We study the minimum total weight of a disk triangulation using any number of vertices out of $\{1,..,n\}$ where the boundary is fixed and the $n \choose 3$ triangles have independent rate-1 exponential weights. We show that, with high probability, the minimum weight is equal to $(c+o(1))n-1/2\log n$ for an explicit constant $c$. Further, we prove that, with high probability, the minimum weights of a homological filling and a homotopical filling of the cycle $(123)$ are both attained by the minimum weight disk triangulation. We will discuss a related open problem concerning simple-connectivity of random simplicial complexes, where a similar phenomenon is conjectured to hold. Based on joint works with Itai Benjamini, Eyal Lubetzky, and Zur Luria.

In long-range percolation on $\mathbb{Z}^d$, each potential edge $\{x,y\}$ is included independently at random with probability roughly $\beta\|x-y\|-d-\alpha$, where $\alpha > 0$ controls how long-range the model is and $\beta > 0$ is an intensity parameter. The smaller $\alpha$ is, the easier it is for very long edges to appear. We are normally interested in fixing $\alpha$ and studying the phase transition that occurs as $\beta$ is increased and an infinite cluster emerges. Perhaps surprisingly, the phase transition for long-range percolation is much better understood than that of nearest neighbour percolation, at least when $\alpha$ is small: It is a theorem of Noam Berger that if $\alpha < d$ then the phase transition is continuous, meaning that there are no infinite clusters at the critical value of $\beta$. (Proving the analogous result for nearest neighbour percolation is a notorious open problem!) In my talk I will describe a new, quantitative proof of Berger's theorem that yields power-law upper bounds on the distribution of the cluster of the origin at criticality.
    As a part of this proof, I will describe a new universal inequality stating that on any graph, the maximum size of a percolation cluster is of the same order as its median with high probability. This inequality can also be used to give streamlined new proofs of various classical results on e.g. Erdős-Rényi random graphs, which I will hopefully have time to talk a little bit about also.

I will present work in progress with D. Gayet and F. Pouran (Grenoble) to establish Russo-Seymour-Welsh (RSW) estimates for 2d statistical mechanics models that do not satisfy the FKG inequality. RSW states that critical percolation has no characteristic length, in the sense that large rectangles are crossed by an open path with a probability that is bounded below by a function of their shape, but uniformly in their size; this ensures the polynomial decay of many relevant quantities and opens the way to deeper understanding of the critical features of the model. All the standard proofs of RSW rely on the FKG inequality, i.e. on the positive correlation between increasing events; we establish the stability of RSW under small perturbations that do not preserve FKG, which extends it for instance to the high-temperature anti-ferromagnetic Ising model.

A connected matching is a matching contained in a connected component. A well-known method due to Łuczak reduces problems about monochromatic paths and cycles in complete graphs to problems about monochromatic matchings in almost complete graphs. We show that these can be further reduced to problems about monochromatic connected matchings in complete graphs.
    
I will describe Łuczak's reduction, introduce the new reduction, and mention potential applications of the improved method.

Let $X$ be a random variable, taking values in $\{1,…,n\}$, with standard deviation $\sigma$ and let $f_X$ be its probability generating function. Pemantle conjectured that if $\sigma$ is large and $f_X$ has no roots close to 1 in the complex plane then $X$ must approximate a normal distribution. In this talk, I will discuss a complete resolution of Pemantle's conjecture. As an application, we resolve a conjecture of Ghosh, Liggett and Pemantle by proving a multivariate central limit theorem for, so called, strong Rayleigh distributions. I will also discuss how these sorts of results shed light on random variables that arise naturally in combinatorial settings. This talk is based on joint work with Marcus Michelen.

In 1943, Hadwiger conjectured that every graph with no Kt minor is $(t-1)$-colorable for every $t\geq 1$. In the 1980s, Kostochka and Thomason independently proved that every graph with no $K_t$ minor has average degree $O(t(\log t)^{1/2})$ and hence is $O(t(\log t)^{1/2)}$-colorable. Recently, Norin, Song and I showed that every graph with no $K_t$ minor is $O(t(\log t)^\beta)$-colorable for every $\beta > 1/4$, making the first improvement on the order of magnitude of the $O(t(\log t)^{1/2})$ bound. Here we show that every graph with no $K_t$ minor is $O(t (\log t)^\beta)$-colorable for every $\beta > 0$; more specifically, they are $O(t (\log \log t)^6)$-colorable.

We will be interested in the structure of random typical minimal factorizations of the n-cycle into transpositions, which are factorizations of $(1,\ldots,n)$ as a product of $n-1$ transpositions. We shall establish a phase transition when a certain amount of transpositions have been read one after the other. One of the main tools is a limit theorem for two-type Bienaymé-Galton-Watson trees conditioned on having given numbers of vertices of both types, which is of independent interest. This is joint work with Valentin Féray.

Let $r>3$ be an integer and consider the following game on the complete graph $K_n$ for $n$ a multiple of $r$: Two players, Maker and Breaker, alternately claim previously unclaimed edges of $K_n$ such that in each turn Maker claims one and Breaker claims $b$ edges. Maker wins if her graph contains a $K_r$-factor, that is a collection of $n/r$ vertex-disjoint copies of $K_r$, and Breaker wins otherwise. In other words, we consider the $b$-biased $K_r$-factor Maker-Breaker game. We show that the threshold bias for this game is of order $n^2/(r+2)$. This makes a step towards determining the threshold bias for making bounded-degree spanning graphs and extends a result of Allen, Böttcher, Kohayakawa, Naves and Person who resolved the case $r=3$ or $4$ up to a logarithmic factor.
    Joint work with Rajko Nenadov.

I will introduce recent work on the two- and three-dimensional uniform spanning trees (USTs) that establish the laws of these random objects converge under rescaling in a space whose elements are measured, rooted real trees, continuously embedded into Euclidean space. (In the three-dimensional case, the scaling result is currently only known along a particular scaling sequence.) I will also discuss various properties of the intrinsic metrics and measures of the limiting spaces, including their Hausdorff dimension, as well as the scaling limits of the random walks on the two- and three-dimensional USTs. In the talk, I will attempt to emphasise where the differences lie between the two cases, and in particular the additional challenges that arise when it comes to the three-dimensional model.
    The two-dimensional results are joint with Martin Barlow (UBC) and Takashi Kumagai (Kyoto). The three-dimensional results are joint with Omer Angel (UBC) and Sarai Hernandez-Torres (UBC).

A hereditary graph property is a class of finite graphs closed under isomorphism and induced subgraphs. Given a hereditary graph property $H$, the speed of $H$ is the function which sends an integer n to the number of distinct elements in $H$ with underlying set $\{1,...,n\}$. Not just any function can occur as the speed of hereditary graph property. Specifically, there are discrete "jumps" in the possible speeds. Study of these jumps began with work of Scheinerman and Zito in the 90's, and culminated in a series of papers from the 2000's by Balogh, Bollobás, and Weinreich, in which essentially all possible speeds of a hereditary graph property were characterized. In contrast to this, many aspects of this problem in the hypergraph setting remained unknown. In this talk we present new hypergraph analogues of many of the jumps from the graph setting, specifically those involving the polynomial, exponential, and factorial speeds. The jumps in the factorial range turned out to have surprising connections to the model theoretic notion of mutual algebricity, which we also discuss. This is joint work with Chris Laskowski.