Homotopy type of SL2 quotients of simple simply connected complex Lie groups
Abstract
18:00
Frontiers in Quantitative Finance: Statistical Predictions of Trading Strategies in Electronic Markets
Abstract
We build statistical models to describe how market participants choose the direction, price, and volume of orders. Our dataset, which spans sixteen weeks for four shares traded in Euronext Amsterdam, contains all messages sent to the exchange and includes algorithm identification and member identification. We obtain reliable out-of-sample predictions and report the top features that predict direction, price, and volume of orders sent to the exchange. The coefficients from the fitted models are used to cluster trading behaviour and we find that algorithms registered as Liquidity Providers exhibit the widest range of trading behaviour among dealing capacities. In particular, for the most liquid share in our study, we identify three types of behaviour that we call (i) directional trading, (ii) opportunistic trading, and (iii) market making, and we find that around one third of Liquidity Providers behave as market markers.
This is based on work with Álvaro Cartea, Saad Labyad, Leandro Sánchez-Betancourt and Leon van Veldhuijzen. View the working paper here.
Attendance is free of charge but requires prior online registration. To register please click here.
Sets that are very large and very small
Abstract
16:00
Tangent spaces of Schubert varieties
Abstract
Schubert varieties in (twisted) affine Grassmannians and their singularities are of interest to arithmetic geometers because they model the étale local structure of the special fiber of Shimura varieties. In this talk, I will discuss a proof of a conjecture of Haines-Richarz classifying the smooth locus of Schubert varieties, generalizing a classical result of Evens-Mirkovic. The main input is to obtain a lower bound for the tangent space at a point of the Schubert variety which arises from considering certain smooth curves passing through it. In the second part of the talk, I will explain how in many cases, we can prove this bound is actually sharp, and discuss some applications to Shimura varieties. This is based on joint work with Pappas and Kisin-Pappas.
14:00
Symplectic Reduction
Abstract
Junior Strings is a seminar series where DPhil students present topics of common interest that do not necessarily overlap with their own research area. This is primarily aimed at PhD students and post-docs but everyone is welcome.
Hierarchical adaptive low-rank format with applications to discretized PDEs
Abstract
A novel framework for hierarchical low-rank matrices is proposed that combines an adaptive hierarchical partitioning of the matrix with low-rank approximation. One typical application is the approximation of discretized functions on rectangular domains; the flexibility of the format makes it possible to deal with functions that feature singularities in small, localized regions. To deal with time evolution and relocation of singularities, the partitioning can be dynamically adjusted based on features of the underlying data. Our format can be leveraged to efficiently solve linear systems with Kronecker product structure, as they arise from discretized partial differential equations (PDEs). For this purpose, these linear systems are rephrased as linear matrix equations and a recursive solver is derived from low-rank updates of such equations.
We demonstrate the effectiveness of our framework for stationary and time-dependent, linear and nonlinear PDEs, including the Burgers' and Allen–Cahn equations.
This is a joint work with Daniel Kressner and Stefano Massei.
Structural identifiability analysis: An important tool in systems modelling
Abstract
For many systems (certainly those in biology, medicine and pharmacology) the mathematical models that are generated invariably include state variables that cannot be directly measured and associated model parameters, many of which may be unknown, and which also cannot be measured. For such systems there is also often limited access for inputs or perturbations. These limitations can cause immense problems when investigating the existence of hidden pathways or attempting to estimate unknown parameters and this can severely hinder model validation. It is therefore highly desirable to have a formal approach to determine what additional inputs and/or measurements are necessary in order to reduce or remove these limitations and permit the derivation of models that can be used for practical purposes with greater confidence.
Structural identifiability arises in the inverse problem of inferring from the known, or assumed, properties of a biomedical or biological system a suitable model structure and estimates for the corresponding rate constants and other model parameters. Structural identifiability analysis considers the uniqueness of the unknown model parameters from the input-output structure corresponding to proposed experiments to collect data for parameter estimation (under an assumption of the availability of continuous, noise-free observations). This is an important, but often overlooked, theoretical prerequisite to experiment design, system identification and parameter estimation, since estimates for unidentifiable parameters are effectively meaningless. If parameter estimates are to be used to inform about intervention or inhibition strategies, or other critical decisions, then it is essential that the parameters be uniquely identifiable.
Numerous techniques for performing a structural identifiability analysis on linear parametric models exist and this is a well-understood topic. In comparison, there are relatively few techniques available for nonlinear systems (the Taylor series approach, similarity transformation-based approaches, differential algebra techniques and the more recent observable normal form approach and symmetries approaches) and significant (symbolic) computational problems can arise, even for relatively simple models in applying these techniques.
In this talk an introduction to structural identifiability analysis will be provided demonstrating the application of the techniques available to both linear and nonlinear parameterised systems and to models of (nonlinear mixed effects) population nature.
OCIAM-WCMB SEMINAR Structural identifiability analysis: An important tool in systems modelling
Abstract
For many systems (certainly those in biology, medicine and pharmacology) the mathematical models that are generated invariably include state variables that cannot be directly measured and associated model parameters, many of which may be unknown, and which also cannot be measured. For such systems there is also often limited access for inputs or perturbations. These limitations can cause immense problems when investigating the existence of hidden pathways or attempting to estimate unknown parameters and this can severely hinder model validation. It is therefore highly desirable to have a formal approach to determine what additional inputs and/or measurements are necessary in order to reduce or remove these limitations and permit the derivation of models that can be used for practical purposes with greater confidence.
Structural identifiability arises in the inverse problem of inferring from the known, or assumed, properties of a biomedical or biological system a suitable model structure and estimates for the corresponding rate constants and other model parameters. Structural identifiability analysis considers the uniqueness of the unknown model parameters from the input-output structure corresponding to proposed experiments to collect data for parameter estimation (under an assumption of the availability of continuous, noise-free observations). This is an important, but often overlooked, theoretical prerequisite to experiment design, system identification and parameter estimation, since estimates for unidentifiable parameters are effectively meaningless. If parameter estimates are to be used to inform about intervention or inhibition strategies, or other critical decisions, then it is essential that the parameters be uniquely identifiable.
Numerous techniques for performing a structural identifiability analysis on linear parametric models exist and this is a well-understood topic. In comparison, there are relatively few techniques available for nonlinear systems (the Taylor series approach, similarity transformation-based approaches, differential algebra techniques and the more recent observable normal form approach and symmetries approaches) and significant (symbolic) computational problems can arise, even for relatively simple models in applying these techniques.
In this talk an introduction to structural identifiability analysis will be provided demonstrating the application of the techniques available to both linear and nonlinear parameterised systems and to models of (nonlinear mixed effects) population nature.
16:00
Groups Acting Acylindrically on Trees
Abstract
It was shown by Balasubramanya that any acylindrically hyperbolic group (a natural generalisation of a hyperbolic group) must act acylindrically and non-elementarily on some quasi-tree. It is therefore sensible to ask to what extent this is true for trees, i.e. given an acylindrically hyperbolic group, does it admit a non-elementary acylindrical action on some simplicial tree? In this talk I will introduce the concepts of acylindrically hyperbolic and acylindrically arboreal groups and discuss some particularly interesting examples of acylindrically hyperbolic groups which do and do not act acylindrically on trees.
Classical density-functional theory: from formulation to nanofluidics to machine learning
This is an Oxford Solid Mechanics and Mathematics Joint Seminar
Abstract
We review progress made by our group on soft matter at interfaces and related physics from the nano- to macroscopic lengthscales. Specifically, to capture nanoscale properties very close to interfaces and to establish a link to the macroscale behaviour, we employ elements from the statistical mechanics of classical fluids, namely density-functional theory (DFT). We formulate a new and general dynamic DFT that carefully and systematically accounts for the fundamental elements of any classical fluid and soft matter system, a crucial step towards the accurate and predictive modelling of physically relevant systems. In a certain limit, our DDFT reduces to a non-local Navier-Stokes-like equation that we refer to as hydrodynamic DDFT: an inherently multiscale model, bridging the micro- to the macroscale, and retaining the relevant fundamental microscopic information (fluid temperature, fluid-fluid and wall-fluid interactions) at the macroscopic level.
Work analysing the moving contact line in both equilibrium and dynamics will be presented. This has been a longstanding problem for fluid dynamics with a major challenge being its multiscale nature, whereby nanoscale phenomena manifest themselves at the macroscale. A key property captured by DFT at equilibrium, is the fluid layering on the wall-fluid interface, amplified as the contact angle decreases. DFT also allows us to unravel novel phase transitions of fluids in confinement. In dynamics, hydrodynamic DDFT allows us to benchmark existing phenomenological models and reproduce some of their key ingredients. But its multiscale nature also allows us to unravel the underlying physics of moving contact lines, not possible with any of the previous approaches, and indeed show that the physics is much more intricate than the previous models suggest.
We will close with recent efforts on machine learning and DFT. In particular, the development of a novel data-driven physics-informed framework for the solution of the inverse problem of statistical mechanics: given experimental data on the collective motion of a classical many-body system, obtain the state functions, such as free-energy functionals.
Quantized differential calculus on quantum tori
Abstract
We discuss Connes’ quantized calculus on quantum tori and Euclidean spaces, as applications of the recent development of noncommutative analysis.
This talk is based on a joint work in progress with Xiao Xiong and Kai Zeng.
15:00
Counting geodesics of given commutator length
Abstract
Abstract: It’s a classical result by Huber that the number of closed geodesics of length bounded by L on a closed hyperbolic surface S is asymptotic to exp(L)/L as L grows. This result has been generalized in many directions, for example by counting certain subsets of closed geodesics. One such result is the asymptotic growth of those that are homologically trivial, proved independently by both by Phillips-Sarnak and Katsura-Sunada. A homologically trivial curve can be written as a product of commutators, and in this talk we will look at those that can be written as a product of g commutators (in a sense, those that bound a genus g subsurface) and obtain their asymptotic growth. As a special case, our methods give a geometric proof of Huber’s classical theorem. This is joint work with Juan Souto.
CMA Light: A novel Minibatch Algorithm for large-scale non convex finite sum optimization
Abstract
Hamiltonicity of expanders: optimal bounds and applications
Abstract
An $n$-vertex graph $G$ is a $C$-expander if $|N(X)|\geq C|X|$ for every $X\subseteq V(G)$ with $|X|< n/2C$ and there is an edge between every two disjoint sets of at least $n/2C$ vertices.
We show that there is some constant $C>0$ for which every $C$-expander is Hamiltonian. In particular, this implies the well known conjecture of Krivelevich and Sudakov from 2003 on Hamilton cycles in $(n,d,\lambda)$-graphs. This completes a long line of research on the Hamiltonicity of sparse graphs, and has many applications.
Joint work with R. Montgomery, D. Munhá Correia, A. Pokrovskiy and B. Sudakov.
Tensor Methods for Nonconvex Optimization using Cubic-quartic regularization models
Abstract
High-order tensor methods for solving both convex and nonconvex optimization problems have recently generated significant research interest, due in part to the natural way in which higher derivatives can be incorporated into adaptive regularization frameworks, leading to algorithms with optimal global rates of convergence and local rates that are faster than Newton's method. On each iteration, to find the next solution approximation, these methods require the unconstrained local minimization of a (potentially nonconvex) multivariate polynomial of degree higher than two, constructed using third-order (or higher) derivative information, and regularized by an appropriate power of the change in the iterates. Developing efficient techniques for the solution of such subproblems is currently, an ongoing topic of research, and this talk addresses this question for the case of the third-order tensor subproblem.
In particular, we propose the CQR algorithmic framework, for minimizing a nonconvex Cubic multivariate polynomial with Quartic Regularisation, by sequentially minimizing a sequence of local quadratic models that also incorporate both simple cubic and quartic terms. The role of the cubic term is to crudely approximate local tensor information, while the quartic one provides model regularization and controls progress. We provide necessary and sufficient optimality conditions that fully characterise the global minimizers of these cubic-quartic models. We then turn these conditions into secular equations that can be solved using nonlinear eigenvalue techniques. We show, using our optimality characterisations, that a CQR algorithmic variant has the optimal-order evaluation complexity of $O(\epsilon^{-3/2})$ when applied to minimizing our quartically-regularised cubic subproblem, which can be further improved in special cases. We propose practical CQR variants that judiciously use local tensor information to construct the local cubic-quartic models. We test these variants numerically and observe them to be competitive with ARC and other subproblem solvers on typical instances and even superior on ill-conditioned subproblems with special structure.
Faithfulness of highest-weight modules for Iwasawa algebras
Abstract
Iwasawa algebras are completions of group algebras for p-adic Lie groups, and have applications for studying the representations of these groups. It is an ongoing project to study the prime ideals, and more generally the two-sided ideals, of these algebras.
In the case of Iwasawa algebras corresponding to a simple Lie algebra with a Chevalley basis, we aim to prove that all non-zero two-sided ideals have finite codimension. To prove this, it is sufficient to show faithfulness of modules arising from highest-weight modules for the corresponding Lie algebra.
I have proved two main results in this direction: firstly, I proved the faithfulness of generalised Verma modules over the Iwasawa algebra. Secondly, I proved the faithfulness of all infinite-dimensional highest-weight modules in the case where the Lie algebra has type A. In this talk, I will outline the methods I used to prove these cases.
12:30
Gravitational Observatories
Abstract
We discuss timelike surfaces of finite size in general relativity and the initial boundary value problem. We consider obstructions with the standard Dirichlet problem, and conformal version with improved properties. The ensuing dynamical features are discussed with general cosmological constant.
11:00
The flow equation approach to singular SPDEs.
Abstract
I will give an overview of a recent method introduced by P. Duch to solve some subcritical singular SPDEs, in particular the stochastic quantisation equation for scalar fields.
Sharp stability for Sobolev and log-Sobolev inequalities, with optimal dimensional dependence
Abstract
The sharp constant in the Sobolev inequality and the set of optimizers are known. It is also known that functions whose Sobolev quotient is almost minimial are close to minimizers. We are interested in a quantitative version of the last statement and present a bound that not only measures this closeness in the optimal topology and with the optimal exponent, but also has explicit constants. These constants have the optimal behavior in the limit of large dimensions, which allows us to deduce an optimal quantitative stability estimate for the Gaussian log-Sobolev inequality with an explicit dimension-free constant. Our proof relies on several ingredients:
• a discrete flow based on competing symmetries;
• a continuous rearrangement flow;
• refined estimates in the neighborhood of the optimal Aubin-Talenti functions.
The talk is based on joint work with Dolbeault, Esteban, Figalli and Loss.
16:00
On entropy of arithmetic functions
Abstract
In this seminar, I will talk about a notion of entropy of arithmetic functions and some properties of this entropy. This notion was introduced to study Sarnak's Moebius Disjointness Conjecture.
15:30
Maps between spherical group algebras
Abstract
I will speak about a central question in higher algebra (aka brave new algebra), namely which rings or schemes admit 'higher models', that is lifts to the sphere spectrum. This question is in some sense very classical, but there are many open questions. These questions are closely related to questions about higher versions of prismatic cohomology and delta ring, asked e.g. by Scholze and Lurie. Concretely we will consider the case of group algebras and explain how to understand maps between lifts of group algebras to the sphere spectrum. The results we present are joint with Carmeli and Yuan and on the prismatic side with Antieau and Krause.
15:30
Rough Stochastic Analysis with Jumps
Abstract
Rough path theory provides a framework for the study of nonlinear systems driven by highly oscillatory (deterministic) signals. The corresponding analysis is inherently distinct from that of classical stochastic calculus, and neither theory alone is able to satisfactorily handle hybrid systems driven by both rough and stochastic noise. The introduction of the stochastic sewing lemma (Khoa Lê, 2020) has paved the way for a theory which can efficiently handle such hybrid systems. In this talk, we will discuss how this can be done in a general setting which allows for jump discontinuities in both sources of noise.
14:15
Loop group action on symplectic cohomology
Abstract
For a compact Lie group $G$, its massless Coulomb branch algebra is the $G$-equivariant Borel-Moore homology of its based loop space. This algebra is the same as the algebra of regular functions on the BFM space. In this talk, we will explain how this algebra acts on the equivariant symplectic cohomology of Hamiltonian $G$-manifolds when the symplectic manifolds are open and convex. This is a generalization of the closed case where symplectic cohomology is replaced with quantum cohomology. Following Teleman, we also explain how it relates to the Coulomb branch algebra of cotangent-type representations. This is joint work with Eduardo González and Dan Pomerleano.
This seminar has been cancelled
Abstract
Data that have an intrinsic network structure can be found in various contexts, including social networks, biological systems (e.g., protein-protein interactions, neuronal networks), information networks (computer networks, wireless sensor networks), economic networks, etc. As the amount of graphical data that is generated is increasingly large, compressing such data for storage, transmission, or efficient processing has become a topic of interest.
In this talk, I will give an information theoretic perspective on graph compression. The focus will be on compression limits and their scaling with the size of the graph. For lossless compression, the Shannon entropy gives the fundamental lower limit on the expected length of any compressed representation.
I will discuss the entropy of some common random graph models, with a particular emphasis on our results on the random geometric graph model.
Then, I will talk about the problem of compressing a graph with side information, i.e., when an additional correlated graph is available at the decoder. Turning to lossy compression, where one accepts a certain amount of distortion between the original and reconstructed graphs, I will present theoretical limits to lossy compression that we obtained for the Erdős–Rényi and stochastic block models by using rate-distortion theory.
Oxford Women and Non-Binary in Mathematics Day 2024: Beyond the Pipeline
Abstract
The conference ‘Beyond the Pipeline: Women and Non-binary People in Mathematics Day’ will be held at the University of Oxford on the 17th February 2024. This is a joint event between the Mathematrix and the Mirzakhani societies of the University of Oxford. It is kindly funded by the London Mathematical Society and the Mathematical Institute at the University of Oxford, with additional funding from industry sponsors.
The metaphor of the 'leaky pipeline' for the decreasing number of women and other gender minorities in Mathematics is problematic and outdated. It conceals the real reasons that women and non-binary people choose to leave Mathematics. This conference, 'Beyond the Pipeline', aims to encourage women and non-binary people to pursue careers in Mathematics, to promote women and non-binary role models, and to create a community of like-minded people.
Speakers:
- Brigitte Stenhouse, The Open University
- Mura Yakerson, The University of Oxford
- Vandita Patel, The University of Manchester
- Melanie Rupflin, The University of Oxford
- Christl Donnelly, The University of Oxford
The conference will also include:
- A panel discussion on careers in and out of academia
- Talks by early-career speakers
- Poster presentations
- 1:1 bookable appointments with our industry sponsors (Cisco, Jane Street, ING, and Optiver)
- Careers stands with our sponsors and the IMA
More information can be found on our website https://www.oxwomeninmaths2024.co.uk/.
This conference is open to everyone regardless of their gender identity. Registration is via the following google form https://forms.gle/cDGaeJCPbBFEPfDB6 and will close when we have reached capacity. We have limited travel funding to support travel to Oxford from within the UK and you can apply for this on the registration form. The deadline for those applying to give a talk and for those applying for travel funding is the 27th January.
If you have any questions email us at @email.
16:00
Conferences and networking
Abstract
Conferences and networking are important parts of academic life, particularly early in your academic career. But how do you make the most out of conferences? And what are the does and don'ts of networking? Learn about the answers to these questions and more in this panel discussion by postdocs from across the Mathematical Institute.
Morse Theory for Tubular Neighborhoods
Abstract
Active surfaces in biology
Abstract
The ability of biological matter to move and deform itself is facilitated by microscopic out-of-equilibrium processes that convert chemical energy into mechanical work. In many cases, this mechano-chemical activity takes place on effectively two-dimensional domains formed by, for example, multicellular structures like epithelial tissues or the outer surface of eukaryotic cells, the so-called actomyosin cortex.
We will show in the first part of the talk, that the large-scale dynamics and self-organisation of such structures can be captured by the theory of active fluids. Specifically, using a minimal model of active isotropic fluids, we can rationalize the emergence of asymmetric epithelial tissue flows in the flower beetle during early development, and explain cell rotations in the context of active chiral flows and left-right symmetry breaking that occurs as the model organism C. elegans sets up its body plan.
To develop a more general understanding of such processes, specifically the role of geometry, curvature and interactions with the environment, we introduce in the second part a theory of active fluid surfaces and discuss analytical and numerical tools to solve the corresponding momentum balance equations of curved and deforming surfaces. By considering mechanical interactions with the environment and the fully self-organized shape dynamics of active surfaces, these tools reveal novel mechanisms of symmetry breaking and pattern formation in active matter.
Periodic modules and perverse equivalences
Abstract
Perverse equivalences, introduced by Chuang and Rouquier, are derived equivalences with a particularly nice combinatorial description. This generalised an earlier construction, with which they proved Broué’s abelian defect group conjecture for blocks of the symmetric groups. Perverse equivalences are of much wider significance in the representation theory of finite dimensional symmetric algebras. Grant has shown that periodic algebras admit perverse autoequivalences. In a similar vein, I will present some perverse equivalences arising from certain periodic modules, with an application to the setting of the symmetric groups.
On logical structure of physical theories and limits
Abstract
I am going to discuss main results of my paper "Physics over a finite field and Wick rotation", arxiv 2306.15698. It introduces a structure over a pseudo-finite field which might be of interest in Foundations of Physics. The main theorem establishes an analogue of the polar co-ordinate system in the pseudo-finite field. A stability classification status of the structure is an open question.
16:00
A New Solution to Time Inconsistent Stopping Problem
Please join us for refreshments from 15:30 outside L3.
Abstract
Permutation matrices, graph independence over the diagonal, and consequences
Abstract
Often, one tries to understand the behaviour of non-commutative random variables or of von Neumann algebras through matricial approximations. In some cases, such as when appealing to the determinant conjecture or investigating the soficity of a group, it is important to find approximations by matrices with good algebraic conditions on their entries (e.g., being integers). On the other hand, the most common tool for generating asymptotic independence -- conjugating with random unitaries -- often destroys such delicate structure.
I will speak on recent joint work with de Santiago, Hayes, Jekel, Kunnawalkam Elayavalli, and Nelson, where we investigate graph products (an interpolation between free and tensor products) and conjugation of matrix models by large structured random permutations. We show that with careful control of how the permutation matrices are chosen, we can achieve asymptotic graph independence with amalgamation over the diagonal matrices. We are able to use this fine structure to prove that strong $1$-boundedness for a large class of graph product von Neumann algebras follows from the vanishing of the corresponding first $L^2$-Betti number. The main idea here is to show that a version of the determinant conjecture holds as long as the individual algebras have generators with approximations by matrices with entries in the ring of integers of some finite extension of Q satisfying some conditions strongly reminiscent of soficity for groups.
From Lévy's stochastic area formula to universality of affine and polynomial processes via signature SDEs
Abstract
A plethora of stochastic models used in particular in mathematical finance, but also population genetics and physics, stems from the class of affine and polynomial processes. The history of these processes is on the one hand closely connected with the important concept of tractability, that is a substantial reduction of computational efforts due to special structural features, and on the other hand with a unifying framework for a large number of probabilistic models. One early instance in the literature where this unifying affine and polynomial point of view can be applied is Lévy's stochastic area formula. Starting from this example, we present a guided tour through the main properties and recent results, which lead to signature stochastic differential equations (SDEs). They constitute a large class of stochastic processes, here driven by Brownian motions, whose characteristics are entire or real-analytic functions of their own signature, i.e. of iterated integrals of the process with itself, and allow therefore for a generic path dependence. We show that their prolongation with the corresponding signature is an affine and polynomial process taking values in subsets of group-like elements of the extended tensor algebra. Signature SDEs are thus a class of stochastic processes, which is universal within Itô processes with path-dependent characteristics and which allows - due to the affine theory - for a relatively explicit characterization of the Fourier-Laplace transform and hence the full law on path space.
16:00
Strong Bounds for 3-Progressions
Abstract
15:00
Goldbach beyond the square-root barrier
Abstract
We show the primes have level of distribution 66/107 using triply well-factorable weights. This gives the highest level of distribution for primes in any setting, improving on the prior record level 3/5 of Maynard. We also extend this level to 5/8, assuming Selberg's eigenvalue conjecture. As a result, we obtain new upper bounds for twin primes and for Goldbach representations of even numbers $a$. For the Goldbach problem, this is the first use of a level of distribution beyond the 'square-root barrier', and leads to the greatest improvement on the problem since Bombieri--Davenport from 1966.
14:00
Coulomb and Higgs Phases of G2 Manifolds
Abstract
We will discuss the physics of M-theory compactifications onto G2-orbifolds of the type that can be desingularised via the method of Joyce and Karigiannis i.e. orbifolds where one has a singular locus of A1 singularities that admits a nowhere-vanishing (Z2-twisted) harmonic 1-form. Interestingly, there are topologically distinct desingularisations of such orbifolds which we show can be physically interpreted as different branches of the 4d vacuum moduli space of the arising gauge theories: Coulomb and Higgs branches. The results suggest generalisations of the results of Joyce and Karigiannis to G2-orbifolds with more diverse ADE singularities and higher order twists. As a bonus, we also get an isomorphism between the moduli space of flat connections on flat compact 3-manifolds and the moduli space of Ricci flat metrics on the G2-orbifolds. We will briefly discuss this. Based on 2309.12869 and 2312.12311.
14:00
Algorithmic Insurance
Abstract
As machine learning algorithms get integrated into the decision-making process of companies and organizations, insurance products are being developed to protect their providers from liability risk. Algorithmic liability differs from human liability since it is based on data-driven models compared to multiple heterogeneous decision-makers and its performance is known a priori for a given set of data. Traditional actuarial tools for human liability do not consider these properties, primarily focusing on the distribution of historical claims. We propose, for the first time, a quantitative framework to estimate the risk exposure of insurance contracts for machine-driven liability, introducing the concept of algorithmic insurance. Our work provides ML model developers and insurance providers with a comprehensive risk evaluation approach for this new class of products. Thus, we set the foundations of a niche area of research at the intersection of the literature in operations, risk management, and actuarial science. Specifically, we present an optimization formulation to estimate the risk exposure of a binary classification model given a pre-defined range of premiums. Our approach outlines how properties of the model, such as discrimination performance, interpretability, and generalizability, can influence the insurance contract evaluation. To showcase a practical implementation of the proposed framework, we present a case study of medical malpractice in the context of breast cancer detection. Our analysis focuses on measuring the effect of the model parameters on the expected financial loss and identifying the aspects of algorithmic performance that predominantly affect the risk of the contract.
Paper Reference: Bertsimas, D. and Orfanoudaki, A., 2021. Pricing algorithmic insurance. arXiv preprint arXiv:2106.00839.
Paper link: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2106.00839.pdf
17:00
Logging the World - Oliver Johnson
During the pandemic, you may have seen graphs of data plotted on strange-looking (logarithmic) scales. Oliver will explain some of the basics and history of logarithms, and show why they are a natural tool to represent numbers ranging from COVID data to Instagram followers. In fact, we’ll see how logarithms can even help us understand information itself in a mathematical way.
Oliver Johnson is Professor of Information Theory in the School of Mathematics at the University of Bristol. His research involves randomness and uncertainty, and includes collaborations with engineers, biologists and computer scientists. During the pandemic he became a commentator on the daily COVID numbers, through his Twitter account and through appearances on Radio 4 and articles for the Spectator. He is the author of the book Numbercrunch (2023), which is designed to help a general audience understand the value of maths as a toolkit for making sense of the world.
Please email @email to register.
The lecture will be broadcast on the Oxford Mathematics YouTube Channel on Wednesday 06 March at 5-6pm and any time after (no need to register for the online version).
The Oxford Mathematics Public Lectures are generously supported by XTX Markets.

One-ended graph braid groups and where to find them
Abstract
Graph braid groups are similar to braid groups, except that they are defined as ‘braids’ on a graph, rather than the real plane. We can think of graph braid groups in terms of the discrete configuration space of a graph, which is a CW-complex. One can compute a presentation of a graph braid group using Morse theory. In this talk I will give a few examples on how to compute these presentations in terms of generating circuits of the graph. I will then go through a detailed example of a graph that gives a one-ended braid group.
Large-size Behavior of the Entanglement Entropy of Free Disordered Fermions
Abstract
We consider a macroscopic system of free lattice fermions, and we are interested in the entanglement entropy (EE) of a large block of size L of the system, treating the rest of the system as the macroscopic environment of the block. Entropy is a widely used quantifier of quantum correlations between a block and its surroundings. We begin with known results (mostly one-dimensional) on the asymptotics form of EE of translation-invariant systems for large L, where for any value of the Fermi energy there are basically two asymptotics known as area law and enhanced (violated ) area law. We then show that in the disordered case and for the Fermi energy belonging to the localized spectrum of a one-body Hamiltonian, the EE obeys the area law for all typical realizations of disorder and any dimension. As for the enhanced area law, it turns out to be possible for some special values of the Fermi energy in the one-dimensional case
15:00
Asymptotic mapping class groups of Cantor manifolds and their finiteness properties
Abstract
We introduce a new class of groups with Thompson-like group properties. In the surface case, the asymptotic mapping class group contains mapping class groups of finite type surfaces with boundary. In dimension three, it contains automorphism groups of all finite rank free groups. I will explain how asymptotic mapping class groups act on a CAT(0) cube complex which allows us to show that they are of type F_infinity.
This is joint work with Javier Aramayona, Kai-Uwe Bux, Jonas Flechsig and Xaolei Wu.
On the $(k+2,k)$-problem of Brown, Erdős and Sós
Abstract
Brown-Erdős-Sós initiated the study of the maximum number of edges in an $n$-vertex $r$-graph such that no $k$ edges span at most $s$ vertices. If $s=rk-2k+2$ then this function is quadratic in $n$ and its asymptotic was previously known for $k=2,3,4$. I will present joint work with Stefan Glock, Jaehoon Kim, Lyuben Lichev and Shumin Sun where we resolve the cases $k=5,6,7$.
Functional Calculus, Bornological Algebra, and Analytic Geometry
Abstract
Porta and Yue Yu's model of derived analytic geometry takes as its category of basic, or affine, objects the category opposite to simplicial algebras over the entire functional calculus Lawvere theory. This is analogous to Lurie's approach to derived algebraic geometry where the Lawvere theory is the one governing simplicial commutative rings, and Spivak's derived smooth geometry, using the Lawvere theory of C-infinity-rings. Although there have been numerous important applications including GAGA, base-change, and Riemann-Hilbert theorems, these methods are still missing some crucial ingredients. For example, they do not naturally beget a good definition of quasi-coherent sheaves satisfying descent. On the other hand, the Toen-Vezzosi-Deligne approach of geometry relative to a symmetric monoidal category naturally provides a definition of a category of quasi-coherent sheaves, and in two such approaches to analytic geometry using the categories of bornological and condensed abelian groups respectively, these categories do satisfy descent. In this talk I will explain how to compare the Porta and Yue Yu model of derived analytic geometry with the bornological one. More generally we give conditions on a Lawvere theory such that its simplicial algebras embed fully faithfully into commutative bornological algebras. Time permitting I will show how the Grothendieck topologies on both sides match up, allowing us to extend the embedding to stacks.
This is based on joint work with Oren Ben-Bassat and Kobi Kremnitzer, and follows work of Kremnitzer and Dennis Borisov.
12:30
Scattering amplitudes and Celestial Holography
Abstract
The S-Matrix in flat space is a naturally holographic observable. S-Matrix elements thus contain valuable information about the putative dual CFT. In this talk, I will first introduce some basic aspects of Celestial Holography and then explain how these can be inferred directly from scattering amplitudes. I will then focus on how the singularity structure of amplitudes interplays with traditional CFT structures particularly in the context of the operator product expansion (OPE) of the dual CFT. I will conclude with some discussion about the role played by supersymmetry in simplifying the putative dual CFT.
OxPDE-WCMB seminar - From individual-based models to continuum descriptions: Modelling and analysis of interactions between different populations.
Abstract
First we will show that the continuum counterpart of the discrete individual-based mechanical model that describes the dynamics of two contiguous cell populations is given by a free-boundary problem for the cell densities. Then, in addition to interactions, we will consider the microscopic movement of cells and derive a fractional cross-diffusion system as the many-particle limit of a multi-species system of moderately interacting particles.
OxPDE-WCMB seminar - From individual-based models to continuum descriptions: Modelling and analysis of interactions between different populations.
Abstract
First we will show that the continuum counterpart of the discrete individual-based mechanical model that describes the dynamics of two contiguous cell populations is given by a free-boundary problem for the cell densities. Then, in addition to interactions, we will consider the microscopic movement of cells and derive a fractional cross-diffusion system as the many-particle limit of a multi-species system of moderately interacting particles.
16:00
Higher descent on elliptic curves
Abstract
Let $E$ be an elliptic curve over a number field $K$ and $n \geq 2$ an integer. We recall that elements of the $n$-Selmer group of $E/K$ can be explicitly written in terms of certain equations for $n$-coverings of $E/K$. Writing the elements in this way is called conducting an explicit $n$-descent. One of the applications of explicit $n$-descent is in finding generators of large height for $E(K)$ and from this point of view one would like to be able to take $n$ as large as possible. General algorithms for explicit $n$-descent exist but become computationally challenging already for $n \geq 5$. In this talk we discuss combining $n$- and $(n+1)$-descents to $n(n+1)$-descent and the role that invariant theory plays in this procedure.
15:30
A filtration of handlebody Teichmüller space
Abstract
The handlebody group is defined to be the mapping class group of a handelbody (rel. boundary). It is a subgroup of the mapping class group of the surface of the handlebody, and maps onto the outer automorphism group of its fundamental group (the free group of rank equal to its genus).
Recently Hainaut and Petersen described a subspace of moduli space forming an orbifold classifying space for the handlebody group, and combined this with work of Chan-Galatius-Payne to construct cohomology classes in the group. I will talk about how one can build on their ideas to define a cocompact EG for the handlebody group inside Teichmüller space. This is a manifold with boundary and comes with a filtration by labelled disk systems which we call the `RGB (red-green-blue) disk complex.' I will describe this filtration, use it to describe the boundary of the manifold, and speculate about potential applications to duality results. Based on work-in-progress with Dan Petersen.