough path and the tail asymptotics of its signature for the simplest type of rough paths ("line segments"). What lies at the core of the work a novel technique based on the representation theory of complex semisimple Lie algebras. 

This talk is based on joint work with Horatio Boedihardjo and Nikolaos Souris

We discuss some results on integration of ``rough differential forms'', which are generalizations of classical (smooth) differential forms to similar objects involving Hölder continuous functions that may be nowhere differentiable. Motivations arise mainly from geometric problems related to irregular surfaces, and the techniques are naturally related to those of Rough Paths theory. We show in particular that such a geometric integration can be constructed substituting appropriately differentials with more general asymptotic expansions (of Stratonovich or Ito type) and by summing over a refining sequence of partitions, leading to a two-dimensional extension of the classical Young integral, that coincides with the integral introduced recently by R. Züst. We further show that Stratonovich sums gives an advantage allowing to weaken the requirements on Hölder exponents, and discuss some work in progress in the stochastic case. Based on joint works with E. Stepanov, G. Alberti and I. Ballieul.

Gibbs measures of nonlinear Schrödinger equations are a fundamental object used to study low-regularity solutions with random initial data. In the dispersive PDE community, this point of view was pioneered by Bourgain in the 1990s. We study the problem of the derivation of Gibbs measures as high-temperature limits of thermal states in many-body quantum mechanics.

In our work, we apply a perturbative expansion in the interaction. This expansion is then analysed by means of Borel resummation techniques. In two and three dimensions, we need to apply a Wick-ordering renormalisation procedure. Moreover, in one dimension, our methods allow us to obtain a microscopic derivation of the time-dependent correlation functions for the cubic nonlinear Schrödinger equation. This is based partly on joint work with Jürg Fröhlich, Antti Knowles, and Benjamin Schlein.

Neural networks are undoubtedly successful in practical applications. However complete mathematical theory of why and when machine learning algorithms based on neural networks work has been elusive. Although various representation theorems ensures the existence of the ``perfect’’ parameters of the network, it has not been proved that these perfect parameters can be (efficiently) approximated by conventional algorithms, such as the stochastic gradient descent. This problem is well known, since the arising optimisation problem is non-convex. In this talk we show how the optimization problem becomes convex in the mean field limit for one-hidden layer networks and certain deep neural networks. Moreover we present optimality criteria for the distribution of the network parameters and show that the nonlinear Langevin dynamics converges to this optimal distribution. This is joint work with Kaitong Hu, Zhenjie Ren and Lukasz Szpruch. 

In this talk I will discuss some recent results that allow to approximate a real singularity given by polynomial equations of degree d (e.g. the zero set of a polynomial, or the number of its critical points of a given Morse index) with a singularity which is diffeomorphic to the original one, but it is given by polynomials of degree O(d^(1/2)log d).
The approximation procedure is constructive (in the sense that one can read the approximating polynomial from a linear projection of the given one) and quantitative (in the sense that the approximating procedure will hold for a subset of the space of polynomials with measure increasing very quickly to full measure as the degree goes toinfinity).

The talk is based on joint works with P. Breiding, D. N. Diatta and H. Keneshlou      

Using ideas from paracontrolled calculus, we prove local well-posedness of a renormalized version of the three-dimensional stochastic nonlinear wave equation with quadratic nonlinearity forced by an additive space-time white noise on a periodic domain. There are two new ingredients as compared to the parabolic setting. (i) In constructing stochastic objects, we have to carefully exploit dispersion at a multilinear level. (ii) We introduce novel random operators and leverage their regularity to overcome the lack of smoothing of usual paradifferential commutators

Many singular stochastic PDEs are expected to be universal objects that govern a wide range of microscopic models in different universality classes. Two notable examples are KPZ and \Phi^4_3. In these cases, one usually finds a parameter in the system, and tunes according to the space-time scale in such a way that the system rescales to the SPDE in the large-scale limit. We justify this belief for a large class of continuous microscopic growth models (for KPZ) and phase co-existence models (for Phi^4_3), allowing microscopic nonlinear mechanisms far beyond polynomials. Aside from the framework of regularity structures, the main new ingredient is a moment bound for general nonlinear functionals of Gaussians. This essentially allows one to reduce the problem of a general function to that of a polynomial. Based on a joint work with Martin Hairer, and another joint work in progress with Chenjie Fan and Jiawei Li. 

We will start by presenting two basic probabilistic effects for questions concerning the regularity of functions and nonlinear operations on functions. We will then overview well-posedenss results for the nonlinear wave equation, the nonlinear Schr\"odinger equation and the nonlinear heat equation, in the presence of singular randomness.

We observe a noisy version of a large rank-one matrix. Depending on the strength of the noise, can we recover non-trivial information on the matrix? This problem, interesting on its own, will be motivated by its link with a "spin glass" model, which is a model of statistical mechanics where a large number of variables interact with one another, with random interactions that can be positive or negative. The resolution of the initial question will involve a Hamilton-Jacobi equation

I will discuss new results for the gradient field models with uniformly convex potential (also known as the Ginzburg-Landau field). A connection between the scaling limits of the field and elliptic homogenization was introduced by Naddaf and Spencer in 1997. We quantify the existing central limit theorems in light of recent advances in quantitative homogenization; and positively settle a conjecture of Funaki and Spohn about the surface tension. Joint work with Scott Armstrong. 

Backward Stochastic Differential Equations (BSDEs) provide a systematic way to obtain Feynman-Kac formulas for linear as well as nonlinear partial differential equations (PDEs) of parabolic and elliptic type, and the numerical approximation of their solutions thus provide Monte-Carlo methods for PDEs. BSDEs are also used to describe the solution of path-dependent stochastic control problems, and they further arise in many areas of mathematical finance. 

In this talk, I will discuss the numerical approximation of BSDEs when the nonlinear driver is not Lipschitz, but instead has polynomial growth and satisfies a monotonicity condition. The time-discretization is a crucial step, as it determines whether the full numerical scheme is stable or not. Unlike for Lipschitz driver, while the implicit Bouchard-Touzi-Zhang scheme is stable, the explicit one is not and explodes in general. I will then present a number of remedies that allow to recover a stable scheme, while benefiting from the reduced computational cost of an explicit scheme. I will also discuss the issue of numerical stability and the qualitative correctness which is enjoyed by both the implicit scheme and the modified explicit schemes. Finally, I will discuss the approximation of the expectations involved in the full numerical scheme, and their analysis when using a quasi-Monte Carlo method.

By viewing a stochastic process as a random variable taking values in a path space, the support of its law describes the set of all attainable paths. In this talk, we show that the support of the law of a solution to a path-dependent stochastic differential equation is given by the image of the Cameron-Martin space under the flow of mild solutions to path-dependent ordinary differential equations, constructed by means of the vertical derivative of the diffusion coefficient. This result is based on joint work with Rama Cont and extends the Stroock-Varadhan support theorem for diffusion processes to the path-dependent case.

Abstract: The edge reinforced random walk is a self-interacting process, in which the random walker prefer visited edges with a bias proportional to the number of times the edges were visited. We will gently introduce this model and talk about some of its histories and recent progresses.

We will consider some problems on calculating  the average  angles of random polytopes. Some of them are open.

In a joint-work with Andrea Collevecchio and Vladas Sidoravicius,  we study  phase transitions in the recurrence/transience of a class of self-interacting random walks on trees, which includes the once-reinforced random walk. For this purpose, we define the branching-ruin number of a tree, which is  a natural way to measure trees with polynomial growth and therefore provides a polynomial version of the branching number defined by Furstenberg (1970) and studied by R. Lyons (1990). We prove that the branching-ruin number of a tree is equal to the critical parameter for the recurrence/transience of the once-reinforced random walk on this tree. We will also mention two other results where the branching-ruin number arises as critical parameter: first, in the context of random walks on heavy-tailed random conductances on trees and, second, in the case of Volkov's M-digging random walk.

Consider the asymmetric simple exclusion process with k particles on a linear lattice of N sites. I will present results on the asymptotic of the time needed for the system to reach its equilibrium distribution starting from the worst initial configuration (also called mixing time). Two main regimes appear according to the strength of the asymmetry (in terms of k and N), and in both regimes, the system displays a cutoff phenomenon: the distance to equilibrium falls abruptly from 1 to 0. This is a joint work with Hubert Lacoin (IMPA).

We consider Brownian motion with Kato class measure-valued drift.   A small time large deviation principle and a Varadhan type asymptotics for the Brownian motion with singular drift are established. We also study the existence and uniqueness of the associated Dirichlet boundary value problems.

We first give a short introduction to analysis and stochastic processes on fractal state spaces and the typical difficulties involved.

We then discuss gradient operators and semilinear PDE. They are used to formulate the main result which establishes the hydrodynamic limit of the weakly asymmetric exclusion process on the Sierpinski gasket in the form of a law of large numbers for the particle density. We will explain some details and, if time permits, also sketch a corresponding large deviations principle for the symmetric case.

In this talk I present work in progress with Wolfgang König and Nicolas Perkowski on the parabolic Anderson model (PAM) with white noise potential in 2d. We show the behavior of the total mass as the time tends to infinity. By using partial Girsanov transform and singular heat kernel estimates we can obtain the mass-asymptotics by using the eigenvalue asymptotics that have been showed in another work in progress with Khalil Chouk. 

We prove an a priori bound for solutions of the dynamic $\Phi^4_3$ equation.

This bound provides a control on solutions on a compact space-time set only in terms of the realisation of the noise on an enlargement of this set, and it does not depend on any choice of space-time boundary conditions.

We treat the  large and small scale behaviour of solutions with completely different arguments.For small scales we use bounds akin to those presented in Hairer's theory of regularity structures. We stress immediately that our proof is fully self-contained, but we give a detailed explanation of how our arguments relate to Hairer's. For large scales we use a PDE argument based on the maximum principle. Both regimes are connected by a solution-dependent regularisation procedure.

The fact that our bounds do not depend on space-time boundary conditions makes them useful for the analysis of large scale properties of solutions. They can for example be used in a compactness argument to construct solutions on the full space and their invariant measures

Abstract: We use groupoids to describe a geometric framework which can host a generalisation of Hairer's regularity structures to manifolds. In this setup, Hairer's re-expansionmap (usually denoted \Gamma) is a (direct) connection on a gauge groupoid and can therefore be viewed as a groupoid counterpart of a (local) gauge field. This definitions enables us to make the link between re-expansion maps (direct connections), principal connections and path connections, to understand the flatness of the direct connection in terms of that of the manifold and, finally, to easily build a polynomial regularity structure which we compare to the one given by Driver, Diehl and Dahlquist. (Join work with Sara Azzali, Alessandra Frabetti and Sylvie Paycha).

Quantum Yang-Mills theory is an important part of the Standard model built by physicists to describe elementary particles and their interactions. One approach to the mathematical substance of this theory consists in constructing a probability measure on an infinite-dimensional space of connections on a principal bundle over space-time. However, in the physically realistic 4-dimensional situation, the construction of this measure is still an open mathematical problem. The subject of this talk will be the physically less realistic 2-dimensional situation, in which the construction of the measure is possible, and fairly well understood.

In probabilistic terms, the 2-dimensional Yang-Mills measure is the distribution of a stochastic process with values in a compact Lie group (for example the unitary group U(N)) indexed by the set of continuous closed curves with finite length on a compact surface (for example a disk, a sphere or a torus) on which one can measure areas. It can be seen as a Brownian motion (or a Brownian bridge) on the chosen compact Lie group indexed by closed curves, the role of time being played in a sense by area.

In this talk, I will describe the physical context in which the Yang-Mills measure is constructed, and describe it without assuming any prior familiarity with the subject. I will then present a set of results obtained in the last few years by Antoine Dahlqvist, Bruce Driver, Franck Gabriel, Brian Hall, Todd Kemp, James Norris and myself concerning the limit as N tends to infinity of the Yang-Mills measure constructed with the unitary group U(N). 

 

We address the problem of pricing and hedging general exotic derivatives. We study this problem in the scenario when one has access to limited price data of other exotic derivatives. In this presentation I explore a nonparametric approach to pricing exotic payoffs using market prices of other exotic derivatives using signatures.

Abstract: Consider a gaussian field f on R^2 and a level l. One can define a random coloring of the plane by coloring a point x in black if f(x)>-l and in white otherwise. The topology of this coloring is interesting in many respects. One can study the "small scale" topology by counting connected components with fixed topology, or study the "large scale" topology by considering black crossings of large rectangles. I will present results involving these quantities.

In semimartingale optimal transport problem, the functional to be minimized can be considered as a “stochastic action”, which is the expectationof a “stochastic Lagrangian” in terms of differential semimartingale characteristics. Therefore it would be natural to apply variational calculus approach to characterize the minimizers. R. Lassalle and A.B. Cruzeiro have used this approach to establish a stochastic Euler-Lagrangian condition for semimartingale optimal transport by perturbing the drift terms. Motivated by their work, we want to perform the same type of calculus for martingale optimal transport problem. In particular, instead of only considering perturbations in the drift terms, we try to find a nice variational family for volatility,and then obtain the stochastic Euler-Lagrangian condition for martingale laws. In the first part of this talk we will mention some basic results regarding the existence of minimizers in semimartingale optimal transport problem. In the second part, we will introduce Lassalle and Cruzeiro’s  work, and give a simple example related to this topic, where the variational family is induced by time-changes; and then we will introduce some potential problems that are needed to be solved.

We prove the quenched version of the central limit theorem for the displacement of a random walk in doubly stochastic random environment, under the $H_{-1}$-condition, with slightly stronger,  $L^{2+\epsilon}$ (rather than $L^2$) integrability condition on the stream tensor. On the way we extend Nash's moment bound to the non-reversible, divergence-free drift case.  

I will talk about R^n valued random processes driven by a "noise", which is generated by a deterministic dynamical system, randomness coming from the choice of the initial condition.

Such processes were considered by D.Kelly and I.Melbourne.I will present our joint work with I.Chevyrev, P.Friz, I.Melbourne and H.Zhang, where we consider the noise with long term memory. We prove convergence to solution of a stochastic differential equation which is, depending on the noise, driven by either a Brownian motion (optimizing the assumptions of Kelly-Melbourne) or a Lévy process.Our work is made possible by recent progress in rough path theory for càdlàg paths in p-variation topology.